China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[MrFanaticGuy34]

3 hours ago, firedeep said:

But KFP3 itself is a local movie in China ... 

 

Is that a bad thing or a good thing?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

40 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

What's your prediction for KFP3?

$200m ... I don't think 1.29 is a good slot. I think the distributors are too confident that they think KFP3 will be able to co-exist with CNY releases on 2.8. I dont think so.

37 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

 

Is that a bad thing or a good thing?

good.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

cant edit post, "$200~$300m", not "$200m"

[MrFanaticGuy34]

8 minutes ago, firedeep said:

$200m ... I don't think 1.29 is a good slot. I think the distributors are too confident that they think KFP3 will be able to co-exist with CNY releases on 2.8. I dont think so.

good.

 

Do China think some of the locals after KFP3, have more interest & hype than "Panda" or what?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

48 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

 

Do China think some of the locals after KFP3, have more interest & hype than "Panda" or what?

It's just how the market works. New releases always take screens from holdovers, 10 new movies on 2.8 (the tenth day in KFP3's release), 4 more five days later, half of those are blockbusters or semi-blockbusters. No movie, not Transfomers, can surive such compeition IMO.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Finding Mr Right 2 announces Apr 29 release.

[FranMan]

 

5 hours ago, movieboner said:

Everyone is pinning their hopes on China's film market to help Star Wars: TFA outgross Avatar worldwide. It's practically impossible, with its current markets, it would likely finish a little below Titanic. Do people expect $500-600 million from China to overtake Avatar? Highly unlikely, Chinese films are giving serious competition to foreign films and are taking a larger share of the market. 2-3 years ago that wasn't the case, but now it's different.

 

Yeah, been hearing some $500m talk, which is kinda nuts. I don't know whether the prequels doing well enough back in the day here, the extreme hype and heavy marketing will be enough to sweep Chinese audiences into the cinema. I thought the movie relies on nostalgic attachment to help drive home some of the major moments. A nostalgia which the general moviegoer doesn't have.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

1 hour ago, firedeep said:

It's just how the market works. New releases always take screens from holdovers, 10 new movies on 2.8 (the tenth day in KFP3's release), 4 more five days later, half of those are blockbusters or semi-blockbusters. No movie, not Transfomers, can surive such compeition IMO.

 

Not even Star Wars?

[keysersoze123]

SW movies are not popular in china. I think it has decent release date and can gross 1B in china. That to be is the best case scenario. KFP3 can do 1.2B with just 9 day open run. We have to wait a while for next furious 7 level of breakout.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

I still think between $175-200M in China for KFP3 is doable.

 

Not too high...but that's my highest i can go for now....unless WOM is great.

 

Also...how was the WOM in China from the 2 last KFP-flicks?

[FranMan]

TFA has a 3 week run or so before KFP3 opens yeah? Does TFA have any competition in between? There's a Zhang Ziyi rom-com duirng this period I believe, but don't seem to hear much about it. The Chinese tend to travel and holiday around then too (at least my relations and friends and acquaintances) leading to CNY. 

[efialtes76]

26 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

SW movies are not popular in china. I think it has decent release date and can gross 1B in china. That to be is the best case scenario. KFP3 can do 1.2B with just 9 day open run. We have to wait a while for next furious 7 level of breakout.

10 days open run(29-30-31-1-2-3-4-5-6-7)

But i'm sure that the release date will be changed...

[Olive]

Sunday Estimates:
Mojin - 90.6M/1210M

Devil and Angel- 83.8M/505M
Mr. Six - 70M/254M
Detective Chinatown - 14.7M/28.2M  previews
Surprise - 2.5M/317M
 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Mr Six heading to 700m ... another Wolf Totam, being sold best in Beijing.

 

D&A enjoys free falling, one of the worst legs

 

Hope DC performs well next week

[juni78ukr]

"Insiders who spoke to Screendaily said the China debut on January 9, 2016, could deliver $150m or more in the opening weekend. "

 

That's really funny. 

[efialtes76]

1 hour ago, juni78ukr said:

"Insiders who spoke to Screendaily said the China debut on January 9, 2016, could deliver $150m or more in the opening weekend. "

 

That's really funny. 

Yep $150m in 2 days...

[fmpro]

2 hours ago, juni78ukr said:

"Insiders who spoke to Screendaily said the China debut on January 9, 2016, could deliver $150m or more in the opening weekend. "

 

That's really funny. 

 

Loooooooooooool

[FranMan]

That seems awfully high? Are pre-sales already being tracked?

[Cynosure]

Not on Gewara :

 

http://www.gewara.com/movie/224406330

 

See the 0 at the bottom right.

 

It has 31.132 likes at the moment. KFP3 has 13.886 despite coming out three weeks later, and these things tend to increase massively when release dates approach.

[Lihongkim]

5 hours ago, firedeep said:

Mr Six heading to 700m ... another Wolf Totam, being sold best in Beijing.

 

D&A enjoys free falling, one of the worst legs

 

Hope DC performs well next week

Yes, Feng Xiaogang will beat Deng Chao again, he just did it in 52nd Golden Horse Award competition for best actor. 

With the NY holiday this weekend, it shouldn't be difficult. I'm confident although it will face 4 new big openers, Detective Chinatown & Heart of Heaven on 12/31 and Little Door Gods & Everybody's Fine on 1.1. 

 

Will Heart of Heaven break out like Goodbye Mr. Loser?

Will Little Door Gods be the next Monkey King?