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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Coco's up to 91.3M yuan, it's easily going above 100M should finish around 110M. A great drop from last Saturday of 13.5%. China is quickly catching up to domestic after Sunday cume should be 864M yuan or 130M dollars.

Edited by druv10
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2 hours ago, druv10 said:

Coco's up to 91.3M yuan, it's easily going above 100M should finish around 110M. A great drop from last Saturday of 13.5%. China is quickly catching up to domestic after Sunday cume should be 864M yuan or 130M dollars.

Saturday night slows down soon since pretty much everyone has bought tickets by 7-8PM, that 91.3M already includes showtimes not-yet starting.

Sunday drop will be close to 20% based on presales and Zootopia's track.

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18 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Saturday night slows down soon since pretty much everyone has bought tickets by 7-8PM, that 91.3M already includes showtimes not-yet starting.

Sunday drop will be close to 20% based on presales and Zootopia's track.

How many showtimes do you think Coco will have on Friday? Can it hit 15% with 2 big openers?

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Saturday est after service fees
Coco  -  104.8m/764.3m  +143%/-18% 
Paddington 2 - 43.6M/69.96M  +68%

Youth(芳华) -15M previews

The Thousand Faces of Dunjia(奇门遁甲) - 12.8M previews

Loving Vincent - 10.9m/17.9m +58%
47 Meters Down - 8.95M/20.4M -18%

Justice League  -  3.15m / 682.8m  +130%

Darkest Hour - 1.8M/ 29.36m

Only the Brave - 1,75m/4.24m
 

 

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9 hours ago, druv10 said:

How many showtimes do you think Coco will have on Friday? Can it hit 15% with 2 big openers?

of the two local movies next week, Youth has got good reviews but its not kind of movie having big OW, the other movie has toxic WOM.

Coco may get back to 15% on Sat and Sun.

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Coco pacing to 90m. good hold compared to zoo's 3rd sunday.  its 280m behind and looking to keep pace going forward. It may not bump Friday but could bump 200% on Saturday. The following weekend has 2 openers with large early presales as well. If Coco can weather the next two weekends, it could maintain that gap and land above 1.2b/$180m. If not 1.1b/$165m+ will still happen.

Dangal had big late legs with june holiday help, I don't think Coco can stay ahead of it to clear 1.3b/$195m unless the upcoming big openers fade hard.

 

Zoo           Dan         Coco        
Day Yn % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot
Thur                              
Fri 22     22 3 16     16 2 13     13 2
Sat 60 169.6%   82 12 31 98.7%   47 7 47 270.1%   60 9
Sun 72 19.9%   155 23 36 16.1%   83 13 58 23.4%   118 18
Mon 36 -49.9%   191 29 20 -44.4%   103 16 20 -65.5%   138 21
Tues 69 89.5%   260 39 23 15.0%   126 19 21 5.0%   159 24
Wed 45 -35.3%   304 46 27 17.4%   153 23 24 14.3%   183 28
Thur 43 -3.1%   348 53 27 0.0%   180 27 25 4.2%   208 31
Fri 71 65.7%   419 63 42 55.6% 169.2% 222 34 50 100.0% 293.7% 258 39
Sat 167 133.9%   586 89 95 126.2% 206.5% 317 48 125 150.0% 166.0% 383 58
Sun 150 -10.2% 107.2% 736 112 93 -2.1% 158.3% 410 62 113 -9.6% 94.8% 496 75
Mon 43 -71.3% 18.5% 779 118 34 -64.2% 70.0% 444 67 31.6 -72.0% 58.0% 527 80
Tue 38 -11.6% -44.8% 817 124 32 -5.9% 39.1% 476 72 29.8 -5.7% 41.9% 557 84
Wed 34 -10.5% -23.6% 851 129 29 -9.4% 7.4% 505 76 28 -6.0% 16.7% 585 89
Thu 29 -14.7% -32.7% 880 133 26 -10.3% -3.7% 531 80 25 -10.7% 0.0% 610 92
Fri 47 62.1% -34.2% 927 140 42 61.5% 0.0% 573 87 43 72.0% -14.0% 653 99
Sat 109 131.9% -34.7% 1036 157 111 164.3% 16.8% 684 104 104 141.9% -16.8% 757 115
Sun 86 -21.1% -42.7% 1122 170 81 -27.03% -12.9% 765 116 90 -13.46% -20.4% 847 128
Mon 18 -79.1% -58.1% 1140 173 23 -71.6% -32.4% 788 119 22 -75.6% -30.4% 869 132
Tue 17 -5.6% -55.3% 1157 175 21 -8.7% -34.4% 809 123 20 -9.1% -32.9% 889 135
Wed 15 -11.8% -55.9% 1172 178 20 -4.8% -31.0% 829 126 18.3 -8.5% -34.6% 907 137
Thu 14 -6.7% -51.7% 1186 180 18 -10.0% -30.8% 847 128 17 -7.1% -32.0% 924 140
Fri 19.0 35.7% -59.6% 1205 183 13 -27.8% -69.0% 860 130 17 0.0% -60.5% 941 143
Sat 50.0 163.2% -54.1% 1255 190 19 46.2% -82.9% 879 133 44 158.8% -57.7% 985 149
Sun 43.0 -14.0% -50.0% 1298 197 44 131.58% -45.7% 923 140 36 -18.18% -60.0% 1021 155
Mon 9.8 -77.2% -45.6% 1308 198 54 22.7% 134.8% 977 148 9 -75.0% -59.1% 1030 156
Tue 9.2 -6.1% -45.9% 1317 200 43 -20.4% 104.8% 1020 154 8 -11.1% -60.0% 1038 157
Wed 9.1 -1.1% -39.3% 1326 201 13 -69.8% -35.0% 1033 156 7.3 -8.8% -60.1% 1046 158
Thu 9.1 0.0% -35.0% 1335 202 32 146.2% 77.8% 1065 161 6.7 -8.2% -60.6% 1052 159
Fri 9 3.3% -50.5% 1345 204 13 -59.4% 0.0% 1078 163 8 19.4% -52.9% 1060 161
Sat 32 241.5% -35.8% 1377 209 27 107.7% 42.1% 1105 167 20 150.0% -54.5% 1080 164
Sun 42 30.8% -2.3% 1419 215 23 -14.8% -47.7% 1128 171 16 -20.0% -55.6% 1096 166
Mon 30 -28.6% 206.1% 1449 219 7.7 -66.5% -85.7% 1135 172 4.5 -71.9% -50.0% 1101 167
Tue 4.5 -85.0% -51.1% 1453 220 8.3 7.8% -80.7% 1144 173 4 -11.1% -50.0% 1105 167
        1530 232       1299 197          

 

 

 

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Sunday est after service fees
Coco  -  82,2m/846.1m  -21.2%/-27.5% 
Paddington 2 - 34.8M/104.4M  -19.4%

Loving Vincent - 10.8m/28.7m -1%
Youth(芳华) -9M previews, 24.65M total
47 Meters Down - 7.1M/27.7M -22%
Justice League  -  2.7m / 685.5m  -13%
Darkest Hour - 1.6M/30.9m
Only the Brave - 1,47m/5.74m

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Zootopia made its 73% gross in first 3 weeks, Coco is holding better but faces bigger competitions in late run.

So most likely Coco final range 1.1B-1.15B  without extension, 1.2B+ with one.

Disney's biggest movie this year, POTC5 - 1179.9M yuan.

Edited by Olive Skywalker
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19 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Zootopia made its 73% gross in first 3 weeks, Coco is holding better but faces bigger competitions in late run.

So most likely Coco final range 1.1B-1.15B  without extension, 1.2B+ with one.

Disney's biggest movie this year, POTC5 - 1179.9M yuan.

I think Disney is most likely to apply for an extension since both Zootopia and Moana got one.

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6 minutes ago, manny1234 said:

I think Disney is most likely to apply for an extension since both Zootopia and Moana got one.

Yeah, Disney China staff are still thrilled by now, they aren't ready that Coco's passing 1B yuan soon. LOL

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5 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

A bit off topic but how do you see TLJ fairing in Asia? Closer to TFA or RO?

South Korea?Japan?

Will drop 30-40% in CHN/SK

20-30% IN JPN

Edited by Olive Skywalker
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