China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[bangbingchan]

There will be limited previews for Kong next Tuesday.

[fmpro]

17 minutes ago, bangbingchan said:

There will be limited previews for Kong next Tuesday.

 

They must have big confidence about great WOM

[bangbingchan]

2 hours ago, fmpro said:

 

They must have big confidence about great WOM

very limited preview,

50 shows.25 city.2 shows each

all in IMAX or Giant Screen

Edited March 16, 2017 by bangbingchan

[StephenN18]

Shall we have a prediction about RE6 for this weekend? I'll say $2.5 million this weekend. When will it be leaving cinemas in China?

[Gavin Feng]

4 hours ago, druv10 said:

Any idea how the WOM is?

Just watched Maoyan, seems fuck up. 8.2/10 after midnights, worse than The Great Wall 8.3/10. They don't like musical.

[TigerPaw]

14 hours ago, POTUS said:

Dog screens will a few percent higher than last Friday.

W3 and RE6 will keep 70-80% of their screens. Good holds all around expected.

RE6 has shot to beat XXX 1.124B. Late legs kicking in.

W3 has 725/$105m locked up. 750m likely.

Dog 690m/ $100m still looking possible

 

RE6 has legs based on showtimes... no big openers last week... and just 1 big opener this week. xXx's per screen average has been higher after their comparative first weekend.

[keysersoze123]

So beast will be front loaded. I dont think even 100m USD is locked.

[POTUS 2020]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

So beast will be front loaded. I dont think even 100m USD is locked.

Yup. With an 8.1 rating and female audience it may do as little as 6x OD which is on target for 80m~ as expected. 4m p/hr run rate plus an extra 10m for peak. Under 500m/$73m possible

 

Kong with a similar PS run rate as BatB is now targeting 130m OD. The lag behind RE6 confirms that number. 120-140 OD for KK.

 

Holdover projections. Could be higher. Matinees may be weaker than evening because of beast.

Dog 15m -50% WoW. Thought it could hold -35%

W3 10m -66%

RE6  4m -55%

 

[Gavin Feng]

1 hour ago, POTUS said:

Yup. With an 8.1 rating and female audience it may do as little as 6x OD which is on target for 80m~ as expected. 4m p/hr run rate plus an extra 10m for peak. Under 500m/$73m possible

 

Kong with a similar PS run rate as BatB is now targeting 130m OD. The lag behind RE6 confirms that number. 120-140 OD for KK.

 

Holdover projections. Could be higher. Matinees may be weaker than evening because of beast.

Dog 15m -50% WoW. Thought it could hold -35%

W3 10m -66%

RE6  4m -55%

 

 

Maybe something wrong with Maoyan score? BATB makes 8.8/10 on Taopiaopiao(淘票票)and 8.9/10 on Gewara(格瓦拉). I checked out that there shouldn’t have the great gap between those website for most films.

 

Title	Maoyan	Taopiaopiao	Gewara
BATB	8.2	8.8	8.9
Logan	8.8	8.8	8.6
La La Land	8.6	8.5	8.6
Resident Evil 6	8.6	8.7	8.5
A Dog's Purpose	9.2	9.2	9.1
xXx	8.8	8.8	8.6
Lego Baman	8.7	8.6	8.6
Sing	9.2	9.2	9.2
Assassin's Creed	7.5	7.4	7.6

 

[Omni]

7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

So beast will be front loaded. I dont think even 100m USD is locked.

100M dollars has never been a lock. China is an odd market, and it usually rejects musicals. Give Cinderella a few songs, and it would probably gross 30% less.

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, Omni said:

100M dollars has never been a lock. China is an odd market, and it usually rejects musicals. Give Cinderella a few songs, and it would probably gross 30% less.

 

Beast had very strong start to presales and almost looked like a blockbuster release early on. It definitely slowed down after its fast start.

 

Anyway looking at around 85-90m OD. its at 59.23m at 6PM and accelarating at this point.

[POTUS 2020]

4 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

Maybe something wrong with Maoyan score? BATB makes 8.8/10 on Taopiaopiao(淘票票)and 8.9/10 on Gewara(格瓦拉). I checked out that there shouldn’t have the great gap between those website for most films.

 

Title	Maoyan	Taopiaopiao	Gewara
BATB	8.2	8.8	8.9
Logan	8.8	8.8	8.6
La La Land	8.6	8.5	8.6
Resident Evil 6	8.6	8.7	8.5
A Dog's Purpose	9.2	9.2	9.1
xXx	8.8	8.8	8.6
Lego Baman	8.7	8.6	8.6
Sing	9.2	9.2	9.2
Assassin's Creed	7.5	7.4	7.6

 

Dropped to 7.8 already. Movies normally drop just  .2 over 2 days. Looking like small bump tomorrow, PS heading to 25m and should be 4x for a 100m Saturday. 

Evening is looking strong. 

Beast mid 80s

Dog upper teens, $100m still alive

 

Edited March 17, 2017 by POTUS

[keysersoze123]

presales for tomorrow is already at 18.6m. It should increase another 3-4m before EOD. I thought movies do around 5x of presales on saturday and so should be good for 120m tomorrow. 

[FantasticBeasts]

Where are we heading for the weekend?

(In US dollars please)

[keysersoze123]

11 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

Where are we heading for the weekend?

(In US dollars please)

 

 

high 40's for the weekend.

 

[FantasticBeasts]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

 

high 40's for the weekend.

 

China sucks

[peludo]

3 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

China sucks

What were you expecting?

[FantasticBeasts]

Just now, peludo said:

What were you expecting?

Nothing more. I knew China sucked before that.

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, peludo said:

What were you expecting?

 

Actually its doing good. its OD is looking at 3.2x of presales. and with around 320-340m OW it has good potential to gross 100m overall. That is great for a musical.

[peludo]

11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Actually its doing good. its OD is looking at 3.2x of presales. and with around 320-340m OW it has good potential to gross 100m overall. That is great for a musical.

For that reason I asked him. This kind of films are not specially massive in China. And it is not that China sucks, but they prefer another kind of films. Nothing wrong with that. Nobody complained when Zootopia grossed $235m there, for example...