keysersoze123 Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 2 hours ago, POTUS said: Dangal is going to reach 300m by next Thursday and should hold screens next weekend with little competition. 400m possible 300m should happen by sunday. its probably keeping at least 15% showtimes for friday and will comfortably be number 1(its already leading presales). I see its friday hit at least 30m. Saturday 60m and sunday 50m for 140m. So it should be at 430m by sunday and 500m by thursday. Week later it should have hit 600m and then Pirates takes over most of the showtimes. It should beat your name and doreman. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDarkKnightOfSteel Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 Will Guardians make it to 100M USD? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 Just now, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said: Will Guardians make it to 100M USD? Well, if China extend it's run, then yeah. It's a shame it didn't do better, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 22 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said: Will Guardians make it to 100M USD? That means 690m Yuan. Some people here are saying 600-650 range, so not likely. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: 300m should happen by sunday. its probably keeping at least 15% showtimes for friday and will comfortably be number 1(its already leading presales). I see its friday hit at least 30m. Saturday 60m and sunday 50m for 140m. So it should be at 430m(330m) by sunday and 500m(400m) by thursday. Week later it should have hit 600m(500m) and then Pirates takes over most of the showtimes. It should beat your name and doreman. Ftfy I was being conservative in case it doesn't bump much with screen loss. I could see your scenario happening. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 1 hour ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said: Will Guardians make it to 100M USD? I highly doubt that atm. It needs a good friday increase to have a chance 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 Multiple: GOTG2<BvS=1.66? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 2 hours ago, POTUS said: Ftfy I was being conservative in case it doesn't bump much with screen loss. I could see your scenario happening. Damn my math sucks. For some reason I thought it was 100m higher. Still 500m is nothing to sneeze at. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 3 hours ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said: Well, if China extend it's run, then yeah. It's a shame it didn't do better, though. I dont think run extension matters if it does not have many showtimes. 2 hours ago, peludo said: That means 690m Yuan. Some people here are saying 600-650 range, so not likely. Now I feel 600m is high end. its dropping every day and tomorrow its losing 70% of screens(from last friday). I feel it might drop a bit from today as PS is lower compared to yesterday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said: Multiple: GOTG2<BvS=1.66? why is to so bad. BvS was expected. Guardians 2 douban score is quite good so why is its legs so bad? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said: why is to so bad. BvS was expected. Guardians 2 douban score is quite good so why is its legs so bad? I think reviews and scores should be looked at... on a relative basis. Not absolute basis. What i mean is.. GOTG2 has high maoyan score and douban score.. but relative to Dangal it is considered the "less good" movie. Same case as Ip Man 3 and Zootopia. Ip Man 3 is one of the best Chinese film I have ever watched but same release date as Zootopia.. so on a relative basis - if people can only watch 1 movie.. they choose the better film. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 10 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: I dont think run extension matters if it does not have many showtimes. Now I feel 600m is high end. its dropping every day and tomorrow its losing 70% of screens(from last friday). I feel it might drop a bit from today as PS is lower compared to yesterday. So it can drop even in Yuan relative to first part (596m if I am not wrong) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 I'm surprised that to see GOTG2 not doing very great in china, the 1st one was already near $100m, no much improvement from the 1st is a bit disappointing..... Not to mention furious 8 grossed nearly $400m and resident evil/xxx all well passed $100m+ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 Marvel sequels become most front-loaded movies now. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 14 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: I'm surprised that to see GOTG2 not doing very great in china, the 1st one was already near $100m, no much improvement from the 1st is a bit disappointing..... Not to mention furious 8 grossed nearly $400m and resident evil/xxx all well passed $100m+ Not only no improvement. It could drop in both Yuan and dollars... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 (edited) 31 minutes ago, peludo said: So it can drop even in Yuan relative to first part (596m if I am not wrong) It should make 80m this weekend. 120m for the week. 570m next Thursday with weak releases following . 610-625m should happen. 40 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: why is to so bad. BvS was expected. Guardians 2 douban score is quite good so why is its legs so bad? 30% more seats since BvS allow it to be be more frontloaded like what happened with FF8. The real question is why it didn't improve 40% with the market since GotG1 and beat BvS with a larger OW and total. I don't think Dangal and GotG2 have exactly the same audience. I think sequels and comics are experiencing exhaustion outside of its core base Dangal 14% of shows GotG2 12.9% Edited May 11, 2017 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 Thu estimates before service chargesDangal - 24.3m / 170.9m(-3.6%)Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 18.6m / 424.5m(-22%) What a Wonderful Family - 7.99mShock Wave - 3.39m / 352.3mFate of the Furious - 2.71m / 2,515mBattle of Memories - 1.69m / 271.4m after service charges Dangal - 26.3m / 186mGuardians of the Galaxy 2 - 19.1m / 449.6m What a Wonderful Family - 8.6mShock Wave - 3.65m / 379.2mFate of the Furious - 2.9m / 2,667mBattle of Memories - 1.8m / 285.3m 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 midnights Power Rangers 0.25m King Arthur 0.2m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 Maoyan Friday predictions: Dangal - 44.5m Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 18.4m Power Rangers - 16.5m King Arthur - 10.5m 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 11, 2017 Share Posted May 11, 2017 11 minutes ago, Olive said: Maoyan Friday predictions: Dangal - 44.5m Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 18.4m Wow, that's nuts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
