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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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Alita: Battle Angel

Date Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ Daily Change L/W Change Gross To Date
Previews ¥7,100 $1,058,122     $1,058,122
22/02/2019 ¥125,572 $18,714,158 1668.62%   $19,772,280
23/02/2019 ¥167,151 $24,910,730 33.11%   $44,683,010
24/02/2019 ¥136,064 $20,338,416 -18.35%   $65,021,426
25/02/2019 ¥50,031 $7,467,313 -63.28%   $72,488,739
26/02/2019 ¥41,504 $6,203,886 -16.92%   $78,692,626
27/02/2019 ¥37,250 $5,568,012 -10.25%   $84,260,638
28/02/2019 ¥33,500 $5,007,474 -10.07% 373.24% $89,268,112
01/03/2019 ¥38,500 $5,737,705 14.58% -69.34% $95,005,817
02/03/2019 ¥72,000 $10,762,332 87.57% -56.80% $105,768,148

 

Good jump on second Saturday, a little better than expected. Shall do another $8.25mn tommorow for 2nd weekend of  $24.75mn (-62%). $140-145mn full run. 

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The Wandering Earth

Date Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ Daily Change L/W Change Gross To Date
Previews ¥13,154 $1,948,741     $1,948,741
05/02/2019 ¥188,791 $27,969,037     $29,917,778
06/02/2019 ¥258,680 $38,322,963 37.02%   $68,240,741
07/02/2019 ¥340,315 $50,417,037 31.56%   $118,657,778
08/02/2019 ¥384,515 $56,965,185 12.99%   $175,622,963
09/02/2019 ¥416,781 $61,836,944 8.55%   $237,459,907
10/02/2019 ¥417,018 $61,872,107 0.06%   $299,332,013
11/02/2019 ¥341,133 $50,240,501 -18.80% 2478.10% $349,572,514
12/02/2019 ¥258,355 $38,161,743 -24.04% 36.44% $387,734,257
13/02/2019 ¥215,539 $31,884,467 -16.45% -16.80% $419,618,725
14/02/2019 ¥352,435 $52,058,346 63.27% 3.26% $471,677,070
15/02/2019 ¥181,712 $26,840,768 -48.44% -52.88% $498,517,838
16/02/2019 ¥233,087 $34,429,394 28.27% -44.32% $532,947,233
17/02/2019 ¥192,170 $28,385,524 -17.55% -54.12% $561,332,757
18/02/2019 ¥99,744 $14,733,235 -48.10% -70.67% $576,065,992
19/02/2019 ¥112,371 $16,622,929 12.83% -56.44% $592,688,921
20/02/2019 ¥65,503 $9,747,470 -41.36% -69.43% $602,436,391
21/02/2019 ¥54,408 $8,096,429 -16.94% -84.45% $610,532,820
22/02/2019 ¥60,662 $9,040,537 11.66% -66.32% $619,573,356
23/02/2019 ¥98,153 $14,627,869 61.80% -57.51% $634,201,225
24/02/2019 ¥74,883 $11,159,911 -23.71% -60.68% $645,361,136
25/02/2019 ¥24,864 $3,716,592 -66.70% -74.77% $649,077,728
26/02/2019 ¥22,350 $3,335,821 -10.25% -79.93% $652,413,549
27/02/2019 ¥21,000 $3,139,013 -5.90% -67.80% $655,552,562
28/02/2019 ¥19,000 $2,840,060 -9.52% -64.92% $658,392,622
01/03/2019 ¥21,500 $3,204,173 12.82% -64.56% $661,596,795
02/03/2019 ¥42,000 $6,259,314 95.35% -57.21% $667,856,109

 

Shall do $4.75mn tomorow, for a 4th weekend of $14.25mn (-60%). More like $690-695mn full run.

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How To Train Your Dragon: Hidden Dragon World

Day Date Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ % +/- YD / LW* Shows / Avg Gross-to-Date Day #
Thu Previews ¥4,519 $675,486     2,368 $285 $675,486 0
Fri Mar. 1, 2019 ¥54,756 $8,160,358     104,389 $78 $8,835,843 1
Sat Mar. 02, 2019 ¥96,000 $14,307,004 75.32%   108,634 $132 $23,142,848 2

 

Heading for $35mn Approx weekend. 

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Green Book

Day Date Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ % +/- YD / LW* Shows / Avg Gross-to-Date Day #
Thu Previews ¥1,394 $208,371     786 $265 $208,371 0
Fri Mar. 1, 2019 ¥25,061 $3,734,873     59,167 $63 $3,943,244 1
Sat Mar. 02, 2019 ¥48,000 $7,153,502 91.53%   56,023 $128 $11,096,746 2

 

Heading for $18-18.5mn opening weekend. Full run could be anywhere, I expect $80mn.

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28 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Alita: Battle Angel

Date Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ Daily Change L/W Change Gross To Date
Previews ¥7,100 $1,058,122     $1,058,122
22/02/2019 ¥125,572 $18,714,158 1668.62%   $19,772,280
23/02/2019 ¥167,151 $24,910,730 33.11%   $44,683,010
24/02/2019 ¥136,064 $20,338,416 -18.35%   $65,021,426
25/02/2019 ¥50,031 $7,467,313 -63.28%   $72,488,739
26/02/2019 ¥41,504 $6,203,886 -16.92%   $78,692,626
27/02/2019 ¥37,250 $5,568,012 -10.25%   $84,260,638
28/02/2019 ¥33,500 $5,007,474 -10.07% 373.24% $89,268,112
01/03/2019 ¥38,500 $5,737,705 14.58% -69.34% $95,005,817
02/03/2019 ¥72,000 $10,762,332 87.57% -56.80% $105,768,148

 

Good jump on second Saturday, a little better than expected. Shall do another $8.25mn tommorow for 2nd weekend of  $24.75mn (-62%). $140-145mn full run. 

Exciting, seems like she was indeed loved by China. 

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Say Captain Marvel really get that 9.2 plus Maoyan score. That shall give it ¥230mn opening day and around ¥750-800mn weekend i.e. $110-120mn Approx.

 

Say $165mn domestic debut and a lil better than Captain Marvel in rest of the world at $175mn.

 

This gives $450-460mn opening weekend worldwide, number 6 of all time.

 

 

 

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Update: WOM really works. Green Book make $6.9M on Saturday. This is a big jump from it's opening day. $16M-plus opening weekend should happen. Local distributor Ali Pictures thought $15M total before releasing. So how much for it's lifetime in CHN? Unpredictable.

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8 minutes ago, a2k said:

Expected 160-165 2nd weekend for ALITA. Heading for $135 imo.

It had a good drop, but how do you guys think it will hold up against Good wom Greenbook/HTTYD and captain marvel? 

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9 minutes ago, pepsa said:

It had a good drop, but how do you guys think it will hold up against Good wom Greenbook/HTTYD and captain marvel? 

it will hold fine thru thursday, then get wacked by CM

Edited by POTUS 2020
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9 minutes ago, pepsa said:

It had a good drop, but how do you guys think it will hold up against Good wom Greenbook/HTTYD and captain marvel? 

will be tough to have good legs after 2nd week so am thinking $130-135 vs $140. will defer to what china pros think though, i haven't tracked movies enough.

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