China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[keysersoze123]

18 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

What's the tracking for Bayformers? 

 

I think Maoyan does post its predictions but I have not seen tracking in China. PS has started this sunday and its at 9.35m with 8 days to go. Well behind Fate but that started 2 weeks before release. We have to wait until Monday night to project where it could end up. But it will be HUGE. Question is how HUGE. 

[Olive]

Friday forecast

Alien 70.3m

Mummy 15.3

WW 8.3

[John Marston]

1 minute ago, Olive said:

Friday forecast

Alien 70.3m

Mummy 15.3

WW 8.3

 

 

 

so $10m opening day for Alien. So over $30m for weekend and 60m finish maybe? 

[fmpro]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

 

so $10m opening day for Alien. So over $30m for weekend and 60m finish maybe? 

 

30 mill OW is possible but this has 7 days until its Armageddon..

 

so more like 30 mill OW and 40-45 mill finish

[Olive]

It has even lower audience score than Mummy..

6.4/10

[KathNiel]

Suicide Squad and Deadpool will be screened in SIFF, is there any chance it gets a wide release? Lol. Nah. Everyone who cares probably already watched it anyways.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

AC was great. Why all the bad WOM came from...

[KathNiel]

^^Did you watch the Chinese version?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

16 minutes ago, KathNiel said:

^^Did you watch the Chinese version?

Yes. there were scenes cut but it didnt bring much damage.

[Bishop54]

4 hours ago, firedeep said:

Yes. there were scenes cut but it didnt bring much damage.

It's like totaling your automobile in an accident, a few extra scratches are no big deal.

[fmpro]

16 hours ago, Olive said:

Friday forecast

Alien 70.3m

Mummy 15.3

WW 8.3

 

Alien will be lower and Mummy+WW will be higher IMO

[POTUS 2020]

36 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Alien will be lower and Mummy+WW will be higher IMO

AC running at 4m per and will increase. I think it will clear 70m

Mummy and WW will  be higher as you said at 18m and 10m. That confirms both getting to 580s on Thursday.  If 85% drops happen next week. Mummy will reach 600m by monday after TF5 open and reach 610m. WW will crawl 600m before closing. 

[keysersoze123]

Not bad for Mummy as well. I think competition overall is weak and so even Mummy had ok legs. WW also did decent. 600m is quite good considering Guardians did less than 100m more. 

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, POTUS said:

AC running at 4m per and will increase. I think it will clear 70m

Mummy and WW will  be higher as you said at 18m and 10m. That confirms both getting to 580s on Thursday.  If 85% drops happen next week. Mummy will reach 600m by monday after TF5 open and reach 610m. WW will crawl 600m before closing. 

 

We will see.

AC is at 51 mill at 7pm and i think it will struggle in the late evening like we saw last friday with Mummy. It completely died after 21,30

 

Looks like Mummy and WW will be killed completely on thursday. Wed could be the last day over 1mill for both IMO

[Gavin Feng]

FRI estimates
 
before service charges

Alien: Covenant  -  65.9m / 72m(6.7/10 on Maoyan, worese than Mummy)

The Mummy  -  18.2m / 465.5m

Wonder Woman  -  8.94m / 501.8m
Pirates 5  -  4.42m / 1,067m

Dangal  -  3.57m / 1,147m

after service charges

Alien: Covenant  -  70m / 76.4m

The Mummy  -  19.5m / 497.4m

Wonder Woman  -  9.6m / 535m
Pirates 5  -  4.75m / 1140m

Dangal  -  3.88m / 1,244m

[Gavin Feng]

Transformers: The Last Knight [6 days + 3 hours]
MN  -  4.43m (9,844)
FRI  -  12.54m (76,460)
SAT  -  7.18m (54,899)
SUN  -  4.39m (48,699)

 

Fate of the Furious [6 days + 3 hours]
MN  -  9.50m (8,486) 
FRI  -  31.71m (75,467) 
SAT  -  12.91m (50,854) 
SUN  -  5.64m (43,708) 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

Hmm.

 

How will WOM be for TF5 in China?

 

And how was the WOM for TF4?

[fmpro]

17 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

FRI estimates
 
before service charges

Alien: Covenant  -  65.9m / 72m(6.7/10 on Maoyan, worese than Mummy)

The Mummy  -  18.2m / 465.5m

Wonder Woman  -  8.94m / 501.8m
Pirates 5  -  4.42m / 1,067m

Dangal  -  3.57m / 1,147m

after service charges

Alien: Covenant  -  70m / 76.4m

The Mummy  -  19.5m / 497.4m

Wonder Woman  -  9.6m / 535m
Pirates 5  -  4.75m / 1140m

Dangal  -  3.88m / 1,244m

 

Alien number is lower on Maoyan (should land around 68,5-69) and Mummy could come close to 20 mill

[keysersoze123]

@fmpro maoyan tends to be bit off at times. These estimates have been quite accurate. I would say its great for Alien. Almost 4x PS. Could be looking at 230m OW and 350m+ finish. Should be enough for 50m USD despite TF5 destroying it next weekend. 

[fmpro]

13 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

@fmpro maoyan tends to be bit off at times. These estimates have been quite accurate. I would say its great for Alien. Almost 4x PS. Could be looking at 230m OW and 350m+ finish. Should be enough for 50m USD despite TF5 destroying it next weekend. 

 

Perhaps.

 

I just wanted to be right when i told @POTUS earlier today that it would'ent reach 70 mill