China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[POTUS 2020]

6 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Final Saturday PS is about 37.9m which is down about 18.7% from Friday's final PS. For comparison BP had a final Saturday PS of about 50m (up about 10% from Friday's PS). But thanks to AM2's higher rating and summer, Ant Man will have a better multi although it wont jump as much as BP did today (31%).

 

200m will be about 30.7% jump

180m will be about 1.6% jump. I'll go with the second option which will take Ant Man to an opening in the vicinity of 70-71m usd. 

AM2 running at 12m per hour. 175-185m  incoming

500m/$73m still looking good with a -10% hold tomorrow.

$70m with -20%

[Legion Again]

I hope 1B+ can happen for the total, but 900+ is looking pretty good and already an excellent result for a solo SH movie.

[POTUS 2020]

22 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

I hope 1B+ can happen for the total, but 900+ is looking pretty good and already an excellent result for a solo SH movie.

1b is locked.  It'll make 270m m-th thanks to summer weekdays

with a 770m week and even a 75% drop(should hold better) next week, its at 960m at the end of its second week

[Gavin Feng]

WOM from press screenings for MI6 is incredible.

[fmpro]

Are we going to have flatline for Ant2 today?!. I really thought it would have higher by 5pm. Only 102,5 mill

[ZeeSoh]

39 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Are we going to have flatline for Ant2 today?!. I really thought it would have higher by 5pm. Only 102,5 mill

It was at 101.68m at 5pm yesterday so not much of an increase. 

 

At 5.30pm today it is at 107.14 doing about 9.3m in the last hour. For comparison, BP was at 120m at 5.30pm on Saturday doing about 10m per hour. 

 

So yeah, we might see less than 10% rise today. 

[UserHN]

10 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

It was at 101.68m at 5pm yesterday so not much of an increase. 

 

At 5.30pm today it is at 107.14 doing about 9.3m in the last hour. For comparison, BP was at 120m at 5.30pm on Saturday doing about 10m per hour. 

 

So yeah, we might see less than 10% rise today. 

So less than $70M OW?

[fmpro]

16 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

It was at 101.68m at 5pm yesterday so not much of an increase. 

 

At 5.30pm today it is at 107.14 doing about 9.3m in the last hour. For comparison, BP was at 120m at 5.30pm on Saturday doing about 10m per hour. 

 

So yeah, we might see less than 10% rise today. 

153/160/155 plus 10 MN= 478 mill OW

[ZeeSoh]

14 minutes ago, UserHN said:

So less than $70M OW?

If it does end up with 160 today then it needs 5% or less drop tomorrow to get there. Its not impossible in summer to have such a drop but its gonna be tight

[a2k]

Would be great if it can get to $130+ total. $69*1.9x will take it to $131. Ants & Wasps vs Meg shark could get fun to track.

[TigerPaw]

Strong Saturday for holdovers.

[Olive]

3 hours ago, fmpro said:

153/160/155 plus 10 MN= 478 mill OW

can't see it drop lower than 10%

edit: PS drop a lot, maybe it will have normal SH drop

Edited August 25, 2018 by Olive

[UserHN]

1 hour ago, Olive said:

can't see it drop lower than 10%

edit: PS drop a lot, maybe it will have normal SH drop

What's the normal SH drop?

[Olive]

Saturday Estimates

Ant-man 2 160M/324.3M, +4%

Big Brother 28.3m/63.24m,-18%

The Meg 18.1M/964m, +58%

The Island  17.6M/1266m, +51%

Go Brother! 17.1M/45.5M, -+62%

Hotel Transylvania 3 7.95M/169.55m, +148%
Hello Mr. Billionaire 5.3M/2498.4M ,+99%

[Legion Again]

+4% is kind of a bummer with an 8.9, looks like DOM and China weekends are both going to be unexpectedly frontloaded. Still, headed for the highest non-team up SH OW in lc unless Sun dissapoints.

[UserHN]

40 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

+4% is kind of a bummer with an 8.9, looks like DOM and China weekends are both going to be unexpectedly frontloaded. Still, headed for the highest non-team up SH OW in lc unless Sun dissapoints.

If this film overperforms in China, it will likely surpass the worldwide gross of JL. But I don't think it will happen now, with that Sat increase.

[a2k]

Meg could be around 980 by Sunday after a 45 weekend. Close to 80% weekend drop! If it adds 45 more in the rest of the run will get to $150 more or less.

[ZeeSoh]

36 minutes ago, UserHN said:

If this film overperforms in China, it will likely surpass the worldwide gross of JL. But I don't think it will happen now, with that Sat increase.

It would have needed to seriously overperform a LOT to get to JL gross. To the tune of maybe 160-170m. That would have been almost a 60-70% increase over the first one. 

 

Besides Ant Man’s success does not depend on matching JL and JL’s failure is not any less epic. 

[Valonqar]

china is the most amazing market. It rejected all new SW movies, not just one kind or the other but all, it recognizes Ant Man awesomeness, it turned Fast&Furious franchise into 1B grossing rival to franchises that were better positioned for such success. Incredible. 

[a2k]

1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

china is the most amazing market. It rejected all new SW movies, not just one kind or the other but all, it recognizes Ant Man awesomeness, it turned Fast&Furious franchise into 1B grossing rival to franchises that were better positioned for such success. Incredible. 

...and gave RPO the success it deserved.