China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[POTUS 2020]

Into July and no billion+ local.

I guess the communists are punishing the capitalist movie producers and theaters for making too much money.

Could be a 20% BO drop this year with this censorship

[john2000]

Just now, fmpro said:

It has allready crossed the lifetime of Homecoming in 5 days... what more do you want? Its doing fantastic. Just frontloaded like most other Marvels

no, you dont understand, i didnt say that it was doing bad not even close, of course its doing fantastic, anyway

 

66-65, is a normal drop ?

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Into July and no billion+ local.

I guess the communists are punishing the capitalist movie producers and theaters for making too much money.

Could be a 20% BO drop this year with this censorship

thats unfortunate, this films had big potential

[fmpro]

7 minutes ago, john2000 said:

no, you dont understand, i didnt say that it was doing bad not even close, of course its doing fantastic, anyway

 

66-65, is a normal drop ?

On the high side

[john2000]

1 minute ago, fmpro said:

On the high side

i see so the range for today, was 65-73 ?

[fmpro]

1 minute ago, john2000 said:

i see so the range for today, was 65-73 ?

15-20% drop was always in store. Monday was 83,4

[ZeeSoh]

34 minutes ago, john2000 said:

@ZeeSoh , how is looking for today ?

I agree with the numbers fmpro said a few posts above. Following Ant Man 2's drops fairly closely, especially over the weekdays now. AM2 for example fell 54.5% on Monday whereas FFH fell 54.86%. On first Tuesday AM2 dropped 17.36%. Spidey will have the same drop if it gets to 69 (which it can). 

 

Now AM2 went on to have about 1.78x multi overall. Spidey likely will have a better multi due to 1) Better ratings than Ant Man 2 and 2) not having to face significant competition in its 2nd week like AM2 had to face (It had MI6 open in its 2nd weekend). 

[charlie Jatinder]

	Spider-man: Far From Home	Captain Marvel	Difference	Spider-man: Homecoming	Difference	Venom	Difference	Ant-man	Difference
Previews	¥23,000	¥15,274	1.51	¥9,376	2.45	¥15,888	1.45	¥10,365	2.22
Friday	¥225,000	¥214,692	1.05	¥127,202	1.77	¥223,384	1.01	¥154,491	1.46
Saturday	¥241,000	¥225,210	1.07	¥173,986	1.39	¥303,372	0.79	¥161,359	1.49
Sunday	¥182,000	¥141,719	1.28	¥125,436	1.45	¥224,135	0.81	¥138,776	1.31
Monday	¥82,500	¥43,151	1.91	¥38,695	2.13	¥90,093	0.92	¥63,005	1.31
Tuesday	¥65,000	¥33,775	1.92	¥31,576	2.06	¥79,831	0.81	¥52,064	1.25
Wednesday		¥27,855	0.00	¥26,276	0.00	¥69,157	0.00	¥44,412	0.00
Thursday		¥24,150	0.00	¥22,111	0.00	¥62,425	0.00	¥38,535	0.00
Week One	¥818,500	¥725,826		¥554,658		¥1,068,285		¥663,007
Friday		¥39,900	0.00	¥19,178	0.00	¥85,359	0.00	¥21,757	0.00
Saturday		¥72,800	0.00	¥42,310	0.00	¥161,674	0.00	¥31,579	0.00
Sunday		¥48,100	0.00	¥31,023	0.00	¥109,478	0.00	¥24,827	0.00
Monday		¥14,800	0.00	¥8,279	0.00	¥35,617	0.00	¥8,506	0.00
Tuesday		¥12,700	0.00	¥7,253	0.00	¥30,567	0.00	¥7,744	0.00
Wednesday		¥11,150	0.00	¥6,479	0.00	¥29,230	0.00	¥6,904	0.00
Thursday		¥10,300	0.00	¥5,825	0.00	¥29,978	0.00	¥6,101	0.00
Week Two	¥0	¥209,750		¥120,347		¥481,902		¥107,418
Rest		¥120,000		¥99,750		¥320,455		¥61,134
Total		¥1,055,576		¥774,755		¥1,870,642		831559
Multiple		1.77		1.78		2.44		1.79

 

[fmpro]

Around 66mill tuesday. Its a little frontloaded no doubt looking at Sat-Tue

 

It needs to stabelize tomorrow and not drop 20%+ again. 

Im hopeing for around 55 mill but could be less

[charlie Jatinder]

Pre-sales pretty much same as yesterday. Tuesday pre-sales were 18.5%, while on Monday was 17.5%. So hopefully won't drop much.

[a2k]

FFH rating 9.1/10

Maoyan is forecasting 1.32b / $192.5m total

[POTUS 2020]

It'll hold better tomorrow. Not going to do 2.5x with that Tues hold. Looks like $200-210m

Aq	9.3				XR 6.89	Vm	9.1			XR 6.94	SM7	9.1			XR 6.87
Day	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot
Fri	157			166	24.2	223			239	34	224			246	36
Sat	266	69.6%		432	62.8	303	35.9%		542	78	244	8.9%		490	71
Sun	220	-17.0%		652	94.9	224	-26.1%		766	110	185	-24.2%		675	98
Mon	89	-59.5%		741	107.9	90	-59.8%		856	123	84	-54.9%		759	110
Tues	74	-17.5%		815	118.6	80	-11.1%		936	135	66	-21.0%		825	120
Wed	62	-15.9%		877	127.6	69	-13.8%		1005	145
Thur	55	-11.5%		931	135.6	62	-10.1%		1067	154
Fri	87	57.8%	-44.7%	1018	148.0	85	37.1%	-61.9%	1152	166
Sat	164	90.1%	-38.1%	1182	171.8	162	90.6%	-46.5%	1314	189
Sun	124	-24.6%	-43.7%	1306	189.9	109	-32.7%	-51.3%	1423	205
Mon	41.4	-66.6%	-53.6%	1348	195.9	35.6	-67.3%	-60.4%	1459	210
Tue	36.6	-11.6%	-50.3%	1384	200.9	30.5	-14.3%	-61.9%	1489	215
Wed	33.1	-9.6%	-46.5%	1417	205.7	26.6	-12.8%	-61.4%	1516	218
Thu	30.3	-8.5%	-44.7%	1448	210.1	23.7	-10.9%	-61.8%	1539	222
Fri	33.4	10.2%	-61.4%	1481	215.0	31.1	31.2%	-63.4%	1571	226
Sat	70.2	110.2%	-57.3%	1551	225.2	61.5	97.7%	-62.0%	1632	235
Sun	58	-17.4%	-53.2%	1609	233.6	43.2	-29.8%	-60.4%	1675	241
Xeve	36.1	-37.8%	-12.8%	1645	238.8	14.4	-66.7%	-59.6%	1690	243
Xday	35.7	-1.1%	-2.5%	1681	244.0	13.0	-9.7%	-57.4%	1703	245
Wed	19.5	-45.4%	-41.1%	1701	246.8	12.0	-7.7%	-54.9%	1715	247
Thu	17.5	-10.3%	-42.2%	1718	249.4	11.3	-5.8%	-52.3%	1726	249
Fri	16.7	-4.6%	-50.0%	1735	251.8	18.1	60.2%	-41.8%	1744	251
Sat	18.75	12.3%	-73.3%	1754	254.5	40.0	121.0%	-35.0%	1784	257
Sun	43.4	131.5%	-25.2%	1797	260.8	27.5	-31.3%	-36.3%	1812	261
NYE	53.2	22.6%	47.4%	1850	268.5	9.3	-66.2%	-35.4%	1821	262
NYD	50.9	-4.3%	42.6%	1901	275.9	8.2	-11.8%	-36.9%	1829	264
Wed	11.5	-77.4%	-41.0%	1913	277.6	7.8	-4.9%	-35.0%	1837	265
Thu	9.7	-15.7%	-44.6%	1922	279.0	7.3	-6.4%	-35.4%	1844	266
BB od	5.3	-45.4%	-68.3%	1928	279.8	2.1	-71.2%	-88.4%	1846	266
Sat	12.1	128.3%	-35.5%	1940	281.5	4.7	123.8%	-88.3%	1851	267
Sun	10.8	-10.7%	-75.1%	1950	283.1	3.7	-21.3%	-86.5%	1855	267
				2012	292.0				1870	269.5

Edited July 2, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[Sunny Max]

7 minutes ago, a2k said:

FFH rating 9.1/10

Maoyan is forecasting 1.32b / $192.5m total

Life time $200 M to $210 M  ...

[ZattMurdock]

If it gets to $200m in China it already is absolutely insane. Hearing a lot of good things about this film pretty much everywhere. It should have great legs all around.

[charlie Jatinder]

As I said, its 2nd Friday that matters. I still see $240mn if 2nd Friday bumps.

[keysersoze123]

Looks like having a very tiny drop today. In single digits.

[charlie Jatinder]

Almost flat in hourly grosses, shall be around ¥60-65mn today.

[Olive]

will lose half showtimes on Friday.

[fmpro]

2 minutes ago, Olive said:

will lose half showtimes on Friday.

Almost yes. But should get alot back during the weekend

[JimiQ]

31m around yesterday's midday, so 62m I guess? Of course midday can move, so...