China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Issac Newton]

3 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

After US, next diaster is awaiting at 10/29

Douban Ratings:

NTTD : 7.0

DUNE : 7.9

[LPLC]

On 10/18/2021 at 6:39 PM, LPLC said:

¥5500M-¥5600M by Sunday ? Do you expect a flat weekend at ¥400M-¥500M ?

You are very optimistic, I expect more of a weekend around ¥200M and a cumulative ¥5300M by Sunday. 

THIS is what I said.

[Issac Newton]

Monday Estimates:

The Battle At Lake Changjin : ¥21M (~$3.3M) / ¥5321M (~$834M) 26D

Dune : ¥13M (~$2M) / ¥153M (~$24M) 4D

My Parents, My Homeland : ¥4.6M (~$720K) / ¥1422M (~$222.6M) 26D

Knock Knock : ¥4.4M (~$690K) / ¥25.8M (~$4M) 4D

Love After Love : ¥3.8M (~$590K) / ¥42.5M (~$6.6M) 4D

[LPLC]

On 10/19/2021 at 5:39 PM, LPLC said:

 

My TBALC Weekend Projection :

 

By 10/24 : ¥5300M - ¥5350M 

By 10/31 : ¥5450M - ¥5500M 

By 11/07 : ¥5550M - ¥5600M 

By 11/14 : ¥5600M - ¥5650M 

Finals : ¥5650M - ¥5700M

 

TBALC will overtake Hi, mom without problems but I still have doubts for WW2, the final run will be very tight.

I repeat myself, it will be very tight between WW2 and TBALC.

[Issac Newton]

2021 in Mainland China:

1️⃣ Hi Mom : ¥5413M

2️⃣ The Battle at Lake Changjin : ~¥5321M ↗️

3️⃣ Detective Chinatown 3 : ¥4522M

4️⃣ My Parents, My Homeland : ~¥1422M ↗️

5️⃣ Fast and Furious 9 : ¥1392M (Imported /🇺🇲 US)

6️⃣ Raging Fire : ¥1329M (🇭🇰 Hong Kong/ 🇨🇳 China co-production)

7️⃣ Chinese Doctor : ¥1328M

8️⃣ Godzilla vs Kong : ¥1233M (Imported /🇺🇲 US)

9️⃣ A Little Red Flower : ¥1196M /¥1432M (2020/12/31)

🔟 Cloudy Mountain : ¥1190M

 

All Time Highest Grossing Film Mainland China:

1️⃣ Wolf Warrior 2 : ¥5,688,741,000

2️⃣ Hi Mom : ¥5,413,303,000

3️⃣ The Battle at Lake Changjin : ~¥5321M ↗️

4️⃣ Ne Zha : ¥5,035,021,000

5️⃣ The Wandering Earth : ¥4,686,808,000

6️⃣ Detective Chinatown 3 : ¥4,522,346,000

7️⃣ Avengers: Endgame : ¥4,250,384,000 (Imported /🇺🇲 US)

8️⃣ Operation Red Sea : ¥3,651,886,000 (🇨🇳 China /🇭🇰 Hong Kong co-production)

9️⃣ Detective Chinatown 2 : ¥3,397,688,000

🔟 The Mermaid : ¥3,397,175,000 (🇨🇳 China /🇭🇰 Hong Kong co-production)

 

Updated as of 10/25

[Issac Newton]

7 minutes ago, LPLC said:

I repeat myself, it will be very tight between WW2 and TBALC.

Dune reduced market share from 76% to 45%. If Dune release was delayed by an week, we would still be having a ¥300M+ weekend. 

[LPLC]

19 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Dune reduced market share from 76% to 45%. If Dune release was delayed by an week, we would still be having a ¥300M+ weekend. 

Yes maybe I'm not saying the opposite, but hey there is competition and there will be more next week. That's how it is, there is nothing we can do about it.

 

By the way, at the time when WW2 came out, was there any competition ?

[Issac Newton]

10 minutes ago, LPLC said:

By the way, at the time when WW2 came out, was there any competition ?

I don't know much about China at 2017. @Gavin Feng and @Olive might help you out.

Edited October 25, 2021 by Issac Newton

[peludo]

17 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Yes maybe I'm not saying the opposite, but hey there is competition and there will be more next week. That's how it is, there is nothing we can do about it.

 

By the way, at the time when WW2 came out, was there any competition ?

WW2 was released on July 27th, 2017

2nd weekend: it was released Once upon a time (local film), which grossed 534m Yuan ($84m with today ER)

3rd weekend: Guilty of mind (local film): 304m Yuan ($48m)

4th weekend: Paradox (local film): 523m Yuan ($82m)

5th weekend: Valerian and the city of a thousand planets: 409m Yuan ($64m)

6th weekend: Dunkirk: 340m Yuan ($53m)

7th weekend: Spider-man: Homecoming: 775m Yuan ($121m)

8th weekend: War for the planet of the apes: 740m Yuan ($116m)

 

Not very big films, but a +300m Yuan every weekend from 2nd until 8th. Tha battle at lake Changjin has only faced My country, my parents, released the same day. Since then, it has not been released any film over 300m Yuan total.

[Gavin Feng]

Wolf Warrior 2 faced many many competitions. 

 

At the very beginning, few people in industry believed it could win over The Founding of an Army, which opened on the same weekend. But WW2 did best opening ever for a local movie.

 

On the next weekend, Alibaba Pictures released their fantasy-romance blockbuster Once Upon a Time. Although the movie sucked, it was a period that YA movies and young idols enjoyed their best time for milking those under 25. With great marketing and distribution, it was supposed to top ¥1,000M lifetime. But Wolf Warrior 2 kept ruling the market with nearly ¥1,100M on its second weekend.

 

On the third weekend, Wolf Warrior 2 still hold NO.1 though three major local titles opened. On the fourth weekend, it won again after new movie Paradox topped THU & FRI. First HLW title in later AUG Valerian came on WW2's fifth weekend. Dunkirk actioned on the sixth weekend. Homecoming, War for the Planet of Apes were on board on the seventh and eighth weekend.

[Issac Newton]

TBALC Weekly Attendees

W1 : 31,196,623

W2 : 53,695,637 (+72.12%)

W3 : 17,218,392 (-67.93%)

W4 : 8,952,477 (-48%)

Total through out Sunday : 111,063,129

 

Weekly Attendees:

Dune : 3,339,140 (OW)

My Parents, My Homeland : 1,764,824 /32,479,754 (-53%)

Knock Knock : 824,531 /1,020,092 (OW incl. previews) (+321.6%)

Love After Love : 555,818 (OW) 

 

TOP 5 Films by Attendees:

1️⃣ Wolf Warrior 2 : 159,318,290

2️⃣ Ne Zha : 139,890,960

3️⃣ Hi Mom : 120,933,059

4️⃣ The Battle At Lake Changjin : 111,063,129 ↗️

5️⃣ The Wandering Earth : 104,545,076 ↘️

Edited October 25, 2021 by Issac Newton

[LPLC]

Thank you for your answers. I wonder which film will have the most admissions in the end between Hi, Mom and TBALC. It will be tight just as it will be tight with WW2 for income.

[exomassey]

Sorry I haven’t been paying attention but how does Venom 2 not have a release date yet?

 

I understand Shang Chi and Eternals not getting a release but Venom hasn’t got one yet even after the first one was a big hit there. What’s up?

Edited October 25, 2021 by exomassey

[Gavin Feng]

3 hours ago, exomassey said:

Sorry I haven’t been paying attention but how does Venom 2 not have a release date yet?

 

I understand Shang Chi and Eternals not getting a release but Venom hasn’t got one yet even after the first one was a big hit there. What’s up?

 

Even if it got banned, they won't give a reason. 

[Gavin Feng]

Ticket sale suggest NTTD would make less than $20M on opening weekend.

[Rainy]

That seems pretty terrible, guess the $700 mil dream is dead?

[Gavin Feng]

Good news is there is still no major title in the first two weeks of November. NTTD can try longer run as long as WOM is not so bad.

[Issac Newton]

2 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Good news is there is still no major title in the first two weeks of November. NTTD can try longer run as long as WOM is not so bad.

Are we expecting another run like Hi Mom? I meant to say 2nd Weekend bigger than Opening Weekend

[Legion Again]

Lake Battle winning nov 5 or riot

[Mau]

If venom 2 is not released, then no way home is in danger