China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[LPLC]

21 minutes ago, peludo said:

5.730b ($899m applying today ER)

Can it try 5,8b total ?

[Issac Newton]

1 hour ago, LPLC said:

@Issac Newton do you have the updated figures from TBALC ?

Thursday Estimates

¥2.1M (~$330K) /¥5731.2M (~$898.72M) : C.E.R. (Source : Morningstar &Coinbase, Inc.)

Globally, $905M+

 

But, using Entgroup's data (USD conversion), it's $965M globally

 

China Gross in USD

BOM : $894,100,000 (as of 11/28)

NUM : $899.420,000 (as of 12/01)

ENTG : $953,700,000 (as of 11/28)

Edited December 2, 2021 by Issac Newton

[LPLC]

So TBALC is the second film in the history of cinema after TFA ($936M) to exceed $900M in a single market : not bad.

[Issac Newton]

6 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Can it try 5,8b total ?

Possible, I do not see drastic legs as It is still making ¥2M+ on weekdays &¥5M+ on weekends (days)

 

I am forecasting this...Although, I still expected a little lower than ¥5800M but still surpassing the current ¥5750M ending

Spoiler

 

By 12/05 : ¥5745M-¥5750M

By 12/12 : ¥5765M-¥5770M

By 12/19 : ¥5775M-¥5780M

By 12/26 : ¥5780M-¥5785M

By 12/30 : ¥5782M-¥5788M

 

 

[peludo]

50 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Can it try 5,8b total ?

IMHO, I do not think it will reach it. In December it uses to be many local releases making good numbers, so it should lose many screens. I think it will land about 5.75b-5.76b

[Issac Newton]

Drastic Drops to sixth amid 3 new releases. In short, meeting the projection that @peludo shared.....

[xieh tie]

 

[Issac Newton]

Gotta some doubts USA's 2021 X-max Weekend or Mainland China's 2022 New Year Weekend? Which will perform better this time?

[xieh tie]

btw, there will be a 3DCG animated chibi maruko chan film during the Chinese New Year 2022

[Issac Newton]

33 minutes ago, xieh tie said:

btw, there will be a 3DCG animated chibi maruko chan film during the Chinese New Year 2022

Yeah, it is a Chinese produced &re-adaptation of 1986 Japanese's Shojo Manga "Chibi Maruko-chan" I am excited to see how will audience react to this anime film.

 

Complete Title : Chibi Maruko-chan: The Fantastic Notebook

Edited December 3, 2021 by Issac Newton

[peludo]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

Gotta some doubts USA's 2021 X-max Weekend or Mainland China's 2022 New Year Weekend? Which will perform better this time?

I do not know the potential of the releases of the CNY 2022, but if I am not wrong the CNY OW this year was 4.5b combined ($700m). In that case, I do not see how USA+Canada can compete with that.

[Issac Newton]

9 minutes ago, peludo said:

I do not know the potential of the releases of the CNY 2022, but if I am not wrong the CNY OW this year was 4.5b combined ($700m). In that case, I do not see how USA+Canada can compete with that.

Yeah, in USA, I do not see any film other SM:NWY, Matrix, The King'smen... adding more than $350M (combined). 

 

2021 Chinese New Year (2/11-2/17)

Complete Week : ¥7800M+ (~$1200M) 

 

OD (2/11) : ¥1700M+ (~$263M) or 34 million visitors

Edited December 3, 2021 by Issac Newton

[Issac Newton]

February 2021

In terms of admission

02/01-02/07 : 8,068,288

02/08-02/14 : 93,657,407

02/15-02/21 : 120,157,356

02/22-02/28 : 41,218,993

[Issac Newton]

Until Today, Cumulative Visitors is about ~1030M for 2021. Would have passed 1200M-1300M if Hollywood title would have released.

 

Hollywood titles that are yet to be release in China.

Spoiler

“Black Widow,” “Space Jam: A New Legacy,” “The Suicide Squad”, "Reminiscence", "Ron’s Gone Wrong", "Encanto", "Venom: Let There be Carnage", "Matrix 4", "Shang Chi", "Eternals", “PAW Patrol”, “Clifford the Big Red Dog”, "Spiderman: No Way Home", “The King’s Man” &“Sing 2”

 

Edited December 3, 2021 by Issac Newton

[KP1025]

It looks like December 24 might be the only date Matrix 4 can release in if it's still targeting a December release. December 17 and 31 are both taken by big local films.

[raulbalarezo]

 

What does this mean for the No Way Home release date ?

Edited December 4, 2021 by raulbalarezo

[Issac Newton]

Then NWH : 24 Dec or after 2022 CNY

 

Some more dates of possiblities : Jan 7th (lining with Japan) or 21/28 Jan. Everything has messed up for Holland.

Edited December 4, 2021 by Issac Newton

[raulbalarezo]

7 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Then NWH : 24 Dec or after 2022 CNY

 

Some more dates of possiblities : Jan 7th (lining with Japan) or 21/28 Jan. Everything has messed up for Holland.

Of all of them which would be the best release date ?

[Issac Newton]

3 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:

Of all of them which would be the best release date ?

Ofc, that Dec 24 will be best but 1/2 weeks release before 2022 CNY does not looks good, Especially, if the film does not have frontloaded factors, also reduce that $10M factors on legging. Releasing after CNY will also be dummy. But, since M4 got Jan 14th, so I do not see Hollywood titles releasing earlier than M4

[lorddemaxus]

Bruh, 3 weeks after it goes to HBO Max?