Elessar Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Of course it is impossible to get 90% of showtimes. DOS owns around 34% then, and TF4 54% on the opening day. I thought it's ticket sales relative to other movies. Makes more sense now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonstersandRoy Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) What people are saying here is about $45m-$50m OW and maybe a $110m-$115m total. But what are those kind of figures based on? The last film? I was also hearing earlier in this thread that because of the release date, BotFA could double what DoS took, so could it not double DoS opening weekend too? So around $64m. Which would be a Iron Man 3 territory opening (which went on to earn $120m). I think it will have a much bigger than $13m increase on DoS opening weekend. Honestly though, when it comes to China, I'm not even going to pretend I have an idea how there box office works. Edited January 22, 2015 by MonstersandRoy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) Well, it needs $170m from China so it better opens to about $75m... Edited January 22, 2015 by Elessar 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Well, it needs $170m from China so it better opens to about $75m... 170m from China is where I am to. Armitage and PJ continue to promote BOTFA in the China premiere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 94,779 4 hours left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) Well, it needs $170m from China so it better opens to about $75m... lol yesterday it needed 150 from China & now 170? appetites people!! Edited January 22, 2015 by Lady of Lorien Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonstersandRoy Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 94,779 4 hours left. 3 mins later 96388. Think this ticket thing updates itself every 20 min. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) I really feel nostalgic ppl The last market for Botfa & goodbye Middle-Earth on the big screen Edited January 22, 2015 by Lady of Lorien 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonstersandRoy Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I really feel nostalgic ppl The last market for Botfa & goodbye Middle-Earth on the big screen Yeah, hopefully Middle Earth can go out in a bang and not a wimper. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantaboy Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) Well, it needs $170m from China so it better opens to about $75m... You are asking China to open HOBBIT higher than North America (I mean 3-day wk of DOS). This is the real mission impossible. Edited January 22, 2015 by Fantaboy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) Yeah, hopefully Middle Earth can go out in a bang and not a wimper. it WILL at least in China thank u China! You saved Pacific Rim why not BotFA as well! edit: 98168 Edited January 22, 2015 by Lady of Lorien 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) But what are those kind of figures based on? The last film? I was also hearing earlier in this thread that because of the release date, BotFA could double what DoS took, so could it not double DoS opening weekend too? So around $64m. Which would be a Iron Man 3 territory opening (which went on to earn $120m). I think it will have a much bigger than $13m increase on DoS opening weekend. Honestly though, when it comes to China, I'm not even going to pretend I have an idea how there box office works. I just repeat what people like firedeep and Olive have been saying. They know quite well the market and considering what DOS did last year and how much others Hollywood blockbusters have done in last year, I think that range of 100-120 is quite probable. If it explodes, great. I would love it. But I prefer to be cautious (and realistic). I overestimated a lot the Hobbit movies before AUJ release and I do not want to be so wrong again. Edited January 22, 2015 by peludo 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 At Wanda Cinemas, BOFA presales are about 300% big as DOFP which had a $11M OD. I don't know why the presales are so strong for TH3 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) I overestimated a lot the Hobbit movies before AUJ release and I do not want to be so wrong again. we already have DOM performance that went nowhere after a pretty good OW so I'm extra cautios I don't know why the presales are so strong for TH3 #OneLAstTime factor bye bye Middle Earth Edited January 22, 2015 by Lady of Lorien Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonstersandRoy Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I just repeat what people like firedeep and Olive have been saying. They know quite well the market and considering what DOS did last year and how much others Hollywood blockbusters have done in last year, I think that range of 100-120 is quite probable. If it explodes, great. I would love it. But I prefer to be cautious (and realistic). I overestimated a lot the Hobbit movies before AUJ release and I do not want to be so wrong again. Yeah agree with that. I've been reluctant to make a final total prediction so far, $120m would be very good compared to first 2 films, anything else would be a bonus. Also like with these presales, it's not totally clear how many more theaters have been added to the data collection, though apparantly is not a big difference. If so and the presales reflect the opening weekend, we could have a big weekend ahead. Though may be massively frontloaded. It's now past 100k presales, around 4 and half hours till midnight. 100103 to be precise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 over 100k in gewara.com 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonstersandRoy Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 At Wanda Cinemas, BOFA presales are about 300% big as DOFP which had a $11M OD. I don't know why the presales are so strong for TH3 Wow! Impressive, when you consider also that DOFP had a $39m opening weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) ++ ayyy great milestone! so 50mio in play -- booo with 2x multipier it would be a 100m total Edited January 22, 2015 by Lady of Lorien Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonstersandRoy Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) + great milestone! so 50mio in play - with 2x multipier it would be a 100m total If presales are anything to go by and the latest info from Johnny, isn't $50m opening weekend already an easy lock in? I'm swaying towards around $60m OW right now. Edited January 22, 2015 by MonstersandRoy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) At Wanda Cinemas, BOFA presales are about 300% big as DOFP which had a $11M OD. I don't know why the presales are so strong for TH3 Because DOS was awesome, that's why! But in all seriousness, more presales could just mean less walk-in sales. Edited January 22, 2015 by Elessar 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
