lilmac

The subway scene was excellent. This was my 2nd fave Scream movie after Scream 1.

TLJ should be in the top 5. Period. 😄

-So happy for Jesus Revolution -Avatar still on track to beat IW. -I don’t think GOTG3 will suffer the same fate as AntMan 3. It’s a higher tier franchise and I don’t see Gunn dropping the ball.

Will the countdown be here or on a new thread? :-)

I have issues with that site’s calculation of breakeven points. Some of what I see doesn’t make sense to me. I wonder what they are basing profit points off of.

If the $450m number is accurate the production will make a profit with about a billion in WW theatrical grosses (assuming the studios take smaller cuts from OS boxoffice revenue streams per usual). Ancillary incomes will augment the take home $.

I’m having fun counting another man’s (Cameron) money.

https://www.thefilmik.com/is-avatar-2-hit-or-flop-is-avatar-way-of-water-headed-for-box-office-success/ Found a site specializing in production budget reporting….Avatar 2 numbers $800M spent on production + prints and advertising $1.3B break even point Costs probably don’t count the several years of research and development

Ant Man 3 budget https://www.thefilmik.com/ant-man-and-the-wasp-quantumania-budget/ $200m budget before P&A (prints and advertising) Black Panther 2 budget https://www.thefilmik.com/is-black-panther-wakanda-forever-hit-or-flop-hows-the-sequel-performed-at-box-office/ $450M with P&A

Porthos - Blue check here. I got you covered. Just say the word.

Love this thread Baumer made back in the day

"Daddy Cameron" LOL Hilarious.

TWOW's legs are in between that of a typical blockbuster (BB) and Avatar/Titanic (A/T). Let's say TGM is 0.8 differential of A/T (or 1.2 differential of BB) .....then TWOW is probably 0.7 A/T (totally made up math here) But that's great since the only movies with greater than 1.0 A/T differentials are films like My Big Fat Greek Wedding and Blair Witch which are more like 1.5 A/T and 1.2 A/T respectively.

Huge fan of Aaron Rodgers, especially after the last couple of years so boo. LOL Regarding the boxoffice, don't be alarmed folks if Monday sees sharper than expected drops. Plenty of time to recover especially with MLK weekend around the corner.

“Sources have told Variety that “Avatar: The Way of Water’s” break-even point was set at roughly $1.4 billion, a figure the movie has already crossed” @Barnack - can we backtrack that into a total production cost number. $700m perhaps. https://variety.com/2023/film/news/james-cameron-avatar-2-turn-profit-box-office-1235480925/

I love that dance. And the other one she does where she leans her head and body to the side. It got a reaction from the audience. LOL

Mario has wider appeal than Sonic and Pokemon, especially when taking into account the older audience. It's just a bigger audience. I see $300-400m domestic if the film is at least 70% RT score equivalent in quality.

James Cameron returns to the King of the World throne. How does he do it?? LOL Avatar: The Way of Water (Domestic) From Boxoffice Pro: Weekend # Gross All-time ranking 1 $134.1M #37 2 $63.3M #30 3 $67.4M #3 4 $45.0M #2 (American Sniper went wide in its 4th wknd, not counting it)

The boxoffice is returning to normalcy. The first regular boxoffice year since 2019. Still, when you look at the films in the #5-10 spot on a given weekend, there are still way more sub-$1M grosses than what we saw pre-2020. Before 2020, the #10 movie on any weekend was around $3M (that's been the case since the 1990s actually)

I never understood how people submit late when the deadline was known for months. Haha. That triggers me. LOL.

Lol! Good times tracking the LOTR movies and TPM/AOTC. How are ya!????

I popularized that term (‘multiplier’) in the early days of online boxoffice prognostications (late 90s). I saw it take it off from there and spread to the Boxoffice Reports forums and then BOM. Borrowed it from the college Econ classes I was taking. Lol

I love seeing continued use of the world multiplier with respect to boxoffice predictions. My only claim to fame in life (long story). 😁

38,001,489

Me in 2009: He did it again! Me in 2022/2023: He did it again!