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TLK

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Everything posted by TLK

  1. No, there are fewer movies for women and they make up more than 50% of movie-going public.
  2. They don't typically boo the cast and crew at the gala screenings. Booing at Cannes usually occurs at the press screening of competition titles. Cannes is so competitive and so political that every year a lot of good movies are ignored in favor of movies like Sea of Trees with big name actors and director. If the movie turns out to be bad then the critics don't hold back and they just go for the jugular. When a movie bombs hard at Cannes it just dies. There isn't going to be any redemption for Sea of Trees at either the box office or on the awards trail. It is dead. RIP.
  3. Deadline is reporting $27 million for PP2. It can possibly reach $70 million with that number if Saturday is strong enough.
  4. Wolf is a divisive movie. It makes sense that it will score higher on IMDB (fanboy site) than on Cinemascore which samples the full demographics of a movie.
  5. PP2 will make 60 million from a $25 million Friday even if it is frontloaded. 25 + 22 + 14 = 61
  6. I though that it would drop domestically for sure but it is underperforming even my low expectations. The Avengers is the top dog of Marvel's cinematic universe and it now raises stakes for other movies in the Marvelverse. For example, movies like Antman and Dr. Strange are more important now than they were two weeks ago.
  7. I don't know if it is that simple. PP2 and Fury Road will combine to take away more screens from TA2. They may also combine to make more money than Star Trek 2 on their opening weekend if the tracking numbers are accurate ($40 million+ for both).
  8. I am with Rothman. $100 million original SciFi/Romance is an incredibly risky movie regardless of who the leads are. IMO, Pratt is overrated as hell and he will be paid $10 million + for this movie which is insane for an actor who has never carried any movie on his own. Sorry but neither GOTG nor JW counts.
  9. Sunday was inflated but the number is unimpressive in absolute dollar terms. TA1 $18.9 million IM3 $11.3 million TA2 $12.6 million
  10. It makes sense. Both of them are done with boxing and they had no reason to get hurt when an enormous paycheck was already guaranteed. I would've preferred a fight back in 2009 when both of them were great boxers and would've gone all out to win.
  11. So it looks like everything will increase on Sunday. Good.
  12. I think the combination of Marvel, Pixar, Star Wars and the good old Disney Animations makes them the #1 studio for now. WB won't be able to compete with Disney on a yearly basis. Universal may win the year in 2015 but they have a shit lineup in 2016. OTOH, Disney will be back with Marvel, SW, Pixar etc. and they will all make huge amounts of money.
  13. Disney is doing great and is obviously the #1 studio but they may not win the year. Universal is having a better year so far and they also have a more varied slate.
  14. Everyone took a hit. Disney went on record with $200-210 million OW after early Friday numbers and this may actually cost them at the stock markets. The fight was a one-off event that was very difficult to model. Nobody thought that a PPV fight will impact box office to such an extent. I mean, a female-skewing movie like Age Of Adaline only increased 10% on Saturday. Its just nuts.
  15. Thank You. I don't know why people are doubting $300 million from China. This is the perfect movie for Chinese market at this time and the Hollywood competition that it will face isn't all that. Tomorrowland ? Pffft
  16. Saturday increases were atrocious. Makes me think that the actuals will be better for all the movies. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2015-05-02&p=.htm
  17. I was just looking at the Mojo numbers and everything got hammered. Age of Adaline has the second highest PTA in the Top 15 with only $2000.
  18. SW7 won't break the record in December. The weekend before Christmas is a huge shopping weekend, the competition is much stronger and the demographics of the movie skews a lot older than the CBM movies. I wasn't talking about TA2 in the second part of my post.
  19. I don't think that there is necessarily a superhero movie fatigue but Marvel is making movies that are beginning to merge into one another. That's not a bad thing while they all are making huge amount of money but at some point people will have to be convinced that a new movie is worth their time and money. I am not a CBM fan so I was never going to be wowed but even then I was completely unimpressed by TA2. It is just a paint by the numbers Marvel movie.
  20. Rth hinted last night that there was some problems with how they were reporting Thursday data.That's probably what screwed up all projections.
  21. They never spend a lot of money on marketing. Their exposure on this $100 million+ movie is supposed to be in the $10 million range so basically they will be promoting a $10 million movie. Why would you spend $60-70 million worth of advertising on a $10 million movie ?
  22. Almost all LGF movies are released between January-April and August-October. This sort of release strategy is smart if your advertising budget is on the lower side. IMO, they should do more counter-programming during the Holidays. Emma Stone/Ryan Gosling musical will be released in July next year so that's a good start.
  23. Why shouldn't The Avengers 2 previews beat DH2 midnights ? This is a bigger franchise with more Thursday shows and the demand is obviously there. I will be disappointed if Thursday previews come under $35 million.
  24. Orlando Bloom has been a big disappointment if you ask me. He is probably set for life financially but his career hasn't really gone anywhere. In comparison, Viggo Mortenson is doing really awesome work with some of the best auteurs in the World.
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