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TLK

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Everything posted by TLK

  1. I meant $20 million domestic total. If it makes $3 million this weekend then it may get there. SPC is an old school limited release distributor. They don't give big theater counts to movie and they don't spend a lot of money on P&A. They rely on WOM instead. They only have 5 $20 million+ grossing movie out of nearly 350 movies that they have released so far.
  2. ^^^ This is a misleading graph. Most Oscar nominated movies are released between October-December so they will necessarily make more money in mid-January (Golden Globes) than at the end of February. I just posted the theater statistics for Still Alice, a rare January Oscar movie and it will get its biggest expansion after the Oscars and will probably have its biggest weekend yet.
  3. Still Alice will be in 1300 theaters this weekend. SPC rarely releases any movie in 1300 theaters so it must be beating their expectations and they are definitely thinking a $20 million+ domestic total.
  4. I just realized that by jettisoning Snow White and with this cast Universal will have to rely mainly on 25+ Males to make this movie a success.
  5. Yeah but they aren't really paying them big bucks most of the time. In this case, these is no other reason for Blunt and Chastain to join this possibly risky project.
  6. It just shows that Universal doesn't have a lot of confidence in Hemsworth. Studios don't like to pay big bucks for supporting roles in big CGI movie and they only do it when they think that the lead actors are weak.
  7. The Duff has a $8.5 million budget and the WOM may be positive so it is going to be okay. HTTM2 has a $14 million budget so it isn't going to be a significant disaster either even if it loses some money.
  8. For me A Fish Called Wanda is up there with the likes of The Big Lebowski, Life Of Brian and Blazing Saddles. Every single scene is damn nearly a comedy masterpiece.
  9. Oliver Stone used to make good movies 20 years ago. I have still this tiny hope that this movie will be a return to form for him. Oscar noms for JGL and Woodley( Supporting Actress) won't hurt either.
  10. Tuesday is ladies night. FSOG will have a relatively bigger drop on Wednesday.
  11. 22% is higher than usual. Fandango published the list of its top ticket selling movies a couple of years ago. The listed consisted mostly of Twilight and Harry Potter movies but they were in the 16-19% range. Since then Fandango has added a lot of AMC theaters to its roster so that may be the reason for the increase.
  12. Exactly. Harry Potter and Twilight actors got so much money because the studio split the final movie and they had to renegotiate the contract. I think Universal will wait for box office receipts of the second movie before they will split the third movie. My sense is that FSOG doesn't have the sort of solid core support that Twilight, HP and THG had. Twilight and Harry Potter were reliable $300 million DOM grossers by the time the studio split the final movie. FSOG isn't there yet.
  13. Deadline says $26-30 million FRI http://deadline.com/2015/02/fifty-shades-of-grey-kingsman-weekend-box-office-1201372952/
  14. This movie could've made over $80 million if LGF gave a fuck. They didn't even release the trailer until a month before it opened and then spend nothing on promo. On the positive side, the only reason a $43 million DOM grossing movie is getting a sequel is that the negative costs were so low.
  15. I am pretty sure that Brad Pitt was supposed to do this movie a long time ago. There was some talk about it when Two Lovers came out .
  16. I agree with the theory that AS is running out of potential audience. The controversy made the movie frontloaded and even though the WOM is good the target audience has already seen the movie. There is even a chance that MJ1 may be able to hold onto the #1 position if AS drops bigger than usual next weekend.
  17. All Blumhouse movies cost $4 million. They shoot 20 movies a year and their business model assumes that a quarter of them won't ever get released in ANY format.
  18. Stir of Echoes is an awesome movie. It is better than anything in wide release right now. Koepp has a pretty interesting filmography if you ask me.
  19. I don't think it will get to 400 million with a 60 million weekend. 4.5 multiplier from this weekend will be difficult even for a juggernaut like AS.
  20. Wow. This is a great drop for AS. $300 million is a lock.
  21. He directed Carrot vs Ninja in 2011. http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1930301/?ref_=nm_flmg_dr_2
  22. Cooper helped the movie but the real star of the movie is Chris Kyle himself. The book was on the bestsellers list for over three years. I am not a gambling guy but I am willing to put money on Serena not making anything even with Cooper and JLaw in the lead. Cooper isn't at Cruise's level and the comparison isn't fair unless and until he consistently starts carrying movies on his name alone. Cruise has 20+ movies that adjust to over $100 million DOM and he is the sole lead in at least 18 of them. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/people/chart/?id=tomcruise.htm
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