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TLK

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Everything posted by TLK

  1. The Walk had zero buzz until it premiered at NYFF last weekend. JGL isn't a box office draw on his own. He needed help but Sony dropped the ball.
  2. And he should also burn the Prince of Persia so it never gets made. Oh wait, it didn't have a script.
  3. I don't think the studio has any confidence in Pan. They bumped it in favor of Vacation, a movie that didn't do all that great in July/August.
  4. I'm not that surprised with Everest's numbers. Its PTA was only $13k last week compared to $30k for MI4 in a similar kind of release. The Martian will kill it for good next week.
  5. Unless Everest breaks out in wide release, none of this week's three releases will make $100 million domestic. I was expecting all three to do that.
  6. Also a win for Shyamalan. He financed the movie with his own money. He has now made something of a comeback with The Wayward Pines and The Visit.
  7. Tarantino is a dick but his recent observation about Oscarbait movies is correct. There is very little value to these movies outside of being oscarbait. Even Paul Haggis said that Crash, the baitiest of them all, shouldn't have won Best Picture over Brokeback Mountain.
  8. Warner Bros. had a very underwhelming summer. They went for the volume with almost a dozen movies and most of them didn't do all that well.
  9. Next weekend is going to be even worse. I don't think either the Transporter or the Redford movie will break $5 million.
  10. http://www.ew.com/article/2015/08/27/box-office-preview-straight-outta-compton-set-third-weekend-number-one $9 million for WAYF seems a bit high. War Room could've broken out if its theater count was bigger but $5-6 million seems like where it will end up.
  11. If the movie is good then it can make $100 million. There are a lot of horror fans who aren't on board with horror movies that are being released nowadays. Crimson Peak has the potential to bring them back to the theaters. If it sucks then even $50 million may be a tough haul for the reasons you mentioned.
  12. I hope it isn't a $5 million kind of movie. Phoenix deserves better than that and he wouldn't be on board if the script was completely shit,
  13. Piracy seems like an easy explanation for low ancillary revenue in China but not too long ago piracy was said to be the reason why movies weren't doing well in China and the rest of Asia. There is more piracy today than used to be back in the 90s but the box office is booming pretty much everywhere in Asia. I think there is another reason why studios don't see money from TV and home media. Maybe the Government there doesn't allow US studios to enter the home media market or something similar. Here is an article I found on 4K UHD TV sales in China. http://4k.com/news/chinese-market-creating-biggest-impact-4k-uhd-tv-sales/ If 4K TV sales are so high in China then the home media industry must also be booming.
  14. That ancillary revenue number for China has to go up in the near future. I don't see why a movie that makes $300 million in theaters should suddenly stop making money when it goes to DVD, TV and VOD.
  15. How is the home media market in China ? If the box office is booming then the home media market must also be expanding.
  16. He is over-reacting but his point about original movies is accurate. Audiences don't want to spend money on an unknown quantity. People who run the studios aren't morons. They rarely greenlight anything original these days because the odds are that people won't see it..
  17. I think September 18th weekend is going to be huge because of Maze Runner and Black Mass ( 30 million+) and not Sicario. Sicario will be a platform release so it will probably have a slow build up to the wide release.
  18. I have to respect any director who takes Studio money and makes a completely batshit insane movie like The Happening.
  19. Compton will stay #1 for four weekends unless Efron's movie over-performs next week and makes $17-18 million.
  20. Compton is guaranteed to win the weekend. Sinister 2's reviews have ensured that it won't appeal to general audience so probably $20 million is its ceiling now. SOC should do $26-27 million easily.
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