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Everything posted by TLK
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Wknd Est: F7 - 29M, PB:MC2 - 24M, UF - 16M | China: F7 - 93.3M Wknd
TLK replied to #ED's topic in Numbers and Data
Unfriended is going to be Project X 2.0 . Trivia - Project X was the most torrented movie of 2012 ( #2 The Avengers #3 Dark Knight Rises) -
They have a shot but TA2 and Star Wars will be just too big to overcome. I mean you can safely bet on TA2 and SW7 combine to make $2.5 billion worldwide. That's just insane.
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Universal is killing it this year and I don't think they'll relinquish their lead to Disney until Star Wars opens. TA2 will make a billion dollars on its own. They also have Inside Out and Antman but JW, Minions, PP2 and Ted 2 will balance them out and more
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Wednesday drops will be huge.
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Weekend Estimates: Insurgent 54m | Cinderella $34.5m pg 29
TLK replied to Olive's topic in Numbers and Data
Sean Penn is an asshole but he is a very smooth and smart guy. Watch him speak and you will understand his track record with the ladies. -
This is a $100 million movie. It will have to be really bad (even by Sandler standards) to bomb. This also has a completely different audience from movies like Trainwreck, Pan, Paper Towns etc. Ant-man will be direct competition but let us not pretend that it has some tremendous buzz and anticipation even if it is Marvel.
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Weekend 3/13-15 Official Estimates: Cinderella 70.1m, RAN 11m
TLK replied to Olive's topic in Numbers and Data
He is getting burned out and people will start tuning him out. Same thing happened to Johnny Depp when he played so many weirdo characters in succession. -
Weekend 3/13-15 Official Estimates: Cinderella 70.1m, RAN 11m
TLK replied to Olive's topic in Numbers and Data
Liam Neeson needs to chill for a couple of years. -
US Dollar is pretty strong these days so the amount a movie is making in US$ is less than what it was last year for the same number of tickets sold in Europe, Latin America and Asian markets. $400 million overseas will be very, very good for Cinderella.
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Weekend 3/13-15 Official Estimates: Cinderella 70.1m, RAN 11m
TLK replied to Olive's topic in Numbers and Data
Overseas is more problematic for a live-action fairytale movie. If this was a Disney animation I wouldn't have ruled out a billion. -
Zoolander 2 | February 12, 2016 | Teaser Trailer on Page 6!
TLK replied to sakskidz's topic in Box Office Discussion
This has to be one of the best movie announcements of all time. I never thought I'd say this but I am actually anticipating a freakin' sequel for Zoolander. -
Will Smith's kids had nothing to do with it. The problem is that a.) the movie isn't that good and b.) the movie doesn't fit into a genre box ( Romance ? Comedy ? Action?) which made it difficult to market. The most telling statistics was that 88% of the audience was over 25. That's a good number for a Maggie Smith movie but not for a Will Smith movie. It is very rare for a movie to get wiped out with the under-25 crowd and still make a lot of money.
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Weakass Friday Numbers across the board. Hopefully Saturday will be better. 1). Focus (WB), 3,323 theaters / $6.76M Fri.*/ 3-Day: $20.2M/Wk 1 2). Kingsman: The Secret Service (FOX), 3,282 theaters (+16) / $3M Fri. (-43%)/ 3-Day: $10.8M (-41%)/ Total Cume: $85M/ Wk 3 3). Fifty Shades Of Grey (UNI/Focus), 3,383 theaters (-272) / $3.4M Fri. (-57%)/ 3-Day: $10.24M (-54%)/Total Cume: $146.9M/ Wk 3 3). The Lazarus Effect (REL), 2,666 theaters / $3.9M Fri.*/ 3-Day: $10.22M/Wk 1 5). The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water (PAR), 3,467 theaters (-213) / $2M Fri. (-49%)/ 3-Day: $8.7M (-47%)/Total Cume: $137.6M/ Wk 4 6). American Sniper (WB), 3,235 theaters (-201)/ $1.9M Fri. (-28%) /3-Day: $7.3M (-27%)/ Total cume: $330.4M/ Wk 10 7). McFarland USA (DIS), 2,765 theaters (+10)/ $2M Fri. (-44%) / 3-Day: $7M (-36%)/Total Cume: $21.4M/ Wk 2 8). The Duff (CBS/LGF), 2,622 theaters (+47)/ $2.1M Fri. (-51%)/ 3-Day: $6.3M (-41%)/Total Cume: $19.1M/ Wk 2 9). Still Alice (SPC), 1,318 theaters (+553) / $755K Fri. (+10%) / 3-Day: $2.6M (+24%) /Total cume: $11.9M /Wk 7 10). Hot Tub Time Machine 2 (PAR), 2,880 theaters/ $690K Fri. (-70%)/ 3-Day: $2.1M (-65%)/ Total Cume: $9.9M/ Wk 2 http://deadline.com/2015/02/will-smith-focus-weekend-box-office-opening-lazarus-effect-1201383452/
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Joy | David O. Russell | Christmas 2015 | New Trailer on Page 20!
TLK replied to AniNate's topic in Box Office Discussion
Why is JLaw subjecting herself to this shit ? She is the hottest actress on the planet and can work with almost any director in Hollywood. I don't think this is is about Oscars either. She can get a nomination without help from anyone and she didn't even bother to campaign last year so it can't be such a high priority for her. -
Fifty Shades Darker | February 10th, 2017 | First Trailer on Page 13
TLK replied to grim22's topic in Box Office Discussion
As a general rule I am for writers having creative control over their books. There is also the fact that Hollywood treats its writers like shit. It isn't unusual for big Hollywood movie scripts to go through half a dozen writers or more with only 1 or 2 getting the writing credits in the end.