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TLK

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Everything posted by TLK

  1. I agree with the playing himself part, especially in his last 5-6 movies. He wasn't even trying anymore. Just the exact same character in different poorly written scenarios.
  2. Yes. I've added it to the original post.http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118055580.html?cmpid=RSS|News|FilmNews
  3. THR http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-rock-ages-tom-cruise-thats-my-boy-338326
  4. Rank* Title Friday 6/15 (Estimates) Saturday 6/16 Sunday 6/17 Monday 6/18 1 MADAGASCAR 3: EUROPE'S MOST WANTED Paramount (DreamWorks) 4,263 $10,025,000 +85.3% / $2,352 $94,976,000 / 8 N/A N/A N/A 2 PROMETHEUS Fox 3,442 $5,825,000 +75.2% / $1,692 $74,483,000 / 8 N/A N/A N/A 3 ROCK OF AGES Warner Bros. (New Line) 3,470 $5,350,000 -- / $1,542 $5,350,000 / 1 N/A N/A N/A 4 THAT'S MY BOY Sony / Columbia 3,030 $4,600,000 -- / $1,518 $4,600,000 / 1 N/A N/A N/A 5 SNOW WHITE AND THE HUNTSMAN Universal 3,701 $4,000,000 +80.9% / $1,081 $112,797,000 / 15 N/A N/A N/A 6 MIB 3 Sony / Columbia 3,135 $2,800,000 +80.5% / $893 $145,479,000 / 22 N/A N/A N/A 7 MARVEL'S THE AVENGERS Buena Vista 2,582 $2,185,000 +67.3% / $846 $580,074,000 / 43 N/A N/A N/A 8 THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL Fox Searchlight 1,184 $625,000 +39.6% / $528 $33,558,000 / 43 N/A N/A N/A 9 MOONRISE KINGDOM Focus Features 178 $618,000 +190% / $3,472 $5,220,000 / 22 N/A N/A N/A 10 WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU'RE EXPECTING Lionsgate 1,216 $445,000 +21.1% / $366 $37,881,000 / 29 N/A N/A N/A 11 BATTLESHIP Universal 942 $339,000 +34% / $360 $61,243,000 / 29 N/A N/A N/A 12 THE DICTATOR Paramount 1,119 $333,000 +22.4% / $298 $56,901,000 / 31 N/A N/A N/A - THE HUNGER GAMES Lionsgate 593 $254,000 +63.2% / $428 $401,168,000 / 85 N/A N/A N/A - BERNIE Millennium Ent. 300 $165,000 +66.6% / $550 $5,417,000 / 50 N/A N/A N/A - THE INTOUCHABLES Weinstein Company 77 $90,000 +107.1% / $1,169 $1,286,000 / 22 N/A N/A N/A - LOLA VERSUS Fox Searchlight 52 $18,000 +412.7% / $346 $64,000 / 8 N/A N/A N/A DEADLINE Midnight Estimates 1. Madagascar 3 (DreamWorks Anim/Paramount) Week 2 [4,263 Theaters] PG Friday $9.9M (-52%), Weekend $33.5M, Cume $118.4M 2. Prometheus (Fox) Week 2 [3,442 Theaters] R Friday $6M (-72M), Weekend $20.5M, Cume $89.1M 3. Rock Of Ages (New Line/Warner Bros) NEW [3,470 Theaters] PG13 Friday $5.5M, Weekend $15.5M 4. That’s My Boy (Columbia/Sony) NEW [3,030 Theaters] R Friday $5M, Weekend $14M 5. Snow White & The Huntsman (Universal) Week 3 [3,701 Theaters] PG13 Friday $3.9M, Weekend $12.5M, Cume $121.3M 6. Men In Black 3 (Columbia/Sony) Week 4 [3,135 Theaters] PG13 Friday $2.9M, Weekend $9.5M, Cume $152.2M 7. The Avengers (Marvel/Disney) Week 7 [2,582 Theaters] PG13 Friday $2.3M, Weekend $7.8M, Cume $585.7M 8. Best Exotic Marigold (Fox Searchlight) Week 7 [1,184 Theaters] PG13 Friday $675K, Weekend $2.3M, Cume $36.1M 9. Moonrise Kingdom () Week 4 [178 Theaters] PG13 Friday $625K, Weekend $2.0M, Cume $6.6M 10. What To Expect (Lionsgate) Week 5 [1,216 Theaters] PG13 Friday $500K, Weekend $1.5M, Cume $38.9M Variety http://www.variety.c...S|News|FilmNews Stuart Oldham ‏@s_oldham BOX OFFICE: Sandler's 'That's My Boy' "bombing" with $10-12M weekend, per Friday estimates. THR http://www.hollywood...s-my-boy-338326
  5. Only 11 reviews are in so that 64% can very well move up. I am expecting a 75-80% RT rating when everything is said and done.
  6. At least 90%, IMO. It will need a 6.3 million Friday to have any realistic shot at a less than 55% drop.
  7. I think some people are saying that while the animation quality is great, it gets very dark with 3D and there are a lot of night sequences. PIXAR can get away with a lot of things but they can't get away with a less than stellar visuals if the reports are correct.
  8. 64% on RT right now. 1/2 from the trade mags. Variety has it fresh while THR has it rotten.
  9. Twilight is an exception to the rule. Look at "What To Expect....". It is dropping far better than The Dictator and Battleship. It will stay longer in theaters than either of those two movies.
  10. It does but the combination of R-rating and NBA game is not good for PROM. Hangover 2 and Bridesmaids weren't helped by Father's day last year. Prometheus is a different kind of animal so I guess a sub-20 drop is possible but it is usually the PG/PG-13 movies that drop best on father's day.
  11. Yep, it is NBA. I was expecting moderate drop for Prometheus as it has dropped with NBA games on past Saturday, this Tuesday and Thursday but 18% is a bit more than even I was expecting. It should have a good Friday though. One more thing to keep in mind for the game this sunday, movies that are playing well in big cities (Moonrise Kingdom, TBEMH, SW&TH etc.) are also being moderately affected by every game. They should have a good Friday, Saturday but they will likely have a worse than average drop on Father's day. I am expecting PROM to drop by over 25% on Father's day.
  12. TASM has 3D.TDKR is opening alongside the Summer Olympics.This is going to be a no-contest. As far as early sales are concerned, TDKR has a fanboy factor which TASM , skewing much younger and being a reboot, doesn't have. People who are relying on presales in this case are deluding themsleves.
  13. Big jump for Prometheus from the estimates. They may very well have underestimated Saturday too so Prometheus may increase by nearly 1.5 million when actuals are out. Same for SW&TH. Estimates were 6.1 .If actuals are 6.8 million then it is quite possible it had a bigger saturday and it may finish with 23.5-24 million weekend.
  14. I am not an expert but this seems good enough for a minor expansion. Less than 5000 usually means your movie is DOA.
  15. You will have a summer bookended by two big films and just a bunch of mediocre box office results in the middle. TDKR better make 500 million now because I am not feeling either Brave or TASM.
  16. Ok. Neither SW&TH nor Prometheus will get to 150 million.2012 Summer so farTA 600MAD3 180-190 (Only movie with a shot at 200)MIB3 160-165SW&TH 130-140PROM 120-130Ouch. Unless Brave breaks out, only three movies will get to 200 million+(TA,TDKR and TASM) this summer.
  17. Its not making 200 million. 200 million for any R-rated SciFi is a very difficult task even with good WOM so mixed WOM won't help at all. $150 million from 55 OW will be a really good performance.
  18. Madagascar 3 has a very good shot at 60 million+ with 21 million. Ouch for SW&TH and really good for MIB3 as it must have lost quite a few 3D screens.
  19. If these numbers are accurate then Variety badly fucked it up. They had Prometheus doing 70 million and SW&Th dropping by 60%. Prometheus will have a tough time getting to 55 with 21 Friday and SW&Th has a shot at 27 million(-52%) from 8 million Friday.
  20. It will pick up after 8 PM because it is that kind of movie. I am much more surprised by Madagascar 3 numbers. 2000+ by 7 PM on a Friday in Rallax's theater is huge based on the numbers he has posted previously. I don't think even Avengers did much more than that.
  21. I think that's what that Fox exec was saying too. If that's the case then someone is trolling Nikki and the trade mags with all those 25-26 million number.
  22. THR is now predicting 20-25 million Fridays for both.
  23. Wow. These are crazy numbers for Madagascar 3. What are your final projections for the three movies?
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