TLK

Tracking has it at about 16-20. Should've gone with the tracking number.

THR just confirmed the same numbers.

It will pass the Titanic. First theatrical run is the most important one.

Impressive hold for Madagascar 3. Is Brave opening this weekend or are they going to wait out the Euro cup?

Brave is #2 on Fandango right now. ( Monday sales)

POTC fell 2.8% last year, I'm expecting TA and MIB3 to stay flat.

Wow. TMB may end up #5 if these numbers hold.

Agree. Last year POTC dropped 2.8% and Super 8 6.6%. TA and MIB3 can better that this year.

^^^ Updated Numbers. Even better for Prometheus and Madagascar 3.

1. Madagascar 3 (DreamWorks Anim/Paramount) Week 2 [4,263 Theaters] PGFriday $9.9M, Saturday $13.3M, Weekend $35.0M (-42%), Cume $120.0M2. Prometheus (Fox) Week 2 [3,442 Theaters] RFriday $5.8M, Saturday $8.0M, Weekend $21.0M (-59%), Cume $89.6M3. Rock Of Ages (New Line/Warner Bros) NEW [3,470 Theaters] PG13Friday $5.3M, Saturday $5.4M, Weekend $15.0M4. That’s My Boy (Columbia/Sony) NEW [3,030 Theaters] RFriday $4.5M, Saturday $4.7M, Weekend $13.0M5. Snow White & The Huntsman (Universal) Week 3 [3,701 Theaters] PG13Friday $4.0M, Saturday $4.8M, Weekend $13.0M, Cume $121.6M6. Men In Black 3 (Columbia/Sony) Week 4 [3,135 Theaters] PG13Friday $2.7M, Saturday $3.7M, Weekend $9.8M, Cume $152.4M7. The Avengers (Marvel/Disney) Week 7 [2,582 Theaters] PG13Friday $2.2M, Saturday $3.2M, Weekend $8.3M, Cume $586.2M8. Best Exotic Marigold (Fox Searchlight) Week 7 [1,184 Theaters] PG13Friday $625K, Saturday $975K, Weekend $2.3M, Cume $36.2M9. Moonrise Kingdom (Focus Features) Week 4 [178 Theaters] PG13Friday $611K, Saturday #975K, Weekend $2.3M, Cume $6.9M10. What To Expect (Lionsgate) Week 5 [1,216 Theaters] PG13Friday $450K, Saturday $525K, Weekend $1.3M, Cume $38.7M

Prometheus is R-rated so it will probably have a 15% Sunday drop at best but good Saturday numbers for all movies.

1. Madagascar 3 (DreamWorks Anim/Paramount) Week 2 [4,263 Theaters] PGFriday $9.9M, Saturday $13.3M, Weekend $35.0M (-42%), Cume $120.0M2. Prometheus (Fox) Week 2 [3,442 Theaters] RFriday $5.8M, Saturday $8.0M, Weekend $21.0M (-59%), Cume $89.6M3. Rock Of Ages (New Line/Warner Bros) NEW [3,470 Theaters] PG13Friday $5.3M, Saturday $5.4M, Weekend $15.0M4. That’s My Boy (Columbia/Sony) NEW [3,030 Theaters] RFriday $4.5M, Saturday $4.7M, Weekend $13.0M5. Snow White & The Huntsman (Universal) Week 3 [3,701 Theaters] PG13Friday $4.0M, Saturday $4.8M, Weekend $13.0M, Cume $121.6M6. Men In Black 3 (Columbia/Sony) Week 4 [3,135 Theaters] PG13Friday $2.7M, Saturday $3.7M, Weekend $9.8M, Cume $152.4M7. The Avengers (Marvel/Disney) Week 7 [2,582 Theaters] PG13Friday $2.2M, Saturday $3.2M, Weekend $8.3M, Cume $586.2M8. Best Exotic Marigold (Fox Searchlight) Week 7 [1,184 Theaters] PG13Friday $625K, Saturday $975K, Weekend $2.3M, Cume $36.2M9. Moonrise Kingdom (Focus Features) Week 4 [178 Theaters] PG13Friday $611K, Saturday #975K, Weekend $2.3M, Cume $6.9M10. What To Expect (Lionsgate) Week 5 [1,216 Theaters] PG13Friday $450K, Saturday $525K, Weekend $1.3M, Cume $38.7M

I don't agree with these estimates. RoA and TMB will have to increase by 40% on Saturday to reach these totals.

Yep. MIB3 is killing it overseas.

I know people are talking about production and marketing budgets so I'd like to add this post David Lieberman made at Deadline sometime ago. The numbers are from SNL Kagan. ‘The Avengers’ Soars But ‘Battleship’ And ‘The Dictator’ Sink In Profit Tally: Kagan Only two of eight major movies released last month are clearly destined to make a profit — and one of them is, surprise!, Marvel’s The Avengers — according to SNL Kagan’s latest monthly tally. The firm says that The Avengers is likely to generate more than $2B in revenues from all sources (excluding merchandise sales) on total costs of $473.2M. The 4.24 ratio of expected revenues over costs is well above the 1.75 threshold that Kagan says establishes a film as clearly profitable. To account for revenue splits, expenses and variables that analysts can’t determine, the firm classifies films with a ratio of less than 1.75 but more than 1.40 as being in a gray area while those below 1.40 are deemed probably unprofitable. By that measure, Fox Searchlight’s The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel fared well, with a ratio of 2.60 ($169.6M in revenues on $65.2M in costs). Columbia’s Men In Black 3 is on the bubble with 1.53 ($687.2M over $450.0M). Films likely to spill red ink include include Universal’s Battleship ($450M over $401.8M), Paramount’s The Dictator ($171.6M over $176.1M), Warner Bros’ Dark Shadows ($279.3M over $293.4M), Warner Bros’ Chernobyl Diaries ($59.4M over $87.4M), and Lionsgate’s What To Expect When You’re Expecting ($66.8M over $121.5M). -------------------------------------------------------------------- Takes From The Article : The Dictator has a stated budget of around 65 million but total costs are 176.1 million. Chernobyl Freakin' Diaries has a total cost of over 87.4 million. Battleship actually doesn't look too bad compared to some other movies and when you factor in Hasbro's contributions, it makes sense that no one got fired at Universal for this "debacle".

Update : RoA is now at 5.5 million instead of 5.8 million.

^^^^ Louy Friday numbers for both openers and mixed numbers for holdovers. Top 10 combined for less than 125 million is pretty bad IMO.

1. Madagascar 3 (DreamWorks Anim/Paramount) Week 2 [4,263 Theaters] PG Friday $9.9M (-52%), Weekend $33.5M, Cume $118.4M 2. Prometheus (Fox) Week 2 [3,442 Theaters] R Friday $6M (-72M), Weekend $20.5M, Cume $89.1M 3. Rock Of Ages (New Line/Warner Bros) NEW [3,470 Theaters] PG13 Friday $5.8M, Weekend $15.5M 4. That’s My Boy (Columbia/Sony) NEW [3,030 Theaters] R Friday $5M, Weekend $14M 5. Snow White & The Huntsman (Universal) Week 3 [3,701 Theaters] PG13 Friday $3.9M, Weekend $12.5M, Cume $121.3M 6. Men In Black 3 (Columbia/Sony) Week 4 [3,135 Theaters] PG13 Friday $2.9M, Weekend $9.5M, Cume $152.2M 7. The Avengers (Marvel/Disney) Week 7 [2,582 Theaters] PG13 Friday $2.3M, Weekend $7.8M, Cume $585.7M 8. Best Exotic Marigold (Fox Searchlight) Week 7 [1,184 Theaters] PG13 Friday $675K, Weekend $2.3M, Cume $36.1M 9. Moonrise Kingdom () Week 4 [178 Theaters] PG13 Friday $625K, Weekend $2.0M, Cume $6.6M 10. What To Expect (Lionsgate) Week 5 [1,216 Theaters] PG13 Friday $500K, Weekend $1.5M, Cume $38.9M

GoT's "Winter Is Coming" first season ads were the best ads I have ever seen of any TV series. Flat out epic ads.

CinemascoreRock Of Ages BThat's My Boy B-

I agree with you. Kind of. I don't think he took the failure of Funny People very well. It was a very personal movie and since then he has been phoning it in but I don't think he is trying to commit career suicide. It's just that he is a very rich man and he has a production house which will make sure that he stays a very rich man. I don't think he gives a fuck about acting anymore.

Winter lineup is going to be insane this year but I was expecting better summer peformance from a bunch of movies.

What's with no Friday numbers for Prometheus? I guess 23 million will be a good weekend total but I'd rather see its Friday numbers first.

This is exactly why I mentioned Jack Nicholson. I feel pretty is probably the most hilarious sequence Sandler has ever done and it is all Nicholson.

I liked Zohan too. Probably his best movie( Okay tied with Anger Management) since Punch-Drunk Love.