Quigley

I know this is completely insignificant but Big Hero 6 ($15.8M) scored a higher opening day than Frozen ($15.2M), and a WDAS record.

i.e. it will pass TASM 2

boxoffice.com mentions there no direct comparisons for Interstellar's opening day gross. There is one: Mission Impossible 4. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=mi4.htm There are two problems: it opened on Friday (instead of Wednesday) and in 425 theaters (instead of 240). The second can be bypassed by using the theater average. For Mission Impossible 4 it was $9,654 per theater. For Interstellar, it was $5,423 per thetaer. Although it was a Wednesday, this film received so much buzz prior to release, that this number can only create a slight disappointment. Things can definitely improve over the weekend but if it doesn't at least come close to Gravity's opening day ($17.5M), things will be looking grim.

Is there a detailed chart of Frozen's weekly grosses in Japan (in yen)?

Big Hero 6 is doing great. I think it might reach $20M by Sunday. Do you think this is a plausible prediction? In any case, Disney made the perfect move when it decided to release it in Russia 2 weeks earlier.

So it's basically a day-and-date release around the globe for Interstellar, save for China and Japan. This release schedule reminds of the identical Transformers 3 schedule. Any other films with a similar release schedule? http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0816692/releaseinfo?ref_=tt_ql_9

On this chart, the 10th film is at $94.9M (Guardians of the Galaxy). http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/china/yearly/ Is this not accurate? If not, do you have a more accurate chart?

Will the Lion King ever be re-released in 3-D in Japan? Maybe it could then surpass $1B WW.

Tuesday numbers?

Missin Impossible 4 made $9.5M in its first two days (including evening and midnight shows) from 425 theaters. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=mi4.htm Interstellar opens in 240 theaters. 240 / 425 * 9.5 = 5.36 Yes, that film's two first days were Fri and Sat, not Wed and Thu, but this is Nolan we're talking about. Even if it doesn't make it to $5M, anything below $4M would be concerning.

It made $2.4M over the weekend so earning another $5M in the next 6 days is unlikely. Combined Monday and Tueusday grosses amounted to about $0.5M I think. If it doesn't lose many screens this weekend, $98-99M may still be possible, but as druv10 said, $96-97M is most likely to be its final tally.

Interstellar: $56M over the weekend. $61M including IMAX Wed and Thu showings. Big Hero 6: $63M I'd like to point out this article: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-preview-interstellar-big-745657 It says that it has only happened 3 times before, that two films opened simlutaneously to more than $50M. However, there are four other cases that almost make it into this category: 22 Jump Street and How to Train Your Dragon 2 http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2014&wknd=24&p=.htm Hangover Part 2 and Kung Fu Panda 2 http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2011&wknd=21&p=.htm The Longest Yard and Madagascar http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2005&wknd=21&p=.htm Sherlock Holmes and Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2009&wknd=52&p=.htm In the three cases that qualify for the $50M+ category, animated films won. In the ones that barely missed it, animated films lost.

Until Monday I think (so 6 days left)

What about Wednesday and Thursday?

I just hope Mockingjay finally escapes from sub-$30M range.

When do the school holidays end?

Guardians will surpass Thor: The Dark World by next weekend. Never expected it to be the lowest-grossing Phase 2 film overseas.

Last year's 10th film (Thor 2) earned $645M. I believe an indicator for a successful film is whether it top the previous year's 10th film. Big Hero 6 and Interstellar should reach that figure to be deemed a success. The expectations for Mockingjay - Part 1 and Hobbit 3 are obviously higher.

Whatever you say, $1 billion worldwide is NOT happening.

Late legs will b obliterated because screen share will drop from 13% to 3%

Guardians will probably decrease dramatically this weekend in China so my final prediction for its WW total is $770M ($330M + $440M). It will end at 51st all-time worldwide, just short of Star Wars (ironically another non-sequel sci-fi adventure film). http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/world/

Question about EntGroup: the table that is published here (http://english.entgroup.cn/boxoffice/cn/) contains the cumulative gross for all these films in dollars. How do they calculate that? Do they take the cumulative gross in yuan and then divide but the current exchange rate? Or do they convert the weekly grosses based on the weekly exchange rate and then add them up?

I've heard (read) many people mention that Latin America wasn't as strong as expected for Catching Fire. However, let me offer a different view: As you can see, all Latin American countries are in top half of the chart i.e. they had a higher % increase than most other territories. (no. 52 is Japan, which is the last one and the only one that decreased). Only Brazil is in the bottom half and that can be attributed to its depreciating currency, which had a much lower value in November 2013 than in March/April 2012 (20% decrease during the aforementioned period). It could be possible that Mockingjay will see similar increases again. But any increase really could only help the overseas gross go higher than it was for the second one. Besides, one-and-a-half years (between Hunger Games and Mockingjay) isn't enough for a franchise to reach its full potential. Then again, if we think about the Twilight Saga, that reached its full potential with the second film (with the exception of the last film, the overseas gross of which can be attributed to the "final film" effect).

1. It stalled because of the DVD release - let's not hide the facts. The % drops from one weekend to the next were a lot higher after the DVD release. 2. Even if it hadn't stalled, HP7: P2 was still very far away and surpassing it was extremely unlikely. It would need $415M in NA and about $925M overseas (WW=$1340M). Japan would have to reach $300M (instead of $250M).

EntGroup updated last week's results (which were underestimated). GotG ended that week with $70.22M and this week with $88.04M (which will also be updated). http://english.entgroup.cn/boxoffice/cn/Default.aspx?week=2014-10-20