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titanic2187

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Everything posted by titanic2187

  1. I wonder will this crazy number motivate Miyaozaki for a faster production on How do you live.
  2. It is weird Sony Picture Classic hasn't got any Best Picture Oscar winner but it peers like ex-Miramix, Fox searchlight, focus feature, dreamwork all have one at least already. Their biggest Oscar victory to me was Crouching tiger hidden dragon, their biggest bet in their history
  3. When the whole world was struggling, Japanese create new opening record that bound to create some headline attention. At this rate, DS doesn't need to be a leggy run to hit 100m. Although there will be only one public holiday on Nov 3, I believe this can beat Weathering with you.
  4. I am not into the idea of Oscar cancellation. What I would prefer is downsizing, maybe reduce the BP nominees to five and every other categories to three
  5. This shows how bad the occupancy rate was that you remove Regal and it won't have overall impact to the market.
  6. 7 movies opened in these two days in order to capitalize the 6 days weekend. Somehow, tenet survived the slaughter of the newcomer and was actually up 73% from last week and sit at #5, consider it lost more than half of its screen. Sep 30, 2020 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Pawn South Korea Sep 29, 2020 $715,356 ($1,093,456) 96,445 (164,582) 1,036 27.5% 2 The Golden Holiday South Korea Sep 29, 2020 $650,840 ($1,141,041) 88,422 (174,875) 1,073 25.02% 3 Greenland U.S. Sep 29, 2020 $277,812 ($422,491) 37,929 (63,920) 604 10.68% 4 Pokémon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution Japan Sep 30, 2020 $168,505 ($168,505) 24,583 (24,583) 591 6.47% 5 Tenet U.S. Aug 26, 2020 $165,580 ($13,631,953) 21,267 (1,735,314) 384 6.36% 6 Night of the Undead South Korea Sep 29, 2020 $132,883 ($242,135) 18,522 (36,494) 568 5.1% 7 극장판 미니특공대: 햄버거괴물의 습격 South Korea Sep 30, 2020 $57,779 ($60,420) 8,412 (8,755) 382 2.22% 8 그대, 고맙소 : 김호중 생애 첫 팬미팅 무비 South Korea Sep 29, 2020 $215,008 ($600,601) 8,106 (22,941) 102 8.26% 9 The Swordsman South Korea Sep 23, 2020 $52,458 ($993,549) 7,154 (136,755) 292 2.01% 10 브레이크 더 사일런스: 더 무비 South Korea Sep 24, 2020 $39,728 ($691,008) 5,115 (92,076) 147 1.52%
  7. Tenet Blu-ray Release Date Rumors Debunked By WB UPDATE: Warner Bros. issued a statement in regards to the Tenet Blu-ray listing: "We haven’t made any announcements yet regarding this title, so anything found on-line is unofficial at this point." The original article remains below.
  8. Also, I just realised given the Covid-19 situation, many studio are now cutting the number of big event movie or at least reluctantly green light them. Avatar 2 could have little competition in a year by 2022.
  9. I know you are referring BoM's number but Avatar was never re-released in any scale in China. The Jan2010 was the sole run. I checked back the date and the news in Mandarin back in 2010, nothing was mentioned about re-release box office number except the news confirming the special edition will not be released in China. https://ent.qq.com/a/20100710/000030.htm. So I have no idea how did BoM get that 1.5m although on and off , there was some special screening held on the limited basis like the one during Shanghai Film festival 2018 , where they had James Cameron's film marathon.
  10. Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (09/19-20) (C)2020 Warner Bros Entertainment Inc. All Rights ReservedWeekend Estimates (09/19-20):01 (---) ¥340,000,000 ($3.2 million), 0, ¥465,000,000 ($4.4 million), Tenet (Warner Bros.) NEW02 (---) ¥275,000,000 ($2.6 million), 0, ¥400,000,000 ($3.8 million), Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku) NEW 03 (01) ¥186,000,000 ($1.8 million), -29%, ¥535,000,000 ($5.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Rakuga Kingdom and the Four Heroes (Toho) WK2 04 (02) ¥155,000,000 ($1.5 million), -24%, ¥1,745,000,000 ($16.5 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK4 05 (04) ¥102,000,000 ($970,000), -09%, ¥1,775,000,000 ($16.7 million), Tapestry (Toho) WK5 06 (08) ¥x85,000,000 ($810,000), +22%, ¥1,705,000,000 ($16.1 million), Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK5 07 (03) ¥x78,000,000 ($740,000), -31%, ¥2,945,000,000 ($27.7 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK7 08 (06) ¥x77,000,000 ($730,000), -23%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.5 million), The Cornered Mouse Dreams of Cheese (Phantom Film) WK2 09 (05) ¥x75,000,000 ($715,000), -31%, ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million), Break the Silence: The Movie (Avex Pictures) WK2 10 (09) ¥x47,000,000 ($445,000), -27%, ¥5,160,000,000 ($48.5 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK10 11 (07) ¥x46,000,000 ($435,000), -43%, ¥235,000,000 ($2.2 million), Midway (Kino Films) WK2 12 (11) ¥x34,000,000 ($325,000), -28%, ¥3,560,000,000 ($33.1 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho) WK9 13 (10) ¥x33,000,000 ($315,000), -35%, ¥760,000,000 ($7.1 million), Onward (Disney) WK5Good weekend. I'm not really going to provide any analysis until Weekend Actuals are available this week. Consider the Weekend Estimates above to be rough, since the normal method of calculating them was thrown off going into the weekend after several chains moved from 50% capacity back to 100% capacity. >Tenet, according to Warner Bros. out-opened both Interstellar (no surprise) and Dunkirk, which appears accurate based on my estimates as well, although it's very close to Dunkirk and I expect their admissions were very similar, but Tenet probably has the edge in revenue due to more IMAX showings.Nolan's films are usually frontloaded due to the dedicated fanbase he has in the market, but this estimated start should get it above ¥2 billion (~$20 million) since legs should be a bit stronger this time. As long as it beats The Dark Knight Rises's ¥1.97 billion total, it'll become Nolan's second biggest film in the market, only behind Inception. >Violet Evergarden: The Movie settled for second place, but it delivered a strong second place debut (I even think it was #1 on Friday, at least in admissions). Its estimated opening is even more rough, however, since these types of animated films have varying average ticket prices. Whatever the number ends up being, it's a big success and should clear ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million). I also expanded the Top 10 a bit this weekend to keep better track of The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (since it's performed so well) and Onward (which hasn't performed well, but still has a slim shot of beating Brave at least).Monday and Tuesday were national holidays,
  11. Nomadland shot to the top spot of Oscar 2020.
  12. I guess next week will be the last weekend for Tenet to post great hold since October holiday rush is coming soon
  13. If i am not mistaken, this coming Monday and tuesday is a public holiday in Japan, so Tenet will be having 5 days opening weekend instead of 3
  14. Teaser suggested some artsy movie like Roma. The lack of mass appeal may stop it from crowning. Best Director race is definitely a hot radar now
  15. A bit weird for tenet, Sunday's was higher than Saturday in the past 2 weeks but this week was lower, 39% drop from last sunday 1 TENET 26/08/2020 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 169.070 22.229 € 4.806.082 677.173 2 AFTER 2 (AFTER WE COLLIDED) 02/09/2020 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 115.332 15.479 € 3.558.209 515.164 3 BREAK THE SILENCE: THE MOVIE 10/09/2020 KOR NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 75.212 6.052 € 381.863 30.466 4 NON ODIARE 10/09/2020 ITA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 38.819 6.188 € 117.766 19.169 5 THE NEW MUTANTS 02/09/2020 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 28.720 4.281 € 456.753 69.451
  16. Tenet Sunday's drop was about 30% from last sunday. 3rd FSS hold -27%. Sep 13, 2020 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Tenet U.S. Aug 26, 2020 $460,429 ($10,328,498) 57,297 (1,333,784) 1,314 50.2% 2 Oh! My Gran South Korea Sep 02, 2020 $140,852 ($1,551,146) 18,972 (227,206) 724 15.35% 3 Beauty Water South Korea Sep 09, 2020 $83,597 ($336,130) 10,659 (44,183) 275 9.11% 4 The New Mutants U.S. Sep 10, 2020 $74,443 ($367,442) 9,713 (48,978) 729 8.11% 5 Innocence South Korea Jun 10, 2020 $39,113 ($6,581,417) 6,000 (887,853) 14 4.26% 6 DELIVER US FROM EVIL South Korea Aug 05, 2020 $33,697 ($32,408,252) 4,392 (4,340,702) 394 3.67% 7 Ava U.S. Sep 09, 2020 $20,017 ($126,579) 2,732 (19,125) 401 2.18% 8 Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane ~The Lost Hiroshi~ Japan Aug 20, 2020 $16,643 ($800,004) 2,352 (116,644) 166 1.81% 9 My Extraordinary Summer with Tess The Netherlands Sep 10, 2020 $11,216 ($40,792) 1,391 (5,202) 194 1.22% 10 Drive U.S. Nov 17, 2011 $5,853 ($207,804) 768 (30,508) 62 0.63%
  17. why are people still predicting 9 best picture nominees?? I think we can only get max 8 this year, or even lower.
  18. Tenet claim back the crown with 26% drop from last week. 1 TENET 26/08/2020 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 198.264 25.969 € 4.636.651 654.892 2 AFTER 2 (AFTER WE COLLIDED) 02/09/2020 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 161.058 21.306 € 3.440.128 499.237 3 BREAK THE SILENCE: THE MOVIE 10/09/2020 KOR NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 104.632 8.357 € 307.067 24.451 4 NON ODIARE 10/09/2020 ITA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 43.885 6.910 € 78.385 12.885 5 THE NEW MUTANTS 02/09/2020 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 35.813 5.139 € 427.871 65.147 6 LE SORELLE MACALUSO 10/09/2020 ITA TEODORA FILM S.R.L. € 30.611 4.693 € 64.374 10.244
  19. Around 65-70% of the market is now open, but nobody know if Nolan movies have been drawing proportionally box office gross from all these opened cinema or they skewed more LA/NY.
  20. Warner Bros & Sony Hiding Box Office Numbers From Rival Studios On ‘Tenet’ & ‘Broken Hearts Gallery’: Here’s Why I am ok with WB unconventional way of box office number reporting regularly when the world is running exceptionally abnormal. https://deadline.com/2020/09/tenet-broken-hearts-gallery-warner-bros-sony-weekend-box-office-1234575805/
  21. If tenet can reach 30m by end of this week. This will suggest the movie has little drop from last holiday weekend, it wouldn't a total disaster then.
  22. Strong Saturday bump across the board with Tenet jump 112% from Friday, a way bigger bump than last saturday. This is mild 22% drop week-to- week, meaning tenet could have low 25% drop of 3rd weekend hold. Sep 12, 2020 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Tenet U.S. Aug 26, 2020 $586,339 ($9,867,418) 72,586 (1,276,414) 1,304 52.35% 2 Oh! My Gran South Korea Sep 02, 2020 $155,871 ($1,410,190) 21,051 (208,221) 716 13.91% 3 The New Mutants U.S. Sep 10, 2020 $116,224 ($292,622) 15,091 (39,219) 801 10.37% 4 Beauty Water South Korea Sep 09, 2020 $99,791 ($251,802) 12,641 (33,446) 272 8.9% 5 DELIVER US FROM EVIL South Korea Aug 05, 2020 $40,392 ($32,374,336) 5,233 (4,336,285) 403 3.6% 6 Innocence South Korea Jun 10, 2020 $24,488 ($6,529,389) 4,020 (879,873) 9 2.18% 7 Ava U.S. Sep 09, 2020 $25,368 ($106,459) 3,474 (16,381) 436 2.26% 8 Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane ~The Lost Hiroshi~ Japan Aug 20, 2020 $14,321 ($783,387) 2,038 (114,296) 156 1.27% 9 My Extraordinary Summer with Tess The Netherlands Sep 10, 2020 $11,171 ($29,627) 1,414 (3,818) 185 0.99% 10 Drive U.S. Nov 17, 2011 $8,864 ($201,956) 1,072 (29,741) 68 0.79%
  23. There is some chance that tenet may take back the crown. After 2 drop 61% and Tenet slide 32%. Weekend bump have been weak, showing that Covid-19 fear impact are real. In term of Tenet's legs, I don't see Tenet's long run strategy is working so far, Dunkirk hit 2x leg by 2nd weekend but Tenet took longer than that to hit 2x. Anyway Dunkirk dropped more than 50% for every weekend starting 3rd weekend, if tenet keep it under 40% or even 30% , then we will see some serious compensation for tenet's lower opening. 1 AFTER 2 (AFTER WE COLLIDED) 02/09/2020 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 140.179 20.431 € 3.277.326 477.664 2 TENET 26/08/2020 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 134.736 19.272 € 4.438.131 628.881 3 BREAK THE SILENCE: THE MOVIE 10/09/2020 KOR NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 88.311 7.062 € 201.581 16.014 4 THE NEW MUTANTS 02/09/2020 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 22.482 3.493 € 391.831 59.976 5 NON ODIARE 10/09/2020 ITA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 19.846 3.397 € 34.334 5.947
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