Poseidon
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Everything posted by Poseidon
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Another massive Hold by Deadpool. Should end up around $31,5m this weekend, a 44% drop with a deflated sunday. I could very well see this going past $350m. -
Any idea if this is going to be a very wide release?
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Actually, comparing the second WE-Drop minus VD-Boost, they had a compareable drop on 2nd WE. Deadpool could very well go the GOTG-way from here, we don't know this, yet.
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Guys, Deadpool had a jump of 23% last saturday, I guess this tells you all you need to know about the saturday potential.
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Some post-PD-scenarioas for Deadpool: Like Daredevil: $76m Like Constantine: $62m Like Ghostrider: $76m Like Jumper: $68m Like Friday 13th: $60m Like Wolfman: $53m Like Unknown: $67m Like I am #4: $74m Like Ghost Rider 2: $73m Like Die Hard 5: $60m Like Robocop: $66m Like Kingsman: $64m
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Of course you do.
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Would be a great world, in which we all had access to the numbers, they give deadline... We wouldn't even need a month of comparison, to deliver reasonabel projections out of it.
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Expect the "experts" over at Deadline calculating with last Fridays inflated matinees on OD. Will probably be way higher than that.
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Last year, "Traumfrauen" dropped 35% on thursday and 19% over the WE. Deadpool dropped by 41% thursday to thursday. Deadpool was inflated by VD, though.
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It's bad. "Son of God" made 1,2m with 10 PM previews, "War Room" made 600k in only 1000 theaters.
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Zootopia is killing it this weekend. Best OD ever for a Disney Animation...by a mile!
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Avengers opened to 560k admissions. But it doesn't matter, Deadpool doesn't work like a SH movie, but like a comedy and it just targets the german humor here, just like "Ted" did. Looking how the WOM spread through the WE, I could see it getting to 3m admissions.
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People want superheros. There's no fatigue. They just get sick of writers running out of ideas. And then GOTG and Deadpool came.
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Is you denial something personal?
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They might compare it to other Comic movies and Deadpool will obviously be weaker in the day, but should be cruising in the evening. Way too early, but to me, this looks like more that "only" 20m on friday. Also, with that thursday number, KFP3 might win the silver medal this weekend. Let's hope for 25m+ with absolutely no competition.
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Jus to compare it a bit: Deadpool did $12,7m in 2975 theaters in February GOTG did $11,2m in around 3400 theaters in early August.
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I actually see DP increasing on sunday, as it was the first choice for VD in tracking weeks ago. This is going to have an insane VD.
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This seems like huge walkup business, good sign for Deadpool in not even 3000 Theaters last night. 100m in 4 Days is a done deal, now the interesting question will be, if the movie can do it in 3 already.
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Why you think so? Mark is giving Deadpool an IM of only 5 and Sunday is already looking huge. And for the other openers, he's giving an IM of around 7. Last Year, we had: Spongebob: 6,4 Traumfrauen: 7,6 Into the woods: 7.1 And that was without VD. So I think, it might even go up.
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DEADPOOL | 420.0 M overseas ● 783.1 M worldwide
Poseidon replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
So I think we can forget about 500m and look at 600m and more now. -
Those numbers are worthless overall. You shouldn't read too much into those, they are very lose based on reserved seats only. Too many factors there to make real numbers out of those, but Deadpool should be easily over 100k incl. Previews. Edit: Mh, actually, he has a very good record the last couple of weeks. He's pretty much spot on on many occasions, so maybe he got much better in the last couple of years, where I completely ingnored those numbers.
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DEADPOOL | 420.0 M overseas ● 783.1 M worldwide
Poseidon replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
It IS Huge in France. 285000 admissions OD, looks like at least 1.2m admissions for the OW, could easily go higher, though. Only being on 480 screens doesn't help, obviouly, but this is incredible. With Australia overperforming, too and the US going through the roof now, 500m WW seems the floor. -
50SOG IM would put it over 12m. Edit: I see, you corrected yourself. Yepp, 12-14m looks fine. This is absolutely huge.
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DEADPOOL | 420.0 M overseas ● 783.1 M worldwide
Poseidon replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Looks like it's huge in France. France, Germany and UK should make $50m+ alone, this is going to blow past 300m WW easily. -
Deadpool is going to break out, will easily get to #1 this weekend. Can't see it going under 400k, will probably land somewhere between 400-500k. Maybe even more, but with movies like Deadpool, you have to be cautious, if they work everywhere, not only in big cities. Looking much better than 300P2 2 years ago and will have Valentinesday on Sunday to boost the gross and also better weather.
