Tuesday #S: DM2 12.07M, TH 3.47M (actual),: Estimates: TLR 3.5, MU 3.2, WWZ 2.5

[stripe]

Do you think MU can reach 300m?

 

It's going to be tough. But late legs for it could be solid enough.

 

Being conservative...

Wd 2.6M (-20%)

Th 2.6M (0%)

Fr 3.9M (50%)

St 4.7M (20%)

Sn 3.8M (-20%)

 

239.6M after a 12.4M. It needs 60M

 

After a 12M, TS3 did +50M

After a 13M, Up did +43M

After a 10M, Wall-E did +40M

After a 10.9M, Ratatouille did +41M

After 11M, Nemo did +64M

After 10.7M, Cars did +39M

After 11.2M, Brave did +41M

 

280M / 290M is pretty much assured. And if it gets nice bumps over the next few days, who knows... Let's pray for a +14M weekend...

[kayumanggi]

Holy Toldeo Batman.. MOS Box office is plummeting by the day.. 300M is going to be a stretch, but WB will fudge it to get there...

 

The obsession continues. 

[pieman]

It's going to be tough. But late legs for it could be solid enough.

 

Being conservative...

Wd 2.6M (-20%)

Th 2.6M (0%)

Fr 3.9M (50%)

St 4.7M (20%)

Sn 3.8M (-20%)

 

239.6M after a 12.4M. It needs 60M

 

After a 12M, TS3 did +50M

After a 13M, Up did +43M

After a 10M, Wall-E did +40M

After a 10.9M, Ratatouille did +41M

After 11M, Nemo did +64M

After 10.7M, Cars did +39M

After 11.2M, Brave did +41M

 

280M / 290M is pretty much assured. And if it gets nice bumps over the next few days, who knows... Let's pray for a +14M weekend...

 

Can you please do a similar projection for The Lone Ranger?

[CJohn]

DAT awesome number for DM2.

[Leyla]

long time no see Tony

 

[#ED]

Awesome bumps.Mos got enough to not fall under 1M tomorrow. (-25% drop).

[Ezen Baklattan]

It's going to be tough. But late legs for it could be solid enough.

 

Being conservative...

Wd 2.6M (-20%)

Th 2.6M (0%)

Fr 3.9M (50%)

St 4.7M (20%)

Sn 3.8M (-20%)

 

239.6M after a 12.4M. It needs 60M

 

After a 12M, TS3 did +50M

After a 13M, Up did +43M

After a 10M, Wall-E did +40M

After a 10.9M, Ratatouille did +41M

After 11M, Nemo did +64M

After 10.7M, Cars did +39M

After 11.2M, Brave did +41M

 

280M / 290M is pretty much assured. And if it gets nice bumps over the next few days, who knows... Let's pray for a +14M weekend...

Turbo, Planes, and The Smurfs 2 might provide some difficulty, but at the same time, family movie fatigue is going to strike eventually, and I just don't see Turbo being that big.

[kayumanggi]

TURBO looks dull.

[artist]

This late in its run? Means absolutely nothing.

 

Yes, the shocking this is that Croods is even more older and yet is handing a beatdown on Ironman's ass.

[stripe]

Can you please do a similar projection for The Lone Ranger?

 

I expect a similar weekend tally for TLR.

 

Wd 2.8M (-20%)

Th 2.7M (-5%)

Fr 4M (50%)

St 5M (20%)

Sn 3.8M (-25%)

 

12.8M 2nd weekend (-55%) with both sat and sun being conservative numbers. It should be at 73.5M after 12 days.

[stripe]

Yes, the shocking this is that Croods is even more older and yet is handing a beatdown on Ironman's ass.

 

Who cares. Anyways, animated films usually have solid late legs. Nothing strange

 

Look at Wreck it Ralph. The first weekend it grossed less than 500k was the 19th...

Edited July 10, 2013 by stripe

[TLK]

MU doesn't have a realistic shot at $300 million. Four new releases next week will take away a lot of theaters and screens from holdovers like MOS and MU. Turbo is also another direct competitor for MU. I think $300 million is dead for MU and if MOS loses something like 800+ theaters next week then it may also struggle to reach $300 million. 

[#ED]

MU doesn't have a realistic shot at $300 million. Four new releases next week will take away a lot of theaters and screens from holdovers like MOS and MU. Turbo is also another direct competitor for MU. I think $300 million is dead for MU and if MOS loses something like 800+ theaters next week then it may also struggle to reach $300 million.

Everyone saw there was no Batman movie that weekend and said fuck it.

[kayumanggi]

MU doesn't have a realistic shot at $300 million. Four new releases next week will take away a lot of theaters and screens from holdovers like MOS and MU. Turbo is also another direct competitor for MU. I think $300 million is dead for MU and if MOS loses something like 800+ theaters next week then it may also struggle to reach $300 million. 

 

280 M, 290 M or 300 M, I am happy.

[kayumanggi]

Who cares. Anyways, animated films usually have solid late legs. Nothing strange

 

Look at Wreck it Ralph. The first weekend it grossed less than 500k was the 19th...

 

Not EPIC though. lol

[baumer]

Yes, the shocking this is that Croods is even more older and yet is handing a beatdown on Ironman's ass.

 

There is no beatdown.  IM3 has made about 230M more than Croods.  It's a sprinter, not a Kenyan distance runner.  It was built on speed not on stealth.

[Leyla]

Yes, the shocking this is that Croods is even more older and yet is handing a beatdown on Ironman's ass.

Tony already won

he's just generous this time b/c u know - a kiddie movie

Edited July 10, 2013 by Leyla

[Gopher]

MOS legs overall have been really meh to be honest

I'm a bit surprised how lost it's gotten in the shuffle. It's a movie I expected audiences to like more than critics, but WOM doesn't even seem as strong as TASM. *cue iKent vs. fanboys highjacking of thread*

[ZattMurdock]

I'm a bit surprised how lost it's gotten in the shuffle. It's a movie I expected audiences to like more than critics, but WOM doesn't even seem as strong as TASM.*cue iKent vs. fanboys highjacking of thread*

I disagree, I think the WOM for both are pretty similar and just like I've expected, TASM fought an uphill battle for the general audience's approval, now it's MoS turn. It's doing good, but it will need to be a lot better next time around. Hopefully TASM2 is on the right path and MoS2 will follow suit. 

 

*cue to fanboys highjacking the thread because Gopher dared to say that MoS has less good wom than TASM and because they still have a hard time adjusting their optimistic expectations for said film with the reality. iJack's outta here*

[kayumanggi]

Yeah, 300 M is just good. lol