Weekend Estimates: Thor TDW 86.1M, Ender 10.25, Free Birds 11.2, Grav 8.4, BG 11.3, Last Vegas 11.1

[keysersoze123]

I am thinking its legs will be significantly worse than 1st one. WOM is NOT good. Plus CF will ensure it will drop hard 3rd week after a hard drop next weekend(60%). Plus weekdays in november aint that good. I would say 2.3x for now.

[Keycard]

Most of these comic book movies seem to have devolved into peck-offs more than anything else.Thor: "Look at my gorgeous hairless pecks."Captain America: "You call those hairless pecks?"Superman: "Hairy pecks!"Wolverine: "Chumps."

[Fancyarcher]

 

 

We shall never speak of this again.

[Cmasterclay]

Anything above 80 is fine for Thor, but I must admit that under 80 is a bit of a letdown- it really just doesn't make much sense, outside of November release, to have that opening.

[Fancyarcher]

I am thinking its legs will be significantly worse than 1st one. WOM is NOT good. Plus CF will ensure it will drop hard 3rd week after a hard drop next weekend(60%). Plus weekdays in november aint that good. I would say 2.3x for now.

 

Have you asked a billion people what they think of the movie?

 

Also can I have your crystal ball?

Edited November 9, 2013 by Fancyarcher

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

The elephant in the room is Catching Fire, which comes out in 2 weeks.However, I think most people will have seen Thor 2 by the first 2 weeks anyway.

 

 

I think the films are different enough to co-exist. And, yes, Thor 2 will be down to under 20m that weekend, regardless of whether CF was opening or not.

[Mojoguy]

This is pretty damn true. But, you might wanna add X-Men and Spider-Man for helping out with the brand name.

They both helped and hurt the brand name. Did you forget X-men: The Last Stand, X-men Origins: Wolverine, and Spider-man 3?

[keysersoze123]

Have you asked a million people what they think of the movie?

 

There is significant anecdotal evidence. We will know by friday next week.

[ecstasy]

I am thinking its legs will be significantly worse than 1st one. WOM is NOT good. Plus CF will ensure it will drop hard 3rd week after a hard drop next weekend(60%). Plus weekdays in november aint that good. I would say 2.3x for now.

 

LOL How do you know that? Is it bad?

 

I do agree CF will deal it a hard blow in two weeks but I don't know where this bad WOM is coming from.

[Fancyarcher]

There is significant anecdotal evidence. We will know by friday next week.

 

Then there is no evidence at all.

Edited November 9, 2013 by Fancyarcher

[ecstasy]

There is significant anecdotal evidence. We will know by friday next week.

 

From where?

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

WOM is NOT good.

 

Where is this coming from? Have we really come to a point where if a film is not over 8.0 on IMDb initially, then the WOM sucks?

 

Do we already have a Cinemascore?

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

They both helped and hurt the brand name. Did you forget X-men: The Last Stand, X-men Origins: Wolverine, and Spider-man 3?

 

 

Who cares? The brand had already been established by then. Think of Iron Man being released in 1999. Yeah.

[Mojoguy]

There is significant anecdotal evidence. We will know by friday next week.

We might get a pretty good idea about what the movie ends up making looking at Saturday drop because of online WOM. No way Spider-man 3 would have made that much money if it had been released the last few years.

Edited November 9, 2013 by Mojoguy

[The Futurist]

The big elephant in the room is that superhero movies have already reached its apex and there s not always room for growth.

 

Numbers done by TDK,TDKR, Superman 89, Avengers, Iron Man1.2. 3, the first 2 Spidey Raimi movies are huge almost all 50m + tickets sellers, replicating this magnitude of success is very tough to do.

Edited November 9, 2013 by The Futurist

[Dementeleus]

82, 24 weekdays = 106 first week

35, 13 weekdays = 48 second week, 152 cume

18, 7 weekdays, 25 third week, 177 cume

15, 7 weekdays, 22 fourth week, 199 cume

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

There is significant anecdotal evidence. We will know by friday next week.

 

I have to remember that one..."significant anecdotal evidence"...easiest way to throw out any need for actual proof.

 

(Just messin' with ya, Shawman)

[Mojoguy]

Think of Iron Man being released in 1999. Yeah.

I try not to. Iron Man came out at exactly the right time in 2008.

[John Marston]

WOM probably won't be bad but it probably won't be "must see". It will be average. . Because of this the second weekend drop will likely be 55-60%. A standard drop for this type of movie. Problem is third weekend Catching Fire will cause it to likely have a harsher thirdweekend drop than usual

[#ED]

75M OW?Why? What happened? Dat Avengers effect worked for 1 movie?Oh.