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LexJoker

Monday 2/10/2014 | Lego 3.5

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By my projections, Frozen will pass Passion of the Christ on Friday, Spider-Man 2 on Saturday, ROTK on Sunday, and ROTS Nemo, and DH2 on Monday to become the highest grossing film under 400M.

 

I'd prefer it to just hit 400m than be the highest grossing under 400m

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It'll be over 380M coming off a 10M+ 4-day weekend.  400M is going to be hard to miss.

12 million isn't out of reach if it gets a HUGE Valentines boost... and the two weekends after will likely see 10-15% drops ($8 million and $6.5 million) 

 

By the 17th: $382.6 million

By the 23rd: $391.6 million

By the 2nd: $399.1 million

By the 9th: $404.9 million

By the 16th: $411.3 million

By the 23rd: $415.4 million

By the 30th: $419.8 million

By the 6th: $423.2 million

By the 13th: $424.4 million

By the 20th: $425.0 million

 

By the end of May, it'll have ended its dollar theater run as Maleficent starts its wide release

 

$430 million is the absolute roof for Frozen and I'd love to see it top Catching Fire  :wub:

 

I figure a 25-30% drop against Mr. Peabody since Frozen has already shown it thrives against competition... another 10-15% drop the following, and a 45% drop against Muppets since Disney won't let Frozen take money from one of its own releases 

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12 million isn't out of reach if it gets a HUGE Valentines boost... and the two weekends after will likely see 10-15% drops ($8 million and $6.5 million) 

 

By the 17th: $382.6 million

By the 23rd: $391.6 million

By the 2nd: $399.1 million

By the 9th: $404.9 million

By the 16th: $411.3 million

By the 23rd: $415.4 million

By the 30th: $419.8 million

By the 6th: $423.2 million

By the 13th: $424.4 million

By the 20th: $425.0 million

 

By the end of May, it'll have ended its dollar theater run as Maleficent starts its wide release

 

$430 million is the absolute roof for Frozen and I'd love to see it top Catching Fire  :wub:

 

I figure a 25-30% drop against Mr. Peabody since Frozen has already shown it thrives against competition... another 10-15% drop the following, and a 45% drop against Muppets since Disney won't let Frozen take money from one of its own releases 

 

It'll drop harder than that on the weekend after.  8M and 6.5M are way too high, I think 6M is the absolute ceiling for the post President's Day weekend.

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12 million isn't out of reach if it gets a HUGE Valentines boost... and the two weekends after will likely see 10-15% drops ($8 million and $6.5 million) 

 

By the 17th: $382.6 million

By the 23rd: $391.6 million

By the 2nd: $399.1 million

By the 9th: $404.9 million

By the 16th: $411.3 million

By the 23rd: $415.4 million

By the 30th: $419.8 million

By the 6th: $423.2 million

By the 13th: $424.4 million

By the 20th: $425.0 million

 

By the end of May, it'll have ended its dollar theater run as Maleficent starts its wide release

 

$430 million is the absolute roof for Frozen and I'd love to see it top Catching Fire  :wub:

 

I figure a 25-30% drop against Mr. Peabody since Frozen has already shown it thrives against competition... another 10-15% drop the following, and a 45% drop against Muppets since Disney won't let Frozen take money from one of its own releases 

 

That would be pretty epic, but i have the feeling that it wont reach that high this weekend... also it not dropping much against peabody might again be a stretch. I think overall Lego will also subdue it a bit more later on since it will have good legs and the spill over effect wont be there anymore.

 

But i have to confess that the fanboy in me is pretty excited by those prospects :ph34r:  (though i am perfectly fine with CF being no1... but it would be nice if IM3 could be beat at least domestically since WW wont really happen)

Edited by chuck0
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That would be pretty epic, but i have the feeling that it wont reach that high this weekend... also it not dropping much against peabody might again be a stretch. I think overall Lego will also subdue it a bit more later on since it will have good legs and the spill over effect wont be there anymore.

 

But i have to confess that the fanboy in me is pretty excited by those prospects :ph34r:  (though i am perfectly fine with CF being no1... but it would be nice if IM3 could be beat at least domestically since WW wont really happen)

 

Depends on if it breaks out in Japan or not  :ph34r:

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The main lead is a terrible actor, I'll give you that. But a lot of the coolness comes from the ending. I'll shut up and let you finish.

Oh yeah, you just read my mind there. This guy is like the worst actor I've ever seen in a movie as highly regarded as this. 

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I think all the Monday numbers are up:

 

# Title Mon, Feb. 10 2014   Locations   Avg. Total Wks. Dist.

1 The LEGO Movie $3,494,064 -83% 3,775 -- $926 $72,544,343 1 Warner Bros.

2 The Monuments Men $1,622,380 -70% 3,083 -- $526 $23,625,813 1 Sony / Columbia

3 Ride Along $559,845 -76% 2,800 -67 $200 $105,872,375 4 Universal

4 Frozen (2013) $443,330 -79% 2,460 -294 $180 $369,080,767 12 Disney

5 Lone Survivor $387,315 -74% 2,869 -416 $135 $113,239,461 7 Universal

6 That Awkward Moment $362,052 -69% 2,809 0 $129 $16,907,273 2 Focus

7 Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit $260,121 -71% 2,139 -768 $122 $44,660,823 4 Paramount

8 Vampire Academy $242,653 -72% 2,676 -- $91 $4,164,395 1 Weinstein Company

9 Labor Day (2013) $238,648 -70% 2,584 0 $92 $10,365,829 2 Paramount

10 The Nut Job $227,223 -80% 3,004 -468 $76 $55,252,967 4 Open Road

11 American Hustle $220,841 -72% 1,640 -576 $135 $138,306,562 9 Sony / Columbia

12 The Wolf of Wall Street $215,064 -71% 1,167 -440 $184 $108,111,652 7 Paramount

13 August: Osage County $126,375 -70% 1,327 -992 $95 $34,416,886 7 Weinstein Company

14 I, Frankenstein $123,642 -71% 1,427 -1326 $87 $17,607,491 3 Lionsgate

Edited by DamienRoc
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