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MM2 should end up around 960k up 24% on MM and MM didn't have Wed Prev result, depending on burn out rate   should at least do 4-4.5 wkend

yeah should end weekend in this range round 4-4.2

IO around 4.2, Minions 4,TG 2.8, JP4 2.7(be at 49m)

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ok doing some comparisons..

 

my projections at the moment are:

 

JW - 54m approx

Minions - 33m approx

Inside Out - 31m approx

 

i'll post the comparisons in the next 2 posts...

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JW vs biggest openers of all time that made it past 50m totals.

 

 

Wk Shrek 2 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 The Avengers Jurassic World
Released 17-Jun-04 13-Jul-11 25-Apr-12 11-Jun-15
         
1: 13.2m/13.6m 18.4m/25.5m 13.3m/19.3m 16.1m/16.1m
Screens/Ave 437 / 30,114 754 / 24,362 621 / 21,398 605/26,552
2: 8.5m/25.3m 8.0m/38.7m 8.2m/31.1m 9.9m/30.2m
% Drop -35% -56% -38% -39%
3: 5.3m/34.6m 3.8m/44.5m 5.2m/39.0m 5.1m/38.0m
4: 4.3m/42.3m 2.3m/47.8m 3.5m/43.9m 3.6m/44.4m
5: 2.1m/46.2m 1.3m/49.7m 2.3m/47.0m EST 2.7m/49.1m
6: 1.0m/47.9m 757k/50.8m 1.8m/49.3m  
7: 662k/48.9m 445k/51.5m 1.3m/51.0m  
8: 364k/49.5m 279k/51.9m 608k/52.3m  
9: 220k/49.8m 176k/52.1m 307k/52.8m  
10: 135k/50.0m 92k/52.4m 162k/53.1m  
         
TOTAL: 50.4m 52.6m 53.3m 49.1m EST
Projected       54m

 

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Minions/Inside Out vs Despicable Me 2/Monsters University

 

Wk Despicable Me 2 Minions Monsters University Inside Out
Opened 20/06/2013 19/06/2015 20/06/2013 19/06/2015
         
PR: 2.2m/2.2m - - 1.0m/1.0m
1: 5.0m/7.2m 5.9m/5.9m 3.9m/3.9m 3.6m/4.6m
Scns / Ave 489/10,287 487/12,063 494/7,799 468/7,658
2: 4.4m/13.6m 4.1m/11.3m 3.3m/8.7m 3.1m/8.8m
% drop -12% -31% -13% -14%
3: 4.7m/22.4m 4.7m/19.8m 3.5m/15.1m 4.4m/16.9m
4: 3.8m/29.7m EST 4m/27.6m 2.8m/20.7m EST 4.2m/24.9m
5: 1.7m/32.7m   1.1m/22.8m  
6: 680k/33.8m   367k/23.4m  
7: 468k/34.4m   217k/23.7m  
8: 326k/34.8m   113k/23.9m  
9: 236k/35.1m   93k/24.0m  
10: 166k/35.3m   67k/24.1m  
         
TOTAL: 35.82m 27.6m 24.26m 24.9m
    33m   31m

 

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And Titanic is still pretty much out of reach.

 

unless JW develops some super strong post holiday legs I can't see JW making it past 56m let alone 57m at this stage.  To be honest looking at the numbers, while the drop and changes haven't been exactly the same (due to Shrek 2 being a animation and all), shrek 2 continues to be the best comparison.  I'm just hoping that JW doesn't see Shrek 2 type drops over the coming 2 weeks. (50%+)

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Minions/Inside Out vs Despicable Me 2/Monsters University

 

Wk Despicable Me 2 Minions Monsters University Inside Out Opened 20/06/2013 19/06/2015 20/06/2013 19/06/2015           PR: 2.2m/2.2m - - 1.0m/1.0m 1: 5.0m/7.2m 5.9m/5.9m 3.9m/3.9m 3.6m/4.6m Scns / Ave 489/10,287 487/12,063 494/7,799 468/7,658 2: 4.4m/13.6m 4.1m/11.3m 3.3m/8.7m 3.1m/8.8m % drop -12% -31% -13% -14% 3: 4.7m/22.4m 4.7m/19.8m 3.5m/15.1m 4.4m/16.9m 4: 3.8m/29.7m EST 4m/27.6m 2.8m/20.7m EST 4.2m/24.9m 5: 1.7m/32.7m   1.1m/22.8m   6: 680k/33.8m   367k/23.4m   7: 468k/34.4m   217k/23.7m   8: 326k/34.8m   113k/23.9m   9: 236k/35.1m   93k/24.0m   10: 166k/35.3m   67k/24.1m             TOTAL: 35.82m 27.6m 24.26m 24.9m     33m   31m

 

So basically DM2 and Minions have an identical performance if we excelude DM2's previews?

Interesting and amazing for Minions!

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Top engagements
9-12/7
 
Slam dunk Village again
 
1-Event Innaloo 16, Perth                 (MM2)
2-Event George St 17, Sydney                (MM2)
3-Imax Sydney                             (JP4)
4-Event Miranda 10, Sydney                 (MM2)
5-Village Southland 16, Melbourne          (IO)
6-Village Fountain Gate 10, Melbourne      (MM2)
7-Village Fountain Gate 10, Melbourne      (Min)
8-Village Southland 16, Melbourne          (Min)
9-Village Casino 13, Melbourne              (MM2)
10-Event Robina 11, Gold Coast             (MM2)
11-Village Jam Factory 15, Melbourne       (MM2)
12-Village Fountain Gate 10, Melbourne      (IO)
 
 
13-Event George St 17, Sydney                (TG)
14-Event Chermside 16, Brisbane             (MM2)
15-Event Castle Hill 16, Sydney              (IO)
16-Event Bondi Junction , Sydney            (MM2)
17-Hoyts Melbourne Central 11, Melbourne   (MM2)
18-Village Doncaster, Melbourne            (Min)
19-Village Fountain Gate 10, Melbourne      (JP4)
20-Village Doncaster, Melbourne            (IO)
21-Village Doncaster, Melbourne            (MM2)
22-Event Marion 26, Adelaide               (JP4)
23-Village Southland 16, Melbourne          (MM2)
24-Event Marion 26, Adelaide               (MM2)
25-Event Marion 26, Adelaide               (IO)
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So basically DM2 and Minions have an identical performance if we excelude DM2's previews? Interesting and amazing for Minions!
And it's faced a much more formidable foe in inside out. IO actually beat it last weekend while MU (vs DM2) never got above DM2. And it entered a market being dominated by Dino's.
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And it's faced a much more formidable foe in inside out. IO actually beat it last weekend while MU (vs DM2) never got above DM2. And it entered a market being dominated by Dino's.

Wow - shows excellent legs for Minions! WOM must be very good

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Most Popular Films For Period Weekend: July 8 � July 12, 2015

WIR = Weeks In Release

No WIR Title $ %
Total $
1 4 INSIDE OUT (PG), WALT DISNEY [452/ $9,543] 4,313,373 -3%
25,061,119
2 4 MINIONS (PG), UNIVERSAL [435/ $9,625] 4,186,832 -10%
27,833,667
3 1 MAGIC MIKE XXL (MA15+), WARNER BROS [401/ $10,226] 4,100,516 N/A
5,154,319
4 3 TERMINATOR: GENISYS (M), PARAMOUNT [460/ $6,203] 2,853,234 -40%
10,586,769
5 5 JURASSIC WORLD (M), UNIVERSAL [404/ $6,789] 2,742,799 -24%
49,176,087
6 3 TED 2 (MA15+), UNIVERSAL [296/ $4,276] 1,265,773 -45%
10,549,232
7 3 FAR FROM THE MADDING CROWD (M), FOX [113/ $3,818] 431,455 -20%
2,198,308
8 2 AMY (MA15+), ENTERTAINMENT ONE [18/ $9,991] 179,846 3%
475,419
9 1 MADAME BOVARY (M), TRANSMISSION [44/ $3,476] 152,942 N/A
153,766
10 8 SPY (MA15+), FOX [76/ $1,796] 136,459 -27%
14,199,427
11 3 LOVE & MERCY (M), ICON [47/ $2,581] 121,323 -21%
633,606
12 8 WOMAN IN GOLD (M), ROADSHOW [67/ $1,580] 105,830 -34%
6,169,562
13 1 FOREVER YOUNG (PG), CHINALION FILM [10/ $6,912] 69,123 N/A
69,123
14 1 HERO - NAAM YAAD RAKHI (M), FRIENDS INDIA [18/ $2,936] 52,849 N/A
52,849
15 10 PITCH PERFECT 2 (M), UNIVERSAL [47/ $1,075] 50,519 -30%
28,064,456
16 9 MAD MAX: FURY ROAD (MA15+), ROADSHOW [30/ $1,588] 47,637 -48%
21,536,967
17 6 ENTOURAGE (MA15+), WARNER BROS [23/ $1,891] 43,500 -46%
7,622,408
18 7 TOMORROWLAND (PG), WALT DISNEY [48/ $858] 41,182 5%
4,534,447
19 5 HOT PURSUIT (M), WARNER BROS [29/ $1,360] 39,435 -44%
1,829,961
20 6 WALKING THE CAMINO: SIX WAYS TO SANTIAGO (PG), UMBRELLA ENTERTAINMENT [18/ $2,146] 38,634 -12%
402,049

 

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Most Popular Films For Period Weekend: July 8 � July 12, 2015

WIR = Weeks In Release No WIR Title $ %

Total $
1 4 INSIDE OUT (PG), WALT DISNEY [452/ $9,543] 4,313,373 -3%
25,061,119
2 4 MINIONS (PG), UNIVERSAL [435/ $9,625] 4,186,832 -10%
27,833,667
3 1 MAGIC MIKE XXL (MA15+), WARNER BROS [401/ $10,226] 4,100,516 N/A
5,154,319
4 3 TERMINATOR: GENISYS (M), PARAMOUNT [460/ $6,203] 2,853,234 -40%
10,586,769
5 5 JURASSIC WORLD (M), UNIVERSAL [404/ $6,789] 2,742,799 -24%
49,176,087
6 3 TED 2 (MA15+), UNIVERSAL [296/ $4,276] 1,265,773 -45%
10,549,232
7 3 FAR FROM THE MADDING CROWD (M), FOX [113/ $3,818] 431,455 -20%
2,198,308
8 2 AMY (MA15+), ENTERTAINMENT ONE [18/ $9,991] 179,846 3%
475,419
9 1 MADAME BOVARY (M), TRANSMISSION [44/ $3,476] 152,942 N/A
153,766
10 8 SPY (MA15+), FOX [76/ $1,796] 136,459 -27%
14,199,427
11 3 LOVE & MERCY (M), ICON [47/ $2,581] 121,323 -21%
633,606
12 8 WOMAN IN GOLD (M), ROADSHOW [67/ $1,580] 105,830 -34%
6,169,562
13 1 FOREVER YOUNG (PG), CHINALION FILM [10/ $6,912] 69,123 N/A
69,123
14 1 HERO - NAAM YAAD RAKHI (M), FRIENDS INDIA [18/ $2,936] 52,849 N/A
52,849
15 10 PITCH PERFECT 2 (M), UNIVERSAL [47/ $1,075] 50,519 -30%
28,064,456
16 9 MAD MAX: FURY ROAD (MA15+), ROADSHOW [30/ $1,588] 47,637 -48%
21,536,967
17 6 ENTOURAGE (MA15+), WARNER BROS [23/ $1,891] 43,500 -46%
7,622,408
18 7 TOMORROWLAND (PG), WALT DISNEY [48/ $858] 41,182 5%
4,534,447
19 5 HOT PURSUIT (M), WARNER BROS [29/ $1,360] 39,435 -44%
1,829,961
20 6 WALKING THE CAMINO: SIX WAYS TO SANTIAGO (PG), UMBRELLA ENTERTAINMENT [18/ $2,146] 38,634 -12%
402,049

 

Interesting that minions is still the higher theatre average than IO after 4 weeks! Great holds for both of them!

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Wow, Australia has some massive grosses this year.  Woman in Gold, Terminator is going to do about 12 million, Pitch Perfect did gang busters and Spy is doing much better here than in the US.  Then of course JW, Minions and IO....wow.

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Wow, Australia has some massive grosses this year.  Woman in Gold, Terminator is going to do about 12 million, Pitch Perfect did gang busters and Spy is doing much better here than in the US.  Then of course JW, Minions and IO....wow.

Too bad they won't do much in USD..  :( damn the exchanged rate. 

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