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ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' stronger than predecessor

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What's crazy is that +60% is very solid even when compared to the other releases, despite EG's gross being 15/50% higher.

 

On Tuesday EG becomes:

* the fastest Hollywood movie of all time to pass the 20M barrier

 

* the #1 SH movie of all time (in gross)

* the first SH movie able to pass the 20M mark

 

1) Avengers: Endgame > 20.23

2) Spider Man 19,26

3) Spider Man 2 > 18,98

4) Avengers – Infinity War > 18,77

5) Spider Man 3 > 18,04

6) The Avengers > 17,97

7) Avengers – Age of Ultron > 16,55

😎 Iron Man 3 > 16,09

9) The Dark Knight Rises > 14,67

10) Suicide Squad > 12,11

 

 

* the #1 Avengers (and MCU) movie in gross

* the #1 Avengers (and MCU) movie in admissions

 

€ 20.233.217 - 2.680.051 - ENDGAME (2019)

€ 18.781.004 - 2.646.329 - INFINITY WAR (2018)
€ 16.571.660 - 2.310.510 - AGE OF ULTRON (2015)
€ 18.012.831 - 2.133.832 - AVENGERS (2012)

(the insanely high ticket price for the first Avengers is due to the 3D craze)

 

Considering the movie isn't slowing doen, and that forecast for the next 10 days or so has worsened considerably (rains will return), here's the top 5 of all time among Hollywood releases, in both Cinetel (official numbers, which don't take smaller theaters into consideration) and Siae numbers (true numbers, released much much slower and often hard-to-impossible to find).

 

TOP 5 (Cinetel)

1. Avatar > 65.67

2. Titanic > 50.22

3. Alice in Wonderland > 30.39

4. Ice Age 3 > 29.69

5. Bohemian Rhapsody > 28.92

 

TOP 5 (Siae)

1. Titanic > 71.10

2. Avatar > 66.80

3. The Lion King > 32.90

4. Ice Age 3 > 31.15

5. Alice in Wonderland > 31.00

 

I wouldn't rule out Alice's total gross. The main goal, though, is to beat BR for the top spot of the season.

About SIAE numbers, a movie like Endgame make pretty much all of its money on the big screens, so the adjustment would be minimal. It would need more than 32 millions (it's EG, so never say never) to overtake The Lion King, which after 25 years is still the highest grossing non-Cameron Hollywood movie of all time unadjusted.

 

Everything above 2 millions today would put a 30+ finish in play. 2.5+ would likely make Bohemian Rhapsody's 28.92M a formality.

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Pos.
Titolo
Prima Progr.
Nazione
Distribuzione
Incasso
Presenze
1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.631.071 214.690
2 STANLIO E OLLIO (STAN & OLLIE) 01/05/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 210.361 30.545
3 MA COSA CI DICE IL CERVELLO 18/04/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 188.045 27.428
4 ATTACCO A MUMBAI - UNA VERA STORIA DI CORAGGIO (HOTEL MUMBAI) 30/04/2019 AUS M2 PICTURES S.R.L. € 91.154 13.505
5 NON SONO UN ASSASSINO 30/04/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 79.417 12.229
6 DUMBO 28/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 51.454 7.654
7 A SPASSO CON WILLY (TERRA WILLY - PLANETE INCONNUE) 18/04/2019 FRA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 41.797 6.575
8 WONDER PARK 11/04/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 40.421 6.177
9 AFTER 11/04/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 38.664 5.240
10 LA LLORONA - LE LACRIME DEL MALE (THE CURSE OF LA LLORONA) 17/04/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 36.201 4.762
   
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Just now, SURAJ said:
Pos.
Titolo
Prima Progr.
Nazione
Distribuzione
Incasso
Presenze
1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.631.071 214.690
2 STANLIO E OLLIO (STAN & OLLIE) 01/05/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 210.361 30.545
3 MA COSA CI DICE IL CERVELLO 18/04/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 188.045 27.428
4 ATTACCO A MUMBAI - UNA VERA STORIA DI CORAGGIO (HOTEL MUMBAI) 30/04/2019 AUS M2 PICTURES S.R.L. € 91.154 13.505
5 NON SONO UN ASSASSINO 30/04/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 79.417 12.229
6 DUMBO 28/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 51.454 7.654
7 A SPASSO CON WILLY (TERRA WILLY - PLANETE INCONNUE) 18/04/2019 FRA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 41.797 6.575
8 WONDER PARK 11/04/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 40.421 6.177
9 AFTER 11/04/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 38.664 5.240
10 LA LLORONA - LE LACRIME DEL MALE (THE CURSE OF LA LLORONA) 17/04/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 36.201 4.762
   

1 MAY. 

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Updated:

 

1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.711.678 226.745
2 STANLIO E OLLIO (STAN & OLLIE) 01/05/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 232.035 33.988
3 MA COSA CI DICE IL CERVELLO 18/04/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 203.418 29.770
4 ATTACCO A MUMBAI - UNA VERA STORIA DI CORAGGIO (HOTEL MUMBAI) 30/04/2019 AUS M2 PICTURES S.R.L. € 92.894 13.771
5 NON SONO UN ASSASSINO 30/04/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 84.298 13.027
6 DUMBO 28/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 52.044 7.758
7 A SPASSO CON WILLY (TERRA WILLY - PLANETE INCONNUE) 18/04/2019 FRA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 43.326 6.811
8 WONDER PARK 11/04/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 40.997 6.289
9 AFTER 11/04/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 39.154 5.324
10 LA LLORONA - LE LACRIME DEL MALE (THE CURSE OF LA LLORONA) 17/04/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 37.430 4.937

 

Only a tiny increase for EG, meaning it's about to run out of gas. A 20+ opening week is apparently just too much to ask for an increase from a Tuesday that jumped 60% from an already inflated Monday.

Its Labor Day gross is still 15% higher than IW's, which even dropped from the (granted, more inflated) 30th.

IW made 6.7M more after the 1st of May. If EG makes 10% more than that, it will finish above 29 millions (and so above BR).

 

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7 minutes ago, Omni said:

Updated:

 

1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.711.678 226.745
2 STANLIO E OLLIO (STAN & OLLIE) 01/05/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 232.035 33.988
3 MA COSA CI DICE IL CERVELLO 18/04/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 203.418 29.770
4 ATTACCO A MUMBAI - UNA VERA STORIA DI CORAGGIO (HOTEL MUMBAI) 30/04/2019 AUS M2 PICTURES S.R.L. € 92.894 13.771
5 NON SONO UN ASSASSINO 30/04/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 84.298 13.027
6 DUMBO 28/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 52.044 7.758
7 A SPASSO CON WILLY (TERRA WILLY - PLANETE INCONNUE) 18/04/2019 FRA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 43.326 6.811
8 WONDER PARK 11/04/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 40.997 6.289
9 AFTER 11/04/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 39.154 5.324
10 LA LLORONA - LE LACRIME DEL MALE (THE CURSE OF LA LLORONA) 17/04/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 37.430 4.937

 

Only a tiny increase for EG, meaning it's about to run out of gas. A 20+ opening week is apparently just too much to ask for an increase from a Tuesday that jumped 60% from an already inflated Monday.

Its Labor Day gross is still 15% higher than IW's, which even dropped from the (granted, more inflated) 30th.

IW made 6.7M more after the 1st of May. If EG makes 10% more than that, it will finish above 29 millions (and so above BR).

 

So we’re looking at around 42% increase above IW, comfortably above the benchmark needed to surpass Avatar. 

Edited by HouseOfTheSun
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9 minutes ago, Omni said:

Updated:

 

1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.711.678 226.745
2 STANLIO E OLLIO (STAN & OLLIE) 01/05/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 232.035 33.988
3 MA COSA CI DICE IL CERVELLO 18/04/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 203.418 29.770
4 ATTACCO A MUMBAI - UNA VERA STORIA DI CORAGGIO (HOTEL MUMBAI) 30/04/2019 AUS M2 PICTURES S.R.L. € 92.894 13.771
5 NON SONO UN ASSASSINO 30/04/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 84.298 13.027
6 DUMBO 28/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 52.044 7.758
7 A SPASSO CON WILLY (TERRA WILLY - PLANETE INCONNUE) 18/04/2019 FRA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 43.326 6.811
8 WONDER PARK 11/04/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 40.997 6.289
9 AFTER 11/04/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 39.154 5.324
10 LA LLORONA - LE LACRIME DEL MALE (THE CURSE OF LA LLORONA) 17/04/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 37.430 4.937

 

Only a tiny increase for EG, meaning it's about to run out of gas. A 20+ opening week is apparently just too much to ask for an increase from a Tuesday that jumped 60% from an already inflated Monday.

Its Labor Day gross is still 15% higher than IW's, which even dropped from the (granted, more inflated) 30th.

IW made 6.7M more after the 1st of May. If EG makes 10% more than that, it will finish above 29 millions (and so above BR).

 

I think IW will still make over 4m in the next 4 days. So it shoould easily beat IW 6.7m. I would go to 8m - 9m but that might be pushing it.

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The weather is so far supporting it much more than it did to IW (which was actually hurt by the summer-in-spring). We have no idea how many repeat viewings it could bank on, and it needs them to get above the 30M mark. Usually the Italian moviegoer is a once-and-I'm-done figure, and being able to break that rule is what brought BR so high. 30M is now 60/40, BR like 90/10.

 

 

TOP 10 OF THE 18-19 SEASON

 

1 BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY 29/11/2018 GBR 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 28.891.559 4.121.611
2 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 21.958.441 2.908.886
3 ANIMALI FANTASTICI: I CRIMINI DI GRINDELWALD (FANTASTIC BEASTS: THE CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD) 15/11/2018 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 12.784.264 1.828.516
4 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: UNA VACANZA MOSTRUOSA (HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: SUMMER VACATION) 22/08/2018 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 12.257.142 1.935.842
5 IL RITORNO DI MARY POPPINS (MARY POPPINS RETURNS) 20/12/2018 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 12.154.883 1.827.884
6 GLI INCREDIBILI 2 (INCREDIBLES 2) 19/09/2018 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 12.057.679 1.877.208
7 DUMBO 28/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.882.793 1.947.090
8 RALPH SPACCA INTERNET (RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET) 01/01/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.844.301 1.682.287
9 AQUAMAN 01/01/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 10.765.506 1.537.270
10 CAPTAIN MARVEL 06/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.225.619 1.552.891

 

BR won't be beaten in admissions, but it should be beaten in total gross.

Dumbo is now the #2 movie of the year, and the #3 of the whole season in admissions.

 

It's crazy to have 2 movies getting so close to 30M and the third not even able to pass the 13M mark. Maybe Aladdin can fill the hole a bit.

Edited by Omni
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02/05/19 (Thursday)

 

1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 506.002 74.434
2 STANLIO E OLLIO (STAN & OLLIE) 01/05/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 53.970 9.126
3 MA COSA CI DICE IL CERVELLO 18/04/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 30.223 5.328
4 ATTACCO A MUMBAI - UNA VERA STORIA DI CORAGGIO (HOTEL MUMBAI) 30/04/2019 AUS M2 PICTURES S.R.L. € 29.136 4.935
5 NON SONO UN ASSASSINO 30/04/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 18.123 3.249
6 I FRATELLI SISTERS (THE SISTERS BROTHERS) 02/05/2019 FRA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 17.842 3.117
7 LA LLORONA - LE LACRIME DEL MALE (THE CURSE OF LA LLORONA) 17/04/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 13.724 2.063
8 L'UOMO CHE COMPRO' LA LUNA 04/04/2019 ITA INDIGO FILM € 7.897 1.139
9 AFTER 11/04/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 5.824 909
10 CAFARNAO - CAOS E MIRACOLI (CAPHARNAUM) 11/04/2019 LBN LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 4.839 812

 

Thank god there's Avengers - look at the rest! Capharnaum sells 800 tickets in the whole country and that's enough to enter the top 10! The kids movies totally collapsed.

EG's  506K is 6% higher than IW's post-LD gross (on Wednesday) and more than 20% higher than IW's 2nd Thursday. So overall a good hold.

 

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Well, it's certainly better than being revised downwards :P

 

Still looking at 29.5 +/- 1.0 million euros (32/35M dollars). If it makes more than 4 millions this weekend, then Alice in Wonderland will be in serious trouble. Weather will decide.

Edited by Omni
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1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 655.051 93.322
2 STANLIO E OLLIO (STAN & OLLIE) 01/05/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 100.439 16.261
3 MA COSA CI DICE IL CERVELLO 18/04/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 68.299 11.008
4 ATTACCO A MUMBAI - UNA VERA STORIA DI CORAGGIO (HOTEL MUMBAI) 30/04/2019 AUS M2 PICTURES S.R.L. € 52.910 8.422
5 NON SONO UN ASSASSINO 30/04/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 32.260 5.484
6 I FRATELLI SISTERS (THE SISTERS BROTHERS) 02/05/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 31.896 5.289
7 LA LLORONA - LE LACRIME DEL MALE (THE CURSE OF LA LLORONA) 17/04/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 23.424 3.323
8 AFTER 11/04/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 12.786 1.869
9 SARAH & SALEEM - LA' DOVE NULLA E' POSSIBILE (THE REPORTS ON SARAH AND SALEEM) 24/04/2019 PSE SATINE FILM DISTR. € 10.135 1.729
10 L'UOMO CHE COMPRO' LA LUNA 04/04/2019 ITA INDIGO FILM € 9.516 1.381
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1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.404.769 188.424
2 STANLIO E OLLIO (STAN & OLLIE) 01/05/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 327.491 48.131
3 MA COSA CI DICE IL CERVELLO 18/04/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 252.663 36.583
4 ATTACCO A MUMBAI - UNA VERA STORIA DI CORAGGIO (HOTEL MUMBAI) 30/04/2019 AUS M2 PICTURES S.R.L. € 171.484 24.723
5 NON SONO UN ASSASSINO 30/04/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 126.426 18.947
6 I FRATELLI SISTERS (THE SISTERS BROTHERS) 02/05/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 99.720 14.678
7 LA LLORONA - LE LACRIME DEL MALE (THE CURSE OF LA LLORONA) 17/04/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 69.745 9.154
8 DUMBO 28/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 44.145 6.616
9 A SPASSO CON WILLY (TERRA WILLY - PLANETE INCONNUE) 18/04/2019 FRA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 41.406 6.532
10 WONDER PARK 11/04/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 41.383 6.394
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