grey ghost Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 I don't see that happening. We still have X-Men, Transformers, and Guardians and Ninja Turtles as possiblities.No way Guardians or Turtles open bigger than Cap 2 or Godzilla.Turtles will be lucky to open bigger than Neighbors. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heat Vision Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Looks like Spidey is heading for 700 million. It should get a decent Memorial weekend number.Godzilla will probably end around 220-225 domestic but I don't think it will get much legs overseas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 so did Shrek and POTC (remember, the third one had 3D and opened in 2011)Even if it falls below $300M DOM, like let's say ig makes $260M. It'll still open with $100M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 There, 31.5 M overseas. And Ent expects 25 M from thereon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 so did Shrek and POTC (remember, the third one had 3D and opened in 2011) PotC 3 did not had 3D. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> So with 31.5 for the weekend. How much was from China as opposed to the other markets? I guess I better go to the China thread to see some calculations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 The last one had solid WOM. I think the biggest problem of TF4 is his own trailer. Lets compare the final trailers of TF4 and TF3 here: http://youtu.be/CKD5SNYUpUk Yeah, it is not even fair. TF3 had a masterpiece of a trailer. TF4 has a fine trailer, but nothing big. But TF4 has Optimus Prime riding a robot T-Rex and kicking ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 I'm thinking ASM 2 will drop pretty badly next week because there is another superhero film coming out with tons of buzz. CAP 2 dropped 52% when ASM 2 came out. I think Spidey will follow a similar fate, but monday will help it. Pretty much every movie drops less than 50% over Memorial Day weekend, unless they loses tons of screens (Cap 2 and Rio 2 are more likely for this), or it's their second weekend. I see ASM2 getting a 35-45% drop over the 3 day with a 20-30% drop over the 4 day. Not to mention X-Men isn't exactly kid-friendly (or Godzilla for that matter)... Spidey will probably get $205-210 million DOM when it's said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Good point but maybe there will be another trailerI agree that TF4 will open over 100 m but whens the last time a 3rd or 4th trailer made any difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ent Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Huh? 25 M after this weekend? Well in a lot of countries it will be mostly closed on tuesday night (ity opened on Aoril teh 16th and a lot of countries pull out movies after 3 to 6 weeks while tyhe last two weeks, theater counts is extremely reduced) as Dofp is kicking it on wednesday. It can still pull a lot of cash in China, especially on weekends but Dofp will also be released there. Quite frankly i don't see it pulling another $40M, unless it is still largelly in theaters for the next three weeks which it won't with DOFP opening this wednesday and Maleficent opening the next one.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 There, 31.5 M overseas. And Ent expects 25 M from thereon? Well it depends though. She said with competition coming. China is the biggest market and DOFP opens there this weekend. I don't know what it will do but there's the possibility of it losing steam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 also, it's not about having a well received predecessor or not. It's about looking as interesting as OST and Shrek4 looked compared to their original trilogy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heat Vision Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Any Godzilla OS numbers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zackzack Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> Spidey is doing fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 There, 31.5 M overseas. And Ent expects 25 M from thereon? Around 45%+ came from China and with DOFP opening this week will hurt it pretty bad there but I do agree 500M OS should happen but still not guaranteed to beat Cap WW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 The last one had solid WOM. I think the biggest problem of TF4 is his own trailer. Lets compare the final trailers of TF4 and TF3 here: http://youtu.be/CKD5SNYUpUk Yeah, it is not even fair. TF3 had a masterpiece of a trailer. TF4 has a fine trailer, but nothing big. Transformers 4 is gonna do well simply because the gap between it and X-Men is roughly 35 days. Apes doesn't come out until July 11th. Considering families are going to want something to see over the 4th of July week (and HTTYD2 the only major family competition for the summer), this will probably get $275-325 million DOM solely due to lack of competition. ASM2 just looked terrible while TF4 looks slightly more appealing. Granted, I feel HTTYD2 is going to win the summer, but oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Around 45%+ came from China and with DOFP opening this week will hurt it pretty bad there but I do agree 500M OS should happen but still not guaranteed to beat Cap WW. If it makes 500 overseas then I'm pretty sure it will beat Cap worldwide. It's gonna make more than 200m domestic right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 The whole Summer just looks incredibly boring and dull after the Memorial Weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 PotC 3 did not had 3D. TF3 did, it sold way less tickes than Shrek3 and AWE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Even if it falls below $300M DOM, like let's say ig makes $260M. It'll still open with $100M. why would you calculate the OW based on DOM gross? that makes no sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
