Thurs #s 5/29: DOFP 4.9, Godz 1.8, Neigh 1.2 (Rth), Blend 1, AMWTD .9 (spatula) | Happy birthday eXtacy (but not ECSTACY)

[Carlos Martinez]

there won't be any spin. X Men will fall exactly what everyone expects it to fall. Godzilla is the one that fell harder than a rock falling off a cliff.

puff daddy song really helped the 1998 thow,

[Emirazza]

It's weird that no matter how could the film is, X men can't escape the frontloading

It's a trend. GA says, "Xmen is outdated now, wolverine, Magneto who cares? Now it's Loki and Iron Man, its the new MCU" 

[Mojoguy]

It's weird that no matter how could the film is, X men can't escape the frontloading

Nothing weird about it. X men has ALWAYS been frontloaded because it has such a large fanboy audience that go see on the first weekend.

[baumer]

Haha. Godzilla 1998 did better than Godzilla 2014. If u cant see that then your eyes are wide shut.

[eXtacy]

BKB have you even seen DOFP yet?

[CJohn]

Shit numbers. Waiting for news about the previews of Maleficent and A Million Ways.

[dxmatrixdt]

xmen will make 35 million for a complimentary 62 percent drop. 165 after this weekend, and who knows how close it will be to x3. if this week it averages 8,800 per location, and then looses 300 screens next weekend... 3700 screens times $4,250 per screen average against EoT and Fault in our Stars = almost 16 million. also 3 million per weekday next week. xmen after its third weekend could end at 16 mil, another 55 percent drop, and a total of 193. from there, EoT will be a must see during the weekdays, X-men will probably drop to 1.65/day. give that 6.6 for the week. Facing competition with 22 Jump Street and How to Train Your Dragon will give it another 50% drop most likely. seeing as it this movie has goodwill, a decline in the per screen average from 4400 to 2500 seems logical. I think Wolverine did 2400 as it shed more screens. HTTYD2 and 22 Jump Street will fill up 7500 theaters at least. X-men should loose 600 and be at 3000 for that week with the 2400 dollar average/location. 7.2 million. 7.2 + 6.6 + 193 = 206.8by then, the marketplace will become more saturated. a nicer 1.1/day may result until it looses another 600 theaters. 2400 theaters, Think Like a Man Too and Jersey Boys saturating more marketplace, and X-Men resting on word of mouth and those who still need to see it/see it once more campaign, i think it will hold up in the per screen average department. 1700/screen times 2400 theaters = 4.1 million. 4.1 + 4.4 + 206.8 = 215.3 million us total.then comes Transformers. Captain America seemed to hold well. Give X-Men another 600 theater loss and a per screen average of 1250 dollars per theater at 1800 theaters is 2.3 million. with recieving .65/day weekday before that, the new total becomes 2.6 + 2.3 + 220.2So if X-Men wants to get to 240, it is going to need WOM and a more booming marketplace to do so.

[Mattrek]

xmen will make 35 million for a complimentary 62 percent drop. 165 after this weekend, and who knows how close it will be to x3. if this week it averages 8,800 per location, and then looses 300 screens next weekend... 3700 screens times $4,250 per screen average against EoT and Fault in our Stars = almost 16 million. also 3 million per weekday next week. xmen after its third weekend could end at 16 mil, another 55 percent drop, and a total of 193. from there, EoT will be a must see during the weekdays, X-men will probably drop to 1.65/day. give that 6.6 for the week. Facing competition with 22 Jump Street and How to Train Your Dragon will give it another 50% drop most likely. seeing as it this movie has goodwill, a decline in the per screen average from 4400 to 2500 seems logical. I think Wolverine did 2400 as it shed more screens. HTTYD2 and 22 Jump Street will fill up 7500 theaters at least. X-men should loose 600 and be at 3000 for that week with the 2400 dollar average/location. 7.2 million. 7.2 + 6.6 + 193 = 206.8by then, the marketplace will become more saturated. a nicer 1.1/day may result until it looses another 600 theaters. 2400 theaters, Think Like a Man Too and Jersey Boys saturating more marketplace, and X-Men resting on word of mouth and those who still need to see it/see it once more campaign, i think it will hold up in the per screen average department. 1700/screen times 2400 theaters = 4.1 million. 4.1 + 4.4 + 206.8 = 215.3 million us total.then comes Transformers. Captain America seemed to hold well. Give X-Men another 600 theater loss and a per screen average of 1250 dollars per theater at 1800 theaters is 2.3 million. with recieving .65/day weekday before that, the new total becomes 2.6 + 2.3 + 220.2So if X-Men wants to get to 240, it is going to need WOM and a more booming marketplace to do so.

[dxmatrixdt]

Spiderman and Godzilla may take along time to reach 200

[Emirazza]

xmen will make 35 million for a complimentary 62 percent drop. 165 after this weekend, and who knows how close it will be to x3. if this week it averages 8,800 per location, and then looses 300 screens next weekend... 3700 screens times $4,250 per screen average against EoT and Fault in our Stars = almost 16 million. also 3 million per weekday next week. xmen after its third weekend could end at 16 mil, another 55 percent drop, and a total of 193. from there, EoT will be a must see during the weekdays, X-men will probably drop to 1.65/day. give that 6.6 for the week. Facing competition with 22 Jump Street and How to Train Your Dragon will give it another 50% drop most likely. seeing as it this movie has goodwill, a decline in the per screen average from 4400 to 2500 seems logical. I think Wolverine did 2400 as it shed more screens. HTTYD2 and 22 Jump Street will fill up 7500 theaters at least. X-men should loose 600 and be at 3000 for that week with the 2400 dollar average/location. 7.2 million. 7.2 + 6.6 + 193 = 206.8 by then, the marketplace will become more saturated. a nicer 1.1/day may result until it looses another 600 theaters. 2400 theaters, Think Like a Man Too and Jersey Boys saturating more marketplace, and X-Men resting on word of mouth and those who still need to see it/see it once more campaign, i think it will hold up in the per screen average department. 1700/screen times 2400 theaters = 4.1 million. 4.1 + 4.4 + 206.8 = 215.3 million us total. then comes Transformers. Captain America seemed to hold well. Give X-Men another 600 theater loss and a per screen average of 1250 dollars per theater at 1800 theaters is 2.3 million. with recieving .65/day weekday before that, the new total becomes 2.6 + 2.3 + 220.2 So if X-Men wants to get to 240, it is going to need WOM and a more booming marketplace to do so.

Yeah, hopes of 240 is fading. 

[Sam]

xmen will make 35 million for a complimentary 62 percent drop. 165 after this weekend, and who knows how close it will be to x3. if this week it averages 8,800 per location, and then looses 300 screens next weekend... 3700 screens times $4,250 per screen average against EoT and Fault in our Stars = almost 16 million. also 3 million per weekday next week. xmen after its third weekend could end at 16 mil, another 55 percent drop, and a total of 193. from there, EoT will be a must see during the weekdays, X-men will probably drop to 1.65/day. give that 6.6 for the week. Facing competition with 22 Jump Street and How to Train Your Dragon will give it another 50% drop most likely. seeing as it this movie has goodwill, a decline in the per screen average from 4400 to 2500 seems logical. I think Wolverine did 2400 as it shed more screens. HTTYD2 and 22 Jump Street will fill up 7500 theaters at least. X-men should loose 600 and be at 3000 for that week with the 2400 dollar average/location. 7.2 million. 7.2 + 6.6 + 193 = 206.8by then, the marketplace will become more saturated. a nicer 1.1/day may result until it looses another 600 theaters. 2400 theaters, Think Like a Man Too and Jersey Boys saturating more marketplace, and X-Men resting on word of mouth and those who still need to see it/see it once more campaign, i think it will hold up in the per screen average department. 1700/screen times 2400 theaters = 4.1 million. 4.1 + 4.4 + 206.8 = 215.3 million us total.then comes Transformers. Captain America seemed to hold well. Give X-Men another 600 theater loss and a per screen average of 1250 dollars per theater at 1800 theaters is 2.3 million. with recieving .65/day weekday before that, the new total becomes 2.6 + 2.3 + 220.2So if X-Men wants to get to 240, it is going to need WOM and a more booming marketplace to do so.

You might wanna break that up so that it's easier to read. X-Men won't drop 55% third weekend IMO. That's worse than TLS. From what I see, it actually follows FF6 closely (a bit better) and FF6 dropped only 44% third weekend.

[Sam]

Forgot about Spidey, what is it heading for dom? Over/under Thor2?

[Fake]

Spiderman and Godzilla may take along time to reach 200

Yeah.... both would be crawling past 200m and might need a fudge even.Godzilla needs to stay above 4m and TASM2 above 1m this Friday for being comfortable with respect to 200m+ finish.

[dxmatrixdt]

computer error,  need to fix.  does not allow spaces.  Spidey will not be as big as Thor.

[Ent]

Forgot about Spidey, what is it heading for dom? Over/under Thor2?

 

It's ahead of TTDW by like $200 - $300 now but TTDW did 4.8M on its 5th weekend, so it will get ahead of about $1M on sunday.

 

I think ultimately TTDW will be ahead which will be the final nail in the coffin for Spidey in terms of domestic frontrunner.  

 

And to think that Avi called him the King of Marvel two months ago denying him the right to be in TA unless it was all about him and everything done around him as the main and center stage character of the TA ensemble...

 

All Hail the former Marvel's King...

Edited May 30, 2014 by Ent

[Mojoguy]

Forgot about Spidey, what is it heading for dom? Over/under Thor2?

Under 200m DOM for Spidey... hopefully.

[darkelf]

Under 200m DOM for Spidey... hopefully.

 

Even if Spidey misses 200M, it wont

[Sam]

It's ahead of TTDW by like $200 - $300 now but TTDW did 4.8M on its 5th weekend, so it will get ahead of about $1M on sunday.

I see. Thanks. Will this weekend be the one it finally drop under 50%? Doesn't seems too hard.

[CJohn]

Even if Spidey misses 200M, it wont

TASM2 and Godzilla will both be Superman Returns into 200M if necessary.

[darkelf]

TASM2 and Godzilla will both be Superman Returns into 200M if necessary.

 

And I'm fine with that for Godzilla since I have it at exactly 200M in the summer game and let's be honest, nothing else matters