Official Weekend Estimates: Maleficent - 70M, X-Men - 32.6M, A Million Ways - 17.1M, Godzilla - 12.2M

[kowhite]

this sort of movie will be huge on rental too

Bet it does gangbusters on pirate bay.

[a2k]

I love this

they have successfully found nikki's replacement

[Fancyarcher]

this sort of movie will be huge on rental too

 

Correct!

Edited May 31, 2014 by Fancyarcher

[Blankments]

OK to clarify a couple points

 

The data that has been posted , which shouldn't be (I have known over the years raw data to appear on other site where in a nutshell listing the data was shut down), is not the total gross up until that point in time it is a sample of theatres.

Also included in that sample is a sample of the theatres grosses that played Thu night/midnight , hence a higher than usual number at 10am (fyi you would fall of your chair if you saw say TA at 10am first friday, the addition of this data has to be taken into account as it effect final outcomes)

 

X films sample data at say 11am,2pm,5pm,7pm is not necessarily the same as films Y Z you might be comparing, so may factor come into it,

like how big is the sample vs  what is the total number of theatres playing (is it 3100 or 4000), is school out, isn't it, some other holiday, weather the list goes on.

 

When you try and factor in some comp films to try and help make heads or tails of raw sample the films used could be a different mix to what you are using for the actual results on what I think Fri, weekend, final cume etc is going to do.

Like you could compare a film that could do 30m on friday with one that does 50m, why because those titles may be seen to have similar trends better matinees , stronger /weaker evening, plays better in certain markets/regions etc etc so you are ultimately looking at what does TWS 3pm sample BO % to total day vs whatever

 

Lets say you looked at TWS OD 2pm compared to Thor OD 2pm if you had assumed the same % of business you would have projected TWS to do 43m for the day it did 37, now using Thor as example later in the day there was closer correlation between the two films say you looked at 7pm and based TWS on what Thor had done you would have now projected 37m. so in this case Thor could have been used as a comparion in the evening but not in daytime.

 

 

how is this post not in the title of the thread

[Fancyarcher]

they have successfully found nikki's replacement

 

Her trashing attitude is very similiar to Nikki's. I'll give you that.

[a2k]

LOL...."analysis"

 

 

Nikki Finke @NikkiFinke · 35m Box Office Analysis: Angelina Jolie's glamour + Joe Roth's reimagined fairy tales + Disney marketing prowess = hit movie.

 

Nikki Finke @NikkiFinke · 44m Box Office Analysis: Seth MacFarlane should stay behind the camera. He found 'A Million Ways To Die In The West'.

Edited May 31, 2014 by a2k

[John Marston]

so do people still like that Spatula guy? I mean even if the numbers don't really tell us what the weekend will be, it is still kind of cool to have

[kowhite]

how is this post not in the title of the thread

Longest thread title ever?I approve.

[Blankments]

HOLY FUCKING SHIT YOU ARE PSYCHIC

[Fancyarcher]

 

LOL...."analysis"

 

 

Nikki Finke @NikkiFinke · 35m Box Office Analysis: Angelina Jolie's glamour + Joe Roth's reimagined fairy tales + Disney marketing prowess = hit movie.

 

Nikki Finke @NikkiFinke · 44m Box Office Analysis: Seth MacFarlane should stay behind the camera. He found 'A Million Ways To Die In The West'.

 

 

Classic Nikki.

[CaptainJackSparrow]

so do people still like that Spatula guy? I mean even if the numbers don't really tell us what the weekend will be, it is still kind of cool to have

I like him.

[lab276]

Malef stick with 22-24, DOFP 9.6,AMW 5.3-6.8,Godz 3,N 2.3,Blend 2.2, TASM2/MDA 1

Top 8 46.4m, last year 48.7m.

[a2k]

Spatula is great to have. Totally a god. He was just giving the matinees and tough to extrapolate from that sample, like Rth explained. Spatula's daily numbers were bang on target.

Edited May 31, 2014 by a2k

[Blankments]

Longest thread title ever?I approve.

I mean like "Rth lays down the law on page 66"

[eXtacy]

Bad numbers for everything 

[Empire]

Bad numbers for everything 

Maleficent's # wasn't bad. 

Edited May 31, 2014 by Empire

[lab276]

so do people still like that Spatula guy? I mean even if the numbers don't really tell us what the weekend will be, it is still kind of cool to have

The problem might be more this:

The data that has been posted , which shouldn't be (I have known over the years raw data to appear on other site where in a nutshell listing the data was shut down)

He could PM them, but not share them publicly.

[Heat Vision]

Did anyone went to the movies this weekend? Jesus those numbers.

[Blankments]

Maleficent's # wasn't bad. 

You don't understand; Maleficent doing well is bad

[Mango]

Man. Fuck those Friday numbers.