CoolioD1 Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 (edited) lmao, knew this was a gif when I first saw it. Edited June 17, 2014 by CoolioD1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 When all hope for the summer relies on late franchise sequel that has had major changes in cast, you know you're in trouble... Drops in grosses for later editions of franchises with major changes in cast(within five years, and not including reboots/prequels): Batman & Robin(-41%) The Bourne Legacy (-50%) F&F: Tokyo Drift(-51%) OHMSS(-47%) The Next Karate Kid(-77%) POTC:OST(-22%) Smokey and the Bandit III(-91%) The only instance I can find where a cast had major changes and the sequel increased in gross was ST: Generations. But we all know why that was, and that does not apply with TF4. But, even with the advantage of a built-in audience, Generations actually dropped in attendance from Undiscovered Country. So best case scenario for TF4 would be OST, which would mean 275m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Trans4mers is gonna crush all of the other 2014 openings 96M 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajbg Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Transformers deserves 10 million (just a lot of explositions in movies that don't make amy sense). But audience loved the others, Variety says tracking is for 100 million +, then is almost assured 100+. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 BoxOffice @BoxOffice 38s HOW TO TRAIN YOU DRAGON 2 took in $5.06M on Monday. 4-Day domestic total stands at $54.51M. #HowToTrainYourDragon2 That's lower than the numbers from Rth for Dragon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 When all hope for the summer relies on late franchise sequel that has had major changes in cast, you know you're in trouble...Drops in grosses for later editions of franchises with major changes in cast(within five years, and not including reboots/prequels):Batman & Robin(-41%)The Bourne Legacy (-50%)F&F: Tokyo Drift(-51%)OHMSS(-47%)The Next Karate Kid(-77%)POTC:OST(-22%)Smokey and the Bandit III(-91%)The only instance I can find where a cast had major changes and the sequel increased in gross was ST: Generations. But we all know why that was, and that does not apply with TF4. But, even with the advantage of a built-in audience, Generations actually dropped in attendance from Undiscovered Country.So best case scenario for TF4 would be OST, which would mean 275m.I'm talking about OW only. TF4 may cross 300m, but that's about as far as I think it will go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Everything has disappointed, audiences are looking for an event film, TF4 definitely has a good shot at the June OW. It's positioned perfectly Dragon sure as hell wasn't an event film. I was getting tired of people calling it the breakout hit of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blackout Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 That's lower than the numbers from Rth for Dragon. rth rounds off the number 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 I'm talking about OW only. TF4 may cross 300m, but that's about as far as I think it will go. Remember that all the other TF films opened mid week. So, these tracking estimates of 90-100m will not cut it for a 250m finish, let alone 300m. TF4 needs something more like 115m+ to aspire to the higher 200ms to 300m. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajbg Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 TF4 will probably do 1 bilion worldwide.Don't deserve, but it'll do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Dragon sure as hell wasn't an event film. I was getting tired of people calling it the breakout hit of the year.It could've easily been had it been marketed towards kids instead of young adults, marketed more heavily and not had Maleficent breakout. Had those 3 things happened we would be talking about a 250-300 million dollar film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 This is gonna be so popular here this Summer... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 (edited) TF4 will probably do 1 bilion worldwide.Don't deserve, but it'll do. I hate the Bayformers movies, but even I know those movies will always make a shit load of money. Edited June 17, 2014 by Mojoguy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Trans4mers is gonna crush all of the other 2014 openings 96M That's just totally crushed... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 It could've easily been had it been marketed towards kids instead of young adults, marketed more heavily and not had Maleficent breakout. Had those 3 things happened we would be talking about a 250-300 million dollar film. Yeah, well it won't. Blame DW for the bad marketing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Remember that all the other TF films opened mid week. So, these tracking estimates of 90-100m will not cut it for a 250m finish, let alone 300m. TF4 needs something more like 115m+ to aspire to the higher 200ms to 300m.I would ordinarily agree, but with the lack of competition I see much stronger legs then the previous installments had. That plus the fact that the action is "on a whole other level" (according to Robert) will spread good WOM IF the movie is decently entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 TF4 will probably do 1 bilion worldwide.Don't deserve, but it'll do.1B is a cakewalk, 1.2B is what it's aiming for. I really wish I could change my WW prediction for TF4 right now in the BSG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajbg Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 I hate Transformers too, obviously.And Michael Bay is one of worst film directors ever.His movies are only about big explosions.But he gives what people Want, cause his movies made a lot of money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Yeah, well it won't. Blame DW for the bad marketing.I know it won't. At this point I'm anticipating a 150m finish so I can get the grief over with as quick as possible and hope to be pleasantly surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 (edited) Transformers 4 is gonna have a big increase in Asian markets but have a significant decrease in almost all of the developed markets - guaranteed.1.1b IMO Edited June 17, 2014 by Noctis 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
