Dav Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I'm fairly, if not extremely, confident that 2012 will take down 2009's record of 10.6 billion. Just look at this lineup Star Wars Episode 1 (3D) The Lorax John Carter The Hunger Games Titanic (3D) The Avengers Dark Shadows Men in Black III Madagascar 3 Prometheus Brave The Amazing Spider-Man Ice Age 4 The Dark Knight Rises The Bourne Legacy Skyfall Breaking Dawn 2 The Hobbit Plus others I'm sure I forgot to mention. While some of the above will definately fall to live up to expectations, we could be looking at 5 300M+ films in 2012. (TDKR, The Hobbit, Breaking Dawn 2, Avengers, Spider-Man) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart360 Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Damn when you look at it like that, you're probably right. There seems to be a lot more event movies next year than most years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 (edited) To me it actually looks weaker than this year's overall right now. Yes, there's five potential 300M grossers, but that only adds up to around $2 billion. Where are the other 8 going to come from?Disney, Paramount, and Fox's fall slates are very sparse right now. I don't think they'll all be able to come up with another huge tentpole to make 2012 the biggest year ever. Edited December 16, 2011 by tribefan695 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BK007 Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 A year depends on consistency, though. If you look around the Avengers or rather late May, and around TDK, there's hardly anything opening. There's only so many movies a huge gross can make up for before it is bad overall for the market.January has to rely on these 2011 winter movies doing well because I can't see many doing well. Plus, there are a lot of schlock on the schedules already that, in the current economic climate, will just keep doing worse the worse they look. I wouldn't have imagined some of the September/October stuff this year doing as bad as they did on opening weekend but they did, so don't see why it should be any different in March for Mirror Mirror or A Thousand Words. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I think 2012 can do it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ball Lightning Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 SWTH too Much more exciting year than this year, which only really had PotC, HP, TF and BD.. I can see a few movies having the potential to get to 300m apart from the big ones (brave, john carter), The lorax could do 200+, I see titanic surprising and we have madagascar 3, ice age 4 and dark shadows.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 It could take the record, but I don't think Spider-Man will make it to 300m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AASixteen16 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 I'm not raising my hopes up. At this time last year I thought 2011 would be GINORMOUS with HP, TF3, Pirates, KFP, , BD1 and Cars 2 all over at least $300M. Alvin, Captain America, Thor, Green Lantern, and Sherlock all with at least $200M. So far this year has been filled with disappointment after disappointment, save for a few expected ones like HP, TF3, BD1 and some surprises. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 (edited) And it can't just be the movies that are expected to be big that carry us to a record. There have to be some smaller films that break out as well. 2009 had Avatar but it also had The Blind Side and The Hangover, two movies no one expected to hit $250 million before their release. Edited January 1, 2012 by tribefan695 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 (edited) Not to mention that 2009 had a lot of early-season breakouts. We need The Grey and Haywire to be our Taken and Gran Torino this year. Edited December 19, 2011 by tribefan695 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 (edited) A year depends on consistency, though. If you look around the Avengers or rather late May, and around TDK, there's hardly anything opening. There's only so many movies a huge gross can make up for before it is bad overall for the market.+1, in terms of non-tentpole films there's barely anything. In the current schedule May has six wide releases, half of those intended blockbusters. June has ten releases, seven (or eight?) of those tentpoles and July has seven releases, three of those also big films. The outcome of these three months are dangerously reliant on the tentpoles doing very well, which is in doubt when it comes to several of them. Edited December 19, 2011 by C00k13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tommycruise Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Although you almost seem to convince me, people say the same thing every time another year rolls around and almost every time they are wrong, so I doubt this time will change anything. Although there are so many big movies it doesn't look any better than what we had this year. So in the end 2012 may outgross 2010 and 2011 but it will not outgross 2009. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 It is certainly possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 We could be $400 million behind 2009 before March if nothing breaks out. There would be no way to recover from that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 I doubt it but it should be bigger then 2011. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Can I go with being cautiously optimistic? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Star Wars Episode 1 (3D) 37MThe Lorax 170mJohn Carter 130mThe Hunger Games 190mTitanic (3D) 50mThe Avengers 385mDark Shadows 145mMen in Black III 140mMadagascar 3 125mPrometheus 185mBrave 220mThe Amazing Spider-Man 200mIce Age 4 180mThe Dark Knight Rises 390mThe Bourne Legacy 140mSkyfall 185mBreaking Dawn 2 295mThe Hobbit 420m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ball Lightning Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Titanic (3D) 50m :huh:I agree with everything else though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Will be an EPIC year no doubt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 What I would love more to happen is that the ticket sales to go up every year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
