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Weekend Numbers: GOTG - 94M (PG 180) [25.5M Sunday (Spatula) Cancel the Godzilla legs!]

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LOL this movie was not expected to open anywhere near $90m. Those preview numbers really skew the opening weekend predictions for everybody. Previews for this movie was like a half days showings.

 

That gives it a higher chance of increasing without previews though, so maybe around 29-30m,

 

So I could see

37.8

30

24.2m

92m

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Yeah, we know, but considering de 100/300M predictions last night and all the "it's a family movie, it's Marvel so it won't be froant-loaded, it's the greatest thing since sliced bread" crap and how it was gonna beat Trans4ormers it's nice to rub it in a little.

 

I was kidding about the sliced bread thing

:P 

 

LOL Well I can get with that. But this has been a trend around here for the last year or so. People just get carried away and take it to the extremes. (myself included) That's why I think too much information early on can be a little dangerous around here. :lol:

Edited by ECSTASY
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Wide (1000+)   # Title weekend   Locations   Avg. Total Wks. Dist. 1 Guardians of the Galaxy $96,000,000 -- 4,080 -- $23,529 $96,000,000 1 Disney 2 Lucy $18,100,000 -59% 3,202 29 $5,653 $79,387,385 2 Universal 3 Get On Up $14,900,000 -- 2,468 -- $6,037 $14,900,000 1 Universal 4 Hercules (2014) $10,000,000 -66% 3,595 0 $2,782 $51,648,048 2 Paramount 5 Dawn of The Planet of The Apes $8,500,000 -49% 3,283 -385 $2,589 $189,129,673 4 Fox 6 Planes: Fire and Rescue $6,600,000 -31% 3,241 -598 $2,036 $47,772,206 3 Disney 7 The Purge: Anarchy $5,400,000 -48% 2,656 -200 $2,033 $62,810,975 3 Universal 8 And So It Goes $3,250,000 -30% 1,816 54 $1,790 $10,378,783 2 Clarius Entertainment 9 Transformers: Age of Extinction $2,160,000 -54% 1,732 -744 $1,247 $241,125,915 6 Paramount 10 Tammy $1,500,000 -57% 1,415 -1147 $1,060 $81,462,705 5 Warner Bros. / New Line Limited (100 — 999)   # Title weekend   Locations   Avg. Total Wks. Dist. 1 How to Train Your Dragon 2 $1,200,000 -46% 861 -497 $1,394 $168,554,057 8 Fox / DreamWorks Animation 2 Maleficent $1,180,000 -36% 681 -396 $1,733 $234,648,131 10 Disney 3 Begin Again $650,000 -59% 727 -517 $894 $13,737,337 6 Weinstein Company 4 Chef $650,000 -15% 350 -55 $1,857 $28,302,469 13 Open Road 5 The Fluffy Movie $450,000 -66% 432 0 $1,042 $2,289,952 2 Open Road 6 America (2014) $350,000 -61% 478 -282 $732 $14,070,043 6 Lionsgate 7 The Fault in Our Stars $300,000 -38% 282 -105 $1,064 $123,386,738 9 Fox 8 X-Men: Days of Future Past $200,000 -49% 190 -99 $1,053 $231,709,253 11 Fox 9 I Origins $70,000 -9% 122 46 $574 $236,120 3 Fox Searchlight

 

 

Woah,that's a high projection for that friday number.

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LOL this movie was not expected to open anywhere near $90m. Those preview numbers really skew the opening weekend predictions for everybody. Previews for this movie was like a half days showings.

Like Ray said, you only see the "yeahh, I knew it would open likes this, i was just being conservative", when its an opening no one expects.
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Wide (1000+)   # Title weekend   Locations   Avg. Total Wks. Dist. 1 Guardians of the Galaxy $96,000,000 -- 4,080 -- $23,529 $96,000,000 1 Disney 2 Lucy $18,100,000 -59% 3,202 29 $5,653 $79,387,385 2 Universal 3 Get On Up $14,900,000 -- 2,468 -- $6,037 $14,900,000 1 Universal 4 Hercules (2014) $10,000,000 -66% 3,595 0 $2,782 $51,648,048 2 Paramount 5 Dawn of The Planet of The Apes $8,500,000 -49% 3,283 -385 $2,589 $189,129,673 4 Fox 6 Planes: Fire and Rescue $6,600,000 -31% 3,241 -598 $2,036 $47,772,206 3 Disney 7 The Purge: Anarchy $5,400,000 -48% 2,656 -200 $2,033 $62,810,975 3 Universal 8 And So It Goes $3,250,000 -30% 1,816 54 $1,790 $10,378,783 2 Clarius Entertainment 9 Transformers: Age of Extinction $2,160,000 -54% 1,732 -744 $1,247 $241,125,915 6 Paramount 10 Tammy $1,500,000 -57% 1,415 -1147 $1,060 $81,462,705 5 Warner Bros. / New Line Limited (100 — 999)   # Title weekend   Locations   Avg. Total Wks. Dist. 1 How to Train Your Dragon 2 $1,200,000 -46% 861 -497 $1,394 $168,554,057 8 Fox / DreamWorks Animation 2 Maleficent $1,180,000 -36% 681 -396 $1,733 $234,648,131 10 Disney 3 Begin Again $650,000 -59% 727 -517 $894 $13,737,337 6 Weinstein Company 4 Chef $650,000 -15% 350 -55 $1,857 $28,302,469 13 Open Road 5 The Fluffy Movie $450,000 -66% 432 0 $1,042 $2,289,952 2 Open Road 6 America (2014) $350,000 -61% 478 -282 $732 $14,070,043 6 Lionsgate 7 The Fault in Our Stars $300,000 -38% 282 -105 $1,064 $123,386,738 9 Fox 8 X-Men: Days of Future Past $200,000 -49% 190 -99 $1,053 $231,709,253 11 Fox 9 I Origins $70,000 -9% 122 46 $574 $236,120 3 Fox Searchlight

 

:blink:  :o  :huh: Chef is doing good :lol:

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they are basically giving it a 20 percent increase today without the previews. I think that is a bit high of a jump for august but in order for to hit 95 million it means to jump 20 percent today in fall 20 percent tomorrow. I guess it is possible

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96m for GOTG, maybe Shawn knows something we don't.

 

I hope it does open to 96m, that'll make it the highest opening comic book movie of the year and position it well to win the summer if its legs are good enough.

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Yeah, we know, but considering de 100/300M predictions last night and all the "it's a family movie, it's Marvel so it won't be froant-loaded, it's the greatest thing since sliced bread" crap and how it was gonna beat Trans4ormers it's nice to rub it in a little.

 

I was kidding about the sliced bread thing

:P 

It could still potentially trump Trans4mers DOM total. Then again, we'll see. Legs haven't been kind even to well received movies this summer season.

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they are basically giving it a 20 percent increase today without the previews. I think that is a bit high of a jump for august but in order for to hit 95 million it means to jump 20 percent today in fall 20 percent tomorrow. I guess it is possible

 

I think the previews are just skewing things, you have to admit a lot of the would-be friday business was done of Thursday due to the early previews (7 pm).  That leaves more potential for Saturday to increase from Friday without previews.

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So let's talk Saturday increase.Without previews, GOTG made about 26M on Friday.Marvel movies tend to have less than 10% decrease on Saturday, but that would mean GOTG would have to do about 34M. That would be about a 32% increase from Friday. This is highly unlikely.Of course we are assuming it's going to increase.

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