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Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

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(-30%) - The Martian - 26.0 - 148.0

(new) - Goosebumps - 25.2 - 25.2

(new) - Bridge of Spies - 24.0 - 24.0

(new) - Crimson Peak - 18.5 - 18.5

(-39%) - Hotel Transylvania 2 - 12.5 - 136.5

(-48%) - Pan - 8.0 - 28.0

(-31%) - The Intern - 6.0 - 59.3

(new) - Woodlawn - 4.7 - 4.7

(-45%) - Sicario - 4.2 - 34.4

(-48%) - Maze Runner: Scorch Trials - 2.8 - 75.4

(-38%) - The Walk - 2.3 - 10.4

(+323%) - Steve Jobs - 2.2 - 2.9

(-52%) - Everest - 1.5 - 41.1

(-52%) - Black Mass - 1.5 - 60.5

(-48%) - The Visit - 1.3 - 63.3

(-46%) - War Room - 1.0 - 65.4

(-57%) - The Perfect Guy - 0.6 - 55.8

(-57%) - The Green Inferno - 0.15 - 7.15

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CP is tracking in the mid teens, and seems to be out of the running for a top 3 spot. But between BoS,Martian,and Goosebumps it's a toss up for thier place in the first 3.

 

CP could very well do an opening over 20M. Horror movies are harder to track. Look at The visit opening to over 25M when tracking was suggesting 15M

 

 

Also, this will benefit from the lack of adult horror movies, Del Toro name will help, the trailers are solid, and Halloween is getting closer.

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I can see Bridge of Spies taking away some of the mature audience from The Martian.  37% drop for Martian. 

 

 

Goosbumps - 26

Martian - 23.3

Bridge of Spies - 21.5

Crimson Peak - 16 

Hotel Transylvania 2 - 13.7

Edited by lilmac
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I can see Bridge of Spies taking away some of the mature audience from The Martian.  37% drop for Martian. 

 

 

Goosbumps - 26

Martian - 23.3

Bridge of Spies - 21.5

Crimson Peak - 16 

Hotel Transylvania 2 - 13.7

 

Different type of adult audience I think

The overlap should be minimal

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In something of an upset, CP seems to be leading Goosebumps by a million dollars on Friday,with THe Martian trailing both. Gonna be a close weekend.

Bridge of Spies,despite the good reviews,seems to be bombing.

Edited by dudalb
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Might as well also go for it:

Bridge of Spies: $25.5M

Goosebumps: $32.3M

Crimson Peak: $14.6M

The Last Witch Hunter: $12.4M

Paranormal: $23.4M

Jem: $7.6M

Scouts: $5.6M

Our Brand: $7.1M

Spectre: $102.5M

Peanuts: $61.1M

The 33: $14.7M

Love the Coopers: $11.1M

By the Sea: $8.3M

MockingJay: $162M

The Night Before: $17.8M

The Good Dinosaur: $62/89M

Creed: $22/34M

Victor Frankenstein: $13/20M

Krampus: $20M

Heart of the Sea: $29M

Star Wars: $215M

Sisters: $19.2M

Alvin: $16/25M

Concussion: $14M

Joy: $19M

Point Break: $9.8M

Daddy's Home: $12.5M

The Revenant: $30M

Hateful Eight: $26.7M

The Forest: $8M

13 Hours: $39.6M

Ride Along: $31M

5th Wave: $20.8M

Norm: $14.6M

Nut Job: $8.8M

Risen: $17.6M

Dirty Grandpa: $23.2M

The Boy: $5.5M

The Finest Hours: $27.3M

KFP3: $57.9M

10/23

  1. Steve Jobs: $30.5 million 
  2. Last Witch Hunter: $11 million
  3. Paranormal Activity - The Ghost Dimension: $10 million 
  4. Rock the Kasbah: $6.5 million 
  5. Jem and the Holograms: $5.5 million 

10/30

  1. Our Brand is Crisis: $8 million 
  2. Scouts Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse: $5 million 

11/6

  1. Spectre: $97 million 
  2. The Peanuts Movie: $58 million 
  3. The Outskirts: $5 million 

11/13

  1. The 33: $14.5 million 
  2. By the Sea: $10.5 million 
  3. Love the Coopers: $8 million 
  4. My All American: $3.5 million 

11/20

  1. Mockingjay Part 2: $164 million 
  2. The Night Before: $22 million 
  3. The Secret in Their Eyes: $4 million 

11/27

  1. The Good Dinosaur: $76 million/$110 million 
  2. Creed: $31 million/$48 million 
  3. Victor Frankenstein: $10 million/$15 million 

12/4

  1. Krampus: $20.5 million 

12/11

  1. In the Heart of the Sea: $23 million 
  2. Legend: $7 million

12/18

  1. Star Wars Episode VII: $152.5 million 
  2. Sisters: $24 million 
  3. Alvin and the Chipmunks - The Road Chip: $18 million 

12/25

  1. Joy: $27 million 
  2. Daddy's Home: $20.5 million
  3. Concussion: $17 million 
  4. The Big Short: $8 million/$14 million 
  5. Point Break: $7.5 million 

1/8

  1. The Hateful Eight: $27.5 million 
  2. The Revenant: $23 million
  3. Blumhouse Horror: $12 million 
  4. The Forest: $5 million 

1/15

  1. 13 Hours: $39.5 million/$51 million 
  2. Ride Along 2: $30.5 million/$38 million 
  3. The 5th Wave: $21 million/$26 million 
  4. Norm of the North: $8 million/$10 million 
  5. The Nut Job 2: $6 million/$7.5 million 

1/22

  1. Risen: $22 million
  2. Dirty Grandpa: $13 million 
  3. The Boy: $7 million

1/29

  1. Kung Fu Panda 3: $43 million 
  2. The Finest Hours: $16 million 
  3. Lights Out: $11 million 
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Jem and the Holograms  -  10M

The Last Witch Hunter  -  16M

Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension  -  14M

Steve Jobs  -  17M

______________________________________________

 

Goosebumps  -30%

The Martian  -38%

Bridge of Spies  -35%

Crimson Peak  -61%

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Steve Jobs - 22.50 - 25.50

Last Witch Hunter - 17.00 - 17.00

Goosebumps - 15.75 - 47.60

Paranormal Activity - 15.00 - 15.00

The Martian - 13.00 - 163.60

Bridge of Spies - 11.25 - 34.10

Hotel Transylvania - 7.50 - 147.15

Crimson Peak - 7.00 - 24.00

Rock the Kashbah - 5.25 - 5.25

Jem and the Holograms - 5.20 - 5.20

The Intern - 3.45 - 64.50

Sicario - 2.45 - 38.65

Pan - 2.00 - 29.70

Maze Runner - 1.44 - 77.70

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