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Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby

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Suicide Squad: $105 million (think it looks terrible)

Jason Bourne: $27 million

Star Trek Beyond: $12.5 million

Bad Moms: $12 million

The Secret Life of Pets: $10 million

Nine Lives: $6.5 million 

Lights Out: $6 million

Nerve: $5.5 million

Ice Age - Collision Course: $4.1 million

Ghostbusters: $4 million

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I still think suicide squad makes it to the high 140M range OW. The Wrap questioned was skeptical about the movie reaching BvS numbers, and the reviews suggest word of mouth might not be good. So, I think the internal weekend multiplier (OW/OD) will not be very good.

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  1. Suicide Squad - 133.8M
  2. Jason Bourne - 25.8M
  3. Bad Moms - 12.6M
  4. The Secret Life of Pets - 10.4M
  5. Star Trek Beyond - 10.3M
  6. Nine Lives - 8.6M
  7. Lights Out - 5.9M
  8. Ice Age: Collision Course - 5.6M
  9. Nerve - 4.4M
  10. Ghostbusters - 3.8M
  11. Finding Dory - 2.4M
  12. Hillary's America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party - 1.5M
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I see Suicide Squad having a opening at $150-155 Million, with an inflated Friday due to presales and free tickets, not to mention, most teenager focused movies such as Deathly Hallows part 2, and the Twilight saga have had huge Fridays but not so huge Saturdays or Sundays.

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  1. Suicide Squad - $53.5m
  2. Sausage Party - $27.3m
  3. Pete's Dragon - $24.5m
  4. Jason Bourne - $11.3m
  5. Florence Foster Jenkins - $10.3m
  6. Bad Moms - $8.7m
  7. The Secret Life of Pets - $6.8m
  8. Star Trek Beyond - $6m
  9. Nine Lives - $3.5m
  10. Lights Out - $3.2m
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On 7/30/2016 at 1:25 AM, Blankments said:

The BFG, The Conjuring 2, and Independence Day: Resurgence are gone. Drive-in is Ice Age: Collision Course and Ghostbusters.

Captain Fantastic, Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates, Central Intelligence, and The Infiltrator are gone. Drive-in is Suicide Squad and Lights Out.

 

Suicide Squad – 30/3/18/2/1/4 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX/IMAX 3D) total 58 (debut)
Jason Bourne – 28 (down 6)
Bad Moms – 19 (down 5)
Lights Out – 18 (no change)
Nine Lives – 17 (debut)
Nerve – 16 (down 1)
The Secret Life of Pets – 15 (down 2)
Star Trek Beyond – 13/2 (2D/3D) total 15 (down 16)
Ghostbusters – 11/1 (2D/3D) total 12 (down 5)
Ice Age: Collision Course – 10 (down 17)
Hillary’s America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party - 3 (down 6)
Finding Dory – 2 (down 4)
The Legend of Tarzan – 2 (down 3)
The Purge: Election Year - 1 (down 2)

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8 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Really not getting the large predictions for either Pete's Dragon or Sausage Party.

 

Pete's Dragon- $23M

Sausage Party- $15M

Florence Foster Jenkins- $9M

9M is too high for Florence, it's only going to be in 1,500 theaters. Best case scenario is 7M IMO

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1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

9M is too high for Florence, it's only going to be in 1,500 theaters. Best case scenario is 7M IMO

The Hundred-Foot Journey opened to $11M from only 2,023 theaters two years ago and this is targeting a similar audience. $9M seems doable.

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8 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Suicide Squad: 40.5M

Pete's Dragon: 30M

Sausage Party: 25M

Jason Bourne: 10.4M

Bad Moms: 9.2M

Florence Foster Jenkins: 6.3M

Secret Life of Pets: 5.7M

Star Trek Beyond: 5.4M

Lights Out: 3.3M

Nine Lives: 3M

I don't see Bourne dropping 50%+ with minimal competition next weekend. Jenkins, Pete and Sausage don't really cross over with it (Ben-Hur is really the only upcoming August release in its demo). I'm not expecting a phenomenal hold, but a mid 30s-low 40s drop seems likely IMO.

 

8/12-8/14

  1. Suicide Squad: $46.5 million ($228 million)
  2. Pete's Dragon: $27 million 
  3. Sausage Party: $21 million 
  4. Jason Bourne: $14.5 million ($130 million) 
  5. Bad Moms: $9.5 million ($68 million)
  6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $8 million 
  7. Star Trek Beyond: $6.5 million ($140 million) 
  8. The Secret Life of Pets: $6 million ($328 million)
  9. Nine Lives: $3.5 million ($12 million)
  10. Lights Out: $3 million ($60 million)

8/19-8/21

  1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $24 million 
  2. Ben-Hur: $23 million 
  3. Suicide Squad: $22 million ($262 million) 
  4. Pete's Dragon: $14 million ($45 million) 
  5. Sausage Party: $13 million ($41 million) 
  6. War Dogs: $11 million 
  7. Jason Bourne: $8.5 million ($142 million) 
  8. Bad Moms: $7 million ($78 million) 
  9. Florence Foster Jenkins: $6.5 million ($17 million) 
  10. Star Trek Beyond: $4 million ($146 million) 

8/26-8/28

  1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $17.5 million ($47 million) 
  2. Ben-Hur: $13.5 million ($42 million) 
  3. Suicide Squad: $12 million ($280 million) 
  4. Pete's Dragon: $11 million ($59 million) 
  5. Sausage Party: $9 million ($55 million) 
  6. Don't Breathe: $7.5 million
  7. War Dogs: $7 million ($21 million) 
  8. Mechanic - Resurrection: $6 million 
  9. Florence Foster Jenkins: $5.5 million ($25 million) 
  10. Bad Moms: $5 million ($85 million) 
  11. Jason Bourne: $5 million ($149 million) 
  12. Hands of Stone: $4 million 

9/2-9/5

  1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $18 million/$26 million ($77 million) 
  2. The Light Between Oceans: $14 million/$19.5 million 
  3. Ben-Hur: $11 million/$15 million ($61 million) 
  4. Pete's Dragon: $10 million/$14.5 million ($76 million)
  5. Suicide Squad: $8 million/$10.5 million ($295 million) 
  6. Sausage Party: $7.5 million/$10 million ($68 million) 
  7. Morgan: $7 million/$8.5 million 
  8. War Dogs: $6 million/$7.5 million ($32 million) 
  9. Solace: $5.5 million/$6.5 million 
  10. Florence Foster Jenkins: $5 million/$6.5 million ($33 million)
  11. Bad Moms: $4 million/$5 million ($92 million) 
  12. Jason Bourne: $4 million/$5 million 
  13. Don't Breathe: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($13 million) 
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I think Pete's Dragon and Sausage Party could break out since SS, should drop anywhere from 60-70% and both have glowing reviews.

8/12-14

1. Suicide Squad $45.5M

2. Pete's Dragon $34.3M

3. Sausage Party $28.7M

4. Jason Bourne $12.4M

5. Bad Moms $9.1M

6/7. FFJ/Star Trek Beyond: $7.2M

8. SLOP $5.5M

9. Lights Out $3.3M

10. Nine Lives $2.5M

 

 

Edited by YourMother
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