Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby

[WrathOfHan]

MT:

 

SLOP 51.8

Dory 10.6

Mike 6.4

Tarzan 5.8

Purge 4.2

 

 

Pulse:

 

1. SLOP

2. Dory

3. SLOP 3D

4. Mike

5. Tarzan

[James]

Pets - 60

GB - 60

Tarzan - 13.6

Dory - 13

Mike - 7.5

CI - 5.5

Purge - 5

IDR - 4

BFG - 4

Infiltrator- 3

 

Next weekend:

 

Star Trek - 60

Pets - 40

Ice Age - 37

GB - 35

Lights Out - 25

Tarzan - 7

Dory - 7

CI - 3

Mike - 3

[La Binoche]

$35 - 45m for Ghostbusters. 

[James]

Lights Out continued to surprise, rising a further 35,478 new likes to reach 233,723 likes overall. Its well on track to becoming one of the most liked horrors in 2016. Only The Conjuring 2 had more likes prior to release in the genre for 2016 so far, with The Forest, The Boy and The Darkness all trailing far behind. This film has a very real possibility of surprising in a few weeks as a counter-programming alternative to the ever-abundant blockbusters.

http://pro.boxoffice.com/facebook-watch-almost-christmas-laughs-way-top/

 

Lights Out ain't opening under 20m. It's Twitter, Facebook and YT activity are very very good. 

[Blankments]

1. The Secret Life of Pets - 55.3M
2. Ghostbusters - 54.3M
3. The Legend of Tarzan - 13.4M
4. Finding Dory - 11.5M
5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 8.0M
6. The Infiltrator - 7.7M
7. The Purge: Election Year - 4.8M
8. Central Intelligence - 4.7M
9. The BFG - 4.1M
10. Independence Day: Resurgence - 4.0M
11. The Shallows - 2.6M
12. Sultan - 1.3M

[Impact]

Ghostbusters: 45M-60M is my current-yeah not sure where to peg it exactly.

[Krissykins]

Going by comments in the Box Office Buzz Tracking thread, I'll say $43,000,000 for Ghostbusters.

[goldenstate5]

GB - $40 million

[mahnamahna]

7/15-7/17

1. The Secret Life of Pets: $54 million ($207 million)
2. Ghostbusters: $47 million 
3. Finding Dory: $13 million ($447 million) 
4. The Legend of Tarzan: $12.5 million ($104 million)
5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $7 million ($31 million) 
6. The Purge - Election Year: $7 million ($72 million) 
7. Central Intelligence: $5 million ($117 million) 
8. The BFG: $4 million ($48 million) 
9. The Infiltrator: $3.5 million ($5 million)
10. Independence Day - Resurgence: $3 million ($98 million) 

7/22-7/24

1. Star Trek Beyond: $57 million 
2. The Secret Life of Pets: $30 million ($269 million) 
3. Ghostbusters: $26 million ($102 million) 
4. Lights Out: $18 million 
5. Ice Age - Collision Course: $17.5 million 
6. Finding Dory: $8.5 million ($466 million) 
7. Hillary's America: $7 million ($8 million) 
8. The Legend of Tarzan: $5.5 million ($115 million) 
9. Central Intelligence: $3.5 million ($124 million)
10. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $3 million ($38 million) 

7/29-7/31

1. Jason Bourne: $84 million 
2. Star Trek Beyond: $25.5 million ($111 million) 
3. Bad Moms: $22 million 
4. The Secret Life of Pets: $20 million ($309 million) 
5. Ghostbusters: $13.5 million ($129 million) 
6. Lights Out: $9 million ($36 million) 
7. Ice Age - Collision Course: $9 million ($36 million) 
8. Finding Dory: $7 million ($480 million) 
9. Nerve: $6 million
10. Hillary's America: $3.5 million ($15 million) 

8/5-8/7

1. Suicide Squad: $134 million 
2. Jason Bourne: $34.5 million ($156 million) 
3. Bad Moms: $14 million ($49 million) 
4. The Secret Life of Pets: $10.5 million ($330 million) 
5. Star Trek Beyond: $10 million ($134 million)
6. Nine Lives: $8.5 million 
7. Ghostbusters: $6.5 million ($142 million) 
8. Finding Dory: $4.5 million ($489 million) 
9. Ice Age - Collision Course: $4.5 million ($46 million) 
10. Lights Out: $3 million ($43 million) 

8/12-8/14

1. Suicide Squad: $50 million ($234 million) 
2. Pete's Dragon: $30.5 million 
3. Sausage Party: $26 million 
4. Jason Bourne: $23 million ($197 million) 
5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $17 million 
6. Bad Moms: $10 million ($67 million) 
7. Star Trek Beyond: $8 million ($149 million) 
8. Nine Lives: $4.5 million ($17 million) 
9. Ghostbusters: $4 million ($150 million) 
10. Finding Dory: $3 million ($494 million) 

8/19-8/21

1. Suicide Squad: $27 million ($275 million) 
2. Ben-Hur: $23 million
3. Kubo and the Two Strings: $20 million 
4. Pete's Dragon: $16 million ($52 million) 
5. Jason Bourne: $13 million ($218 million) 
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $12 million ($35 million) 
7. War Dogs: $9.5 million 
8. Sausage Party: $8 million ($40 million) 
9. Bad Moms: $7 million ($78 million) 
10. Star Trek Beyond: $5 million ($156 million) 

8/26-8/28

1. Suicide Squad: $18 million ($303 million)
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $16 million ($40 million) 
3. Pete's Dragon: $12 million ($67 million) 
4. Ben-Hur: $11 million ($39 million) 
5. Jason Bourne: $10 million ($233 million) 
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $9 million ($48 million) 
7. Don't Breathe: $7 million 
8. Mechanic - Resurrection: $6.5 million
9. War Dogs: $5.5 million ($18 million) 
10. Bad Moms: $5 million ($85 million) 

9/2-9/5

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $16.5 million/$22.5 million ($66 million) 
2. The Light Between Oceans: $15.5 million/$20.5 million 
3. Suicide Squad: $14.5 million/$18.5 million ($329 million) 
4. Pete's Dragon: $11.5 million/$16 million ($86 million) 
5. Jason Bourne: $9 million/$11 million ($247 million) 
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $8 million/$9.75 million ($61 million) 
7. Morgan: $7.5 million/$9 million 
8. Ben-Hur: $6 million/$7.5 million ($49 million) 
9. Solace: $5 million/$6 million 
10. Bad Moms: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($92 million) 
11. War Dogs: $4 million/$5 million ($25 million) 
12. Don't Breathe: $3 million/$3.75 million ($12 million) 
13. Mechanic - Resurrection: $2.5 million/$3 million ($10 million) 

 

Top 20 for Summer 2016 

1. Spoiler

    

   1. Finding Dory: $501 million 
   2. Captain America - Civil War: $408 million
   3. The Secret Life of Pets: $357 million 
   4. Suicide Squad: $354 million 
   5. Jason Bourne: $265 million 
   6. Star Trek Beyond: $168 million 
   7. X-Men - Apocalypse: $155 million 
   8. Ghostbusters: $137 million 
   9. Central Intelligence: $130 million 
   10. The Legend of Tarzan: $126 million 
   11. Pete's Dragon: $107 million 
   12. The Angry Birds Movie: $106 million 
   13. Independence Day - Resurgence: $105 million 
   14. The Conjuring 2: $104 million 
   15. Bad Moms: $96 million 
   16. Kubo and the Two Strings: $89 million 
   17. Florence Foster Jenkins: $85 million 
   18. The Purge - Election Year: $83 million 
   19. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - Out of the Shadows: $81 million 
   20. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $77 million

    

    

    

 

Edited July 15, 2016 by mahnamahna

[Blankments]

On 7/7/2016 at 6:32 PM, Blanks McCoy said:

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows, Me Before You, and Warcraft are gone. Drive-in is The Secret Life of Pets and Independence Day: Resurgence.

Swiss Army Man and Now You See Me 2 are gone. Drive in is The Secret Life of Pets and The Legend of Tarzan.

 

The Secret Life of Pets - 33/10 (2D/3D) total 43 (down 4)

Ghostbusters - 18/3/12/2/6 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX 3D) total 41

Finding Dory - 15/2 (2D/3D) total 17 (down 4)

The Legend of Tarzan - 14/2 (2D/3D) total 16 (down 10)
The Purge: Election Year - 16 (down 5)

Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 16 (down 3)

The Infiltrator - 15

The BFG - 14 (down 5)

Central Intelligence - 12 (down 3)
Independence Day: Resurgence - 11 (down 4)
The Conjuring 2 - 6 (no change)

The Shallows - 5 (down 5)
Free State of Jones - 2 (down 4)

[Impact]

Trek: 65M

IA5: 20M

Lights Out: 18M

[WrathOfHan]

Star Trek Beyond: 60M

Ice Age: 30M

Ghostbusters: 25.5M

Lights Out: 25M

Secret Life of Pets: 23.5M

Legend of Tarzan: 5.5M

Finding Dory: 5.5M

Mike and Dave: 3.6M

Central Intelligence: 3.4M

The Purge: 2.6M

 

[Ezen Baklattan]

1. Star Trek Beyond - $57.3m
2. Ice Age: Collision Course - $29.1m
3. The Secret Life of Pets - $26.5m
4. Lights Out - $22.7m
5. Ghostbusters - $21.8m
6. Legend of Tarzan - $6.1m
7. Finding Dory - $5.9m
8. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - $4.1m
9. Central Intelligence - $3.6m
10. The Infiltrator - $2.8m

[mahnamahna]

Weekends 

Spoiler

 

7/22-7/24

1. Star Trek Beyond: $62 million 
2. Lights Out: $26 million 
3. The Secret Life of Pets: $24 million ($253 million) 
4. Ghostbusters: $21.5 million ($91 million) 
5. Ice Age - Collision Course: $17 million 
6. Hillary's America - The Secret History of the Democratic Party: $7 million ($7 million) 
7. Finding Dory: $6.5 million ($459 million) 
8. The Legend of Tarzan: $5.5 million ($114 million) 
9. Central Intelligence: $4 million ($125 million) 
10. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $3.5 million ($38 million) 

7/29-7/31

1. Jason Bourne: $75 million 
2. Star Trek Beyond: $27 million ($119 million)
3. Bad Moms: $23 million
4. The Secret Life of Pets: $15.5 million ($284 million) 
5. Lights Out: $13 million ($52 million) 
6. Ghostbusters: $11 million ($113 million) 
7. Ice Age - Collision Course: $10 million ($36 million) 
8. Nerve: $6 million 
9. Finding Dory: $5 million ($470 million) 
10. Central Intelligence: $3 million ($132 million) 

8/5-8/7

1. Suicide Squad: $138 million 
2. Jason Bourne: $33 million ($151 million) 
3. Bad Moms: $13.5 million ($50 million) 
4. Star Trek Beyond: $11.5 million ($144 million) 
5. Nine Lives: $9.5 million 
6. The Secret Life of Pets: $8 million ($300 million) 
7. Lights Out: $6 million ($64 million) 
8. Ice Age - Collision Course: $5.5 million ($47 million) 
9. Ghostbusters: $5.5 million ($124 million) 
10. Hillary's America - The Secret History of the Democratic Party: $4 million ($16 million) 

8/12-8/14

1. Suicide Squad: $52.5 million ($243 million) 
2. Pete's Dragon: $29 million 
3. Sausage Party: $25 million 
4. Jason Bourne: $23 million ($193 million) 
5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $16 million 
6. Bad Moms: $10 million ($68 million) 
7. Star Trek Beyond: $8 million ($159 million) 
8. Nine Lives: $6 million ($20 million) 
9. Lights Out: $4 million ($71 million) 
10. The Secret Life of Pets: $3.5 million ($306 million) 

8/19-8/21

1. Suicide Squad: $30 million ($290 million) 
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $23 million 
3. Ben-Hur: $19 million 
4. Pete's Dragon: $15 million ($49 million) 
5. Jason Bourne: $14 million ($214 million) 
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $12 million ($33 million) 
7. War Dogs: $10 million
8. Sausage Party: $9.5 million ($41 million) 
9. Bad Moms: $7 million ($78 million)
10. Star Trek Beyond: $5 million ($166 million) 

8/26-8/28

1. Suicide Squad: $22 million ($323 million)
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $17 million ($44 million) 
3. Pete's Dragon: $11.5 million ($64 million) 
4. Jason Bourne: $10.5 million ($229 million) 
5. Ben-Hur: $10 million ($33 million) 
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $9 million ($46 million) 
7. Don't Breathe: $8 million 
8. War Dogs: $6.5 million ($20 million)
9. Mechanic - Resurrection: $6 million 
10. Bad Moms: $5.5 million ($86 million) 
11. Hands of Stone: $5 million 
12. Sausage Party: $4.5 million ($48 million) 
13. Star Trek Beyond: $4 million ($172 million) 

9/2-9/5

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $18 million/$25 million ($73 million) 
2. Suicide Squad: $17.5 million/$22 million ($354 million) 
3. The Light Between Oceans: $13 million/$16 million 
4. Pete's Dragon: $11 million/$15 million ($82 million) 
5. Jason Bourne: $9.5 million/$12 million ($244 million) 
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $8 million/$10 million ($59 million) 
7. Morgan: $6.5 million/$7.5 million 
8. Ben-Hur: $6 million/$7.5 million ($43 million) 
9. Solace: $5.5 million/$6.5 million 
10. War Dogs: $5 million/$6 million ($29 million)
11. Bad Moms: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($93 million) 
12. Star Trek Beyond: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($179 million) 
13. Sausage Party: $3 million/$3.5 million ($53 million) 
14. Mechanic - Resurrection: $3 million/$3.5 million ($11 million) 
15. Nine Lives: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($33 million) 

9/9-9/11

1. Sully: $28 million 
2. When the Bough Breaks: $20.5 million 
3. Suicide Squad: $9.5 million ($366 million) 
4. Kubo and the Two Strings: $9 million ($84 million) 
5. The Wild Life: $7 million 
6. The Light Between Oceans: $6.5 million ($24 million) 
7. Before I Wake: $6 million 
8. Pete's Dragon: $6 million ($89 million) 
9. Jason Bourne: $5 million ($250 million) 
10. Florence Foster Jenkins: $4.5 million ($64 million) 

9/16-9/18

1. Sully: $19 million ($56 million)
2. Bridget Jones' Baby: $16 million 
3. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $13 million 
4. Snowden: $9 million
5. When the Bough Breaks: $8 million ($32 million) 
6. Kubo and the Two Strings: $7.5 million ($93 million) 
7. Suicide Squad: $6.5 million ($376 million) 
8. The Woods: $6 million 
9. The Wild Life: $4.5 million ($13 million) 
10. Pete's Dragon: $4 million ($94 million) 

9/23-9/25

1. The Magnificent Seven: $57 million
2. Storks: $46.5 million 
3. Sully: $11.5 million ($73 million) 
4. Bridget Jones' Baby: $9 million ($29 million) 
5. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $8 million ($24 million) 
6. Snowden: $4 million ($15 million) 
7. When the Bough Breaks: $3.5 mililon ($37 million) 
8. Suicide Squad: $3 million ($380 million) 
9. Kubo and the Two Strings: $2.5 million ($96 million)
10. The Woods: $2 million ($9 million) 

9/30-10/2

1. Storks: $31 million ($85 million) 
2. The Magnificent Seven: $30.5 million ($103 million) 
3. Deepwater Horizon: $20.5 million 
4. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $18 million
5. Masterminds: $9.5 million 
6. Sully: $7 million ($83 million)
7. The Edge of Seventeen: $5 million 
8. Bridget Jones' Baby: $4.5 million ($36 million) 
9. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $4 million ($30 million) 
10. Snowden: $2.5 million ($19 million) 

10/7-10/9

1. The Girl on the Train: $29 million 
2. Storks: $22 million ($113 million) 
3. The Magnificent Seven: $19 million ($131 million) 
4. The Birth of a Nation: $12 million 
5. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $10 million ($31 million) 
6. Deepwater Horizon: $9.5 million ($35 million) 
7. Middle School - The Worst Years of My Life: $8 million 
8. Sully: $5 million ($90 million) 
9. Masterminds: $4.5 million ($17 million) 
10. Bridget Jones' Baby: $3 million ($40 million)

10/14-10/16

1. The Accountant: $22 million 
2. Storks: $16.5 million ($138 million) 
3. The Girl on the Train: $16 million ($55 million) 
4. Kevin Hart - What Now?: $13 million 
5. The Magnificent Seven: $12 million ($150 million)
6. The Birth of a Nation: $10 million ($27 million) 
7. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $7.5 million ($43 million) 
8. Deepwater Horizon: $7 million ($46 million) 
9. Middle School - The Worst Years of My Life: $5 million ($16 million)
10. Sully: $3.5 million ($96 million) 

10/21-10/23

1. Boo! A Madea Halloween: $24 million
2. Ouija 2: $18 million
3. A Monster Calls: $17 million 
4. Jack Reacher 2: $16 million 
5. The Accountant: $12 million ($40 million) 
6. Storks: $9 million ($149 million) 
7. Keeping Up With the Joneses: $9 million 
8. The Girl on the Train: $8 million ($67 million) 
9. The Birth of a Nation: $6.5 million ($37 million) 
10. I'm Not Ashamed: $5.5 million 

10/28-10/30

1. Inferno: $32 million 
2. Rings: $21 million 
3. Boo! A Madea Halloween: $12 million ($41 million) 
4. A Monster Calls: $12 million ($35 million) 
5. Jack Reacher 2: $10 million ($31 million) 
6. The Accountant: $9.5 million ($54 million) 
7. Ouija 2: $9 million ($31 million) 
8. Storks: $7.5 million ($159 million) 
9. Untitled Lionsgate Horror: $7 million
10. The Birth of a Nation: $5.5 million ($45 million) 

11/4-11/6

1. Doctor Strange: $74.5 million 
2. Trolls: $33.5 million 
3. Hacksaw Ridge: $23 million 
4. Inferno: $16 million ($56 million) 
5. The Accountant: $7.5 million ($64 million) 
6. A Monster Calls: $7 million ($47 million) 
7. Rings: $5 million ($31 million) 
8. The Birth of a Nation: $5 million ($52 million) 
9. Jack Reacher 2: $4.5 million ($38 million) 
10. Boo! A Madea Halloween: $3.5 million ($48 million) 

11/11-11/13

1. Doctor Strange: $38 million ($130 million) 
2. Trolls: $26 million ($66 million) 
3. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $24 million 
4. Hacksaw Ridge: $18 million ($50 million) 
5. Arrival: $15 million 
6. Almost Christmas: $13.5 million 
7. Inferno: $10 million ($71 million)
8. The Accountant: $6 million ($72 million) 
9. The Birth of a Nation: $6 million ($60 million) 
10. A Monster Calls: $5 million ($54 million) 

11/18-11/20

1. Fantastic Beasts: $109 million 
2. Doctor Strange: $16 million ($155 million) 
3. Trolls: $14.5 million ($84 million) 
4. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $13 million ($43 million) 
5. Hacksaw Ridge: $12 million ($67 million) 
6. Arrival: $10 million ($30 million) 
7. Almost Christmas: $6.5 million ($24 million) 
8. The Birth of a Nation: $5.5 million ($68 million) 
9. The Disappointments Room: $5 million 
10. Inferno: $4.5 million ($78 million)

11/23-11/27

1. Moana: $84 million/$130.5 million 
2. Fantastic Beasts: $51 million/$77.5 million 
3. Bad Santa 2: $16 million/$24.5 million 
4. Doctor Strange: $13 million/$20 million ($178 million) 
5. Trolls: $12 million/$18.5 million ($105 million) 
6. Hacksaw Ridge: $10 million/$13.5 million ($82 million) 
7. Arrival: $9 million/$14 million 
8. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $8.5 million/$11 million ($55 million) 
9. Rules Don't Apply: $7 million/$10 million 
10. The Birth of a Nation: $6.5 million/$9 million ($79 million) 

 

 

1.  

Predict for top 25 DOM for Summer 2016 

1. Spoiler

    

   1. Finding Dory: $486 million 
   2. Captain America - Civil War: $407 million 
   3. Suicide Squad: $373 million 
   4. The Secret Life of Pets: $324 million 
   5. Jason Bourne: $268 million 
   6. Star Trek Beyond: $186 million 
   7. X-Men - Apocalypse: $155 million 
   8. Ghostbusters: $142 million 
   9. Central Intelligence: $139 million 
   10. The Legend of Tarzan: $125 million 
   11. The Angry Birds Movie: $107 million
   12. Independence Day - Resurgence: $106 million 
   13. The Conjuring 2: $105 million 
   14. Kubo and the Two Strings: $104 million 
   15. Bad Moms: $103 million 
   16. Pete's Dragon: $102 million 
   17. The Purge - Election Year: $82 million 
   18. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - Out of the Shadows: $81 million 
   19. Lights Out: $80 million 
   20. Florence Foster Jenkins: $78 million 
   21. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $76 million 
   22. Ice Age - Collision Course: $65 million 
   23. Now You See Me 2: $64 million 
   24. Sausage Party: $59 million 
   25. The Shallows: $58 million 

    

    

    

    

    

Edited July 19, 2016 by mahnamahna

[filmlover]

Star Trek Beyond- $52M

Ice Age: Collision Course- $32M

Lights Out- $18M

[Maxmoser3]

Star Trek:Beyond:$55 million, Ice Age 5: $26 million, Lights Out: $15 million.

[DAJK]

Thinking Lights Out could break out and do upper 20's.

[mrqe93]

I see Lights Out being mention more than Star Trek on my FB and Twitter. 

[Impact]

Ice Age=could be unreleased in the US and it still be a major hit! I liked the first 3 but never saw the 4th one. (even if I thought the 3rd was the best)

[Impact]

Ben-Hur is one of the toughest calls of the Summer, it could make 50 million or 150 million!