TStechnij Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 But we have seen in the past a lot of movies nommed despite a dificult subject matter and a dark/cold approach. It's difficult to say when they're going to support a movie. Like what? Winter Bones, a total anomaly? I'm just saying, Beasts of No Nation had so many thing going against and I'm skeptical to believe it even had the intention of being some awards-player. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 How about subject matter and its approach? Ultimately two (arguably three if you are listening to the pundits) titles that seemed they could make a splash this year have fallen through because they are too dark or cold: Beasts of No Nation, Son of Saul and (in coldness) Carol. That seems to harm Beasts Oscar chances coming out of the gates. Even when it was buzzing a bit people would shut it down for these reasons. It might exclude them from winning but cold, distant and brutal movies get nominated for BP all the time. Although they must have some critical support behind them and do good in the BO relatively to their budget. Beasts of No Nation has the critic support but no boxoffice. But i think its biggest obsticle was the release pattern. If it was an only-at-theatres movie at least for 1 or 2 months, it would be fine. Even if it made under 10M in that time, it would look more legit. No it looks like a TV movie that also played in some theatres because Netflix got money to burn. The movie is certainly a success for Netflix's brand and prestige but if they were seriously aiming for some award attention, that was a terrible release strategy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 Like what? Winter Bones, a total anomaly? I'm just saying, Beasts of No Nation had so many thing going against and I'm skeptical to believe it even had the intention of being some awards-player. The Pianist, No Country for Old Men, Amour, There will be blood... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 The Pianist, No Country for Old Men, Amour, There will be blood... I would argue that those are presented totally differently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 20, 2015 Author Share Posted October 20, 2015 Okay I believe this is my first attempt for BP predicts this year! Here I go: Bridge of Spies Carol Hateful 8 Inside Out Joy The Martian The Revenant Steve Jobs The Walk I could see Brand in Crisis getting nominated, possible Black Mass as well-depends on how big the film is. The Walk is something I am iffy on-but given the director and the old school feel of it. Heart of the Sea? Maybe-it did get delayed till Oscar season after all. Not sure if the Walk will be nominated anymore. As I said earlier I could see Joy winning, but the thing is that dark comedies don't win best picture-it has the Fargo vibe going for it. Update: Bridge of Spies Carol Hateful Eight Inside Out Joy The Martian The Revenant Steve Jobs With In the Heart of the Sea looking in right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 1. Joy 2. Bridge of Spies 3. The Revenant 4. Spotlight 5. Carol 6. Steve Jobs 7. Room 8. The Hateful Eight 9. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 10. Brooklyn 11. Inside Out 12. The Danish Girl 13. Mad Maxy: Fury Road 14. The Big Short 15. The Martian Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 20, 2015 Author Share Posted October 20, 2015 I forgot about Spotlight! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 revenant is a pretty dark movie. i've got that up for a best picture win. always depends on the oscar buzz. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Just saw a FYC ad for Compton on Deadline. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 chris rock is hosting the oscars. cool with that. really liked the last time he did it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 (edited) So: If Joy is great = WIN If it's meh = Revanant But if it's not that wow then = Spotlight Unless the industry thinks sorry we don't care about journo films then = The Martian or Steve jobs Edited October 23, 2015 by MinaTakla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 21, 2015 Author Share Posted October 21, 2015 *sigh* about Rock, well it could be worse-just wish they keep there politics out is all. Anyway-back on topic, how many films this year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I think Joy and Spotlight have a much better chance to win it than the Revenant. You have to figure in that Inarritu had his moment just a few months ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I think Joy and Spotlight have a much better chance to win it than the Revenant. You have to figure in that Inarritu had his moment just a few months ago. Agree Some are saying the martian could also take it if joy tanks.. not so sure but i think it's loved across the board so.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I'm one of The Martian's biggest stans on here, but it isn't winning BP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 People think The Martian can win BP? I already feel like it's Oscar hype died. PS Youth leaked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 (edited) The real question is this: If Joy tanks (i seriously hope it succeeds), what will win BP? Assuming they don't wanna go a second year for Innaritu, we're only left with.. Spotlight? Jobs? Or even the Big Short? Looks like a weird year Edited October 23, 2015 by MinaTakla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 For what it's worth, apparently the Big Short blew the roof off the place at a WGA screening last night. Standing ovation and everything. Might be more of a contender than alot of us thought, especially for Carrell and Bale. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 24, 2015 Author Share Posted October 24, 2015 Whoa-Adam McKay directing a best picture nominated film! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 1.Spotlight 2.Joy 3.The Revenant 4.The Big Short 5.Inside Out 6.Mad Max: Fury Road 7.Carol 8.Room 9.Steve Jobs 10.Bridge of Spies 11.Star Wars: The Force Awakens 12.The Hateful Eight 13.The Martian 14.Brooklyn 15.The Good Dinosaur Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
