Impact Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 For some reason whenever I try to read your post Han by revealing the spoiler the page freezes! Too much text? I have no idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 19 minutes ago, Impact said: You have Carol twice. Oops, well then ignore it as one to add in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 13 minutes ago, Impact said: For some reason whenever I try to read your post Han by revealing the spoiler the page freezes! Too much text? I have no idea. Yeah, the same thing happens to me, just give it a few seconds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 Okay thanks, how does my nom count look that I posted on the last page? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Can someone explain why they would put Sicario in anything besides cinematog, editing and sound? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 24 minutes ago, TStechnij said: Can someone explain why they would put Sicario in anything besides cinematog, editing and sound? Picture: PGA Actress: The last 2 spots are a question mark Supporting Actor: This category is a mess, but with Sicario rising at the guilds Del Toro is back in the conversation Original Screenplay: The fifth spot is a question mark and H8ful is getting weaker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 36 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Picture: PGA Actress: The last 2 spots are a question mark Supporting Actor: This category is a mess, but with Sicario rising at the guilds Del Toro is back in the conversation Original Screenplay: The fifth spot is a question mark and H8ful is getting weaker PGA never guarantees a Best Picture nomination (3 movies missed the Oscars last year), and Blunt is simply not happening (I mean really, I love her, but she's not). The other two are definitely on the edge though, I agree. I feel like we're in for some really wacky nominations on Thursday morning. Prepare yourselves, everyone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 40 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Picture: PGA Actress: The last 2 spots are a question mark Supporting Actor: This category is a mess, but with Sicario rising at the guilds Del Toro is back in the conversation Original Screenplay: The fifth spot is a question mark and H8ful is getting weaker PGA can't be used on its own for very obvious reasons. Especially when it is missing Carol. If the only hype that can be mustered for Sicario for BP is because of PGA and guild support, which IS the only hype that can be mustered, then it isn't getting nominated. It is textbook definition of a film that does well with guilds and falters at the Oscars. And Blunt in actress... That's ridiculous. Lawrence is fine and no one is desperate enough for Blunt. Rampling, Mara, Vikander, Smith and even Schumer are ahead of her. Like... I can't even imagine where this idea comes from. She has three mentions from hodunk critic groups and that is all (in the US). Also, for Blunt to even be in the conversation means that the movie really didn't work, because the whole purpose of her character is to be submissive and that isn't what The Academy goes for. Even with a Globe nom, she wouldn't be happening and she couldn't even get that. Even Cotillard hit one precursor last year and she had Fonda campaigning for her. Blunt doesn't care about the Oscar and no one does. It is deader than Joy in Best Picture. Hitting BAFTA alone never has only equaled a nom for Riva in past years, which was a foreign film and never going to do well at the Globes/SAG/BFCA (sometimes even ineligible). And Sicario isn't Amour, which was top five best picture with a directing nom. Del Toro probably won't happen, but could be a surprise. Once again, Sicario has 6 screenplay mentions from hodunk critic orgs. Compare the to Ex Machina's BAFTA nod, BFCA nod, BIFA nod and a ton of critic mentions. So, no Sicario isn't going to break out big at the Oscars. And it surely isn't an alternate for best director. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yeah, I'm a fan of Blunt, but her role (which is very passive) in Sicario is never going to be the kind that gets Academy recognition. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Final predicts (at least for noms): Best Picture The Big Short Bridge of Spies Carol The Martian Mad Max: Fury Road The Revenant Room Spotlight Best Director Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant Tom McCarthy, Spotlight Adam McKay, The Big Short George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road Ridley Scott, The Martian Best Actor Steve Carell, The Big Short Matt Damon, The Martian Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl Best Actress Cate Blanchett, Carol Brie Larson, Room Jennifer Lawrence, Joy Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl Best Supporting Actor Christian Bale, The Big Short Tom Hardy, The Revenant Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies Michael Shannon, 99 Homes Sylvester Stallone, Creed Best Supporting Actress Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight Rooney Mara, Carol Helen Mirren, Trumbo Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina Best Original Screenplay Bridge of Spies The Hateful Eight Inside Out Spotlight Trainwreck Best Adapted Screenplay The Big Short Carol The Martian Room Steve Jobs Best Cinematography Carol The Hateful Eight Mad Max: Fury Road The Revenant Sicario Best Costume Design Brooklyn Carol Cinderella The Danish Girl Mad Max: Fury Road Best Film Editing The Big Short Bridge of Spies Mad Max: Fury Road The Revenant Sicario Best Makeup and Hairstyling Black Mass Mad Max: Fury Road The Revenant Best Production Design Bridge of Spies Carol Cinderella Mad Max: Fury Road Star Wars: The Force Awakens Best Original Score Carter Burwell, Carol Michael Giacchino, Inside Out Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight Thomas Newman, Bridge of Spies John Williams, Star Wars: The Force Awakens Best Original Song "Love Me Like You Do," Fifty Shades of Grey "See You Again," Furious 7 "Simple Song #3," Youth "Til It Happens to You," The Hunting Ground "Waiting for My Moment," Creed Best Sound Editing Creed Mad Max: Fury Road The Martian The Revenant Star Wars: The Force Awakens Best Sound Mixing Mad Max: Fury Road The Martian The Revenant Star Wars: The Force Awakens Straight Outta Compton Best Visual Effects Jurassic World Mad Max: Fury Road The Martian The RevenantStar Wars: The Force Awakens Best Animated Feature Anomalisa The Good Dinosaur Inside Out The Peanuts Movie Shaun the Sheep Movie Best Documentary Feature Amy Cartel Land Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief He Named Me Malala The Look of Silence Best Foreign Language Film A War The Brand New Testament Labyrinth of Lies Mustang Son of Saul Best Animated Short Bear Story Carface (Autos Portraits) If I Was God Sanjay's Super Team World of Tomorrow Best Documentary Short A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness Body Team 12 Chau Beyond the Lines My Enemy My Brother The Testimony Best Live Action Short Ave Maria Day One Shok Stutterer Winter Light Nom Count (Wins Bolded) Mad Max: Fury Road - 10 (Picture, Director, Cinematography, Costume Design, Film Editing, Makeup and Hairstyling, Production Design, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects) The Revenant - 10 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Film Editing, Makeup and Hairstyling, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects) Carol - 8 (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Costume Design, Production Design, Original Score) The Martian - 7 (Picture, Director, Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects) The Big Short - 6 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing) Bridge of Spies - 6 (Picture, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Production Design, Original Score) Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 5 (Production Design, Original Score, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects) The Hateful Eight - 4 (Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Original Score) Creed - 3 (Supporting Actor, Original Song, Sound Editing) The Danish Girl - 3 (Actor, Actress, Costume Design) Inside Out - 3 (Original Screenplay, Original Score, Animated Feature) Room - 3 (Picture, Actress, Adapted Screenplay) Spotlight - 3 (Picture, Director, Original Screenplay) Steve Jobs - 3 (Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay) Brooklyn - 2 (Actress, Costume Design) Cinderella - 2 (Costume Design, Production Design) Sicario - 2 (Cinematography, Film Editing) 99 Homes - 1 (Supporting Actor) A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness - 1 (Documentary Short) A War - 1 (Foreign Language Film) Amy - 1 (Documentary Feature) Anomalisa - 1 (Animated Feature) Ave Maria - 1 (Live Action Short) Bear Story - 1 (Animated Short) Black Mass - 1 (Makeup and Hairstyling) Body Team 12 - 1 (Documentary Short) The Brand New Testament - 1 (Foreign Language Film) Carface (Autos Portraits) - 1 (Animated Short) Cartel Land - 1 (Documentary Feature) Chau Beyond the Lines - 1 (Documentary Short) Day One - 1 (Live Action Short) Ex Machina - 1 (Supporting Actress) Fifty Shades of Grey - 1 (Original Song) Furious 7 - 1 (Original Song) Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief - 1 (Documentary Feature) The Good Dinosaur - 1 (Animated Feature) He Named Me Malala - 1 (Documentary Feature) The Hunting Ground - 1 (Original Song) If I Was God - 1 (Animated Short) Joy - 1 (Actress) Jurassic World - 1 (Visual Effects) Labyrinth of Lies - 1 (Foreign Language Film) The Look of Silence - 1 (Documentary Feature) Mustang - 1 (Foreign Language Film) My Enemy My Brother - 1 (Documentary Short) The Peanuts Movie - 1 (Animated Feature) Sanjay's Super Team - 1 (Animated Short) Shaun the Sheep Movie - 1 (Animated Feature) Shok - 1 (Live Action Short) Son of Saul - 1 (Foreign Language Film) Straight Outta Compton - 1 (Sound Mixing) Stutterer - 1 (Live Action Short) The Testimony - 1 (Documentary Short) Trainwreck - 1 (Original Screenplay) Trumbo - 1 (Supporting Actress) Winter Light - 1 (Live Action Short) World of Tomorrow - 1 (Animated Short) Youth - 1 (Original Song) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Latest predictions from thefilmexperience. http://thefilmexperience.net/best-picture/ He is usually right and predicts 8 nominees in this order: Spotlight, Martian, Revenant, Big Short, MMFR, BoS, Carol and SOC. If 9, Room. If 10, Inside Out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I am really worried with my bold prediction made last March (the sum of the grosses made for all the BP contenders before the nominations are announced would allow an average of 100M per movie). But there's still hope, and that's awesome! It shows that we've had an extremely popular bunch of contenders. To succeed with my bold statement: Those seems to be assured The Martian - 226M MMFR - 154M Bridge of Spies - 71M Revenant - 53M The big short - 44M Spotlight 29M Carol - 7M The sum of all the grosses: 584M / 7 films = 83.4M Then we have this possibilities: Inside Out - 353M Straight Outta Compton - 161M Sicario - 47M Ex Machina - 25M Brooklyn - 23M Trumbo - 7M Room - 5M I really need Inside Out to sneak in as the 8th nominee. Then, the 9th can be any of the rest. So my last predictions are Martian, MMFR, BOS, Revenant, Big Short, Spotlight, Carol, Inside Out, Room. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 When The Revenant takes home Best Picture and Best Director I am gonna laugh a lot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 A bit off topic, but does anyone know who's playing on Gold Derby if we're supposed to pick 10 for Best picture no matter what, because it does specifically instruct you to pick 10? Or should we just pick however many we think will be nominated? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 4 hours ago, CJohn said: When The Revenant takes home Best Picture and Best Director I am gonna laugh a lot. I kinda hope Inarittu gets two in a row so that everyone who is like "he hates our precious comic book movies based on some silly comments in an interview waaahhhh" will just deal with it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 2 minutes ago, filmlover said: I kinda hope Inarittu gets two in a row so that everyone who is like "he hates our precious comic book movies based on some silly comments in an interview waaahhhh" will just deal with it. I only hope the best film wins. Other random and uninteresting fanboyism/hatred details are quite annoying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 1 minute ago, stripe said: I only hope the best film wins. Other random and uninteresting fanboyism/hatred details are quite annoying. Me too. But Inside Out (my #1 of the year) isn't even guaranteed a Best Picture nomination so... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 20 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said: A bit off topic, but does anyone know who's playing on Gold Derby if we're supposed to pick 10 for Best picture no matter what, because it does specifically instruct you to pick 10? Or should we just pick however many we think will be nominated? Last year when I did my predictions I only put 9 in, you get extra points if you miss nothing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 21 minutes ago, filmlover said: Me too. But Inside Out (my #1 of the year) isn't even guaranteed a Best Picture nomination so... Also my best film of the year so far, after watching contenders MMFR, Martian, SOC, Bridge of Spies, Ex Machina and Sicario. But I have yet to see Carol, Room, Revenant, Spotlight and The Big Short. Still have to open in Spain... Room opens in March! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said: A bit off topic, but does anyone know who's playing on Gold Derby if we're supposed to pick 10 for Best picture no matter what, because it does specifically instruct you to pick 10? Or should we just pick however many we think will be nominated? Pick 10, it'll give you better odds. You won't be docked off points if there are only 8 nominees and you guessed all 8 but had 2 extra. You get points for what you get right. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
