Ezen Baklattan Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 LOCKED AND LOADED 1. Mad Max: Fury Road 2. Spotlight 3. The Big Short PRETTY MUCH THERE 4. The Martian 5. Carol 6. The Revenant 7. Bridge of Spies ON THE PRECIPICE 8. Brooklyn 9. Room 10. Straight Outta Compton 11. Star Wars: The Force Awakens LOOKING GRIM 12. Sicario 13. Ex Machina 14. Inside Out Everything else is pretty much done for. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Just now, Spaghetti said: LOCKED AND LOADED 1. Mad Max: Fury Road 2. Spotlight 3. The Big Short PRETTY MUCH THERE 4. The Martian 5. Carol 6. The Revenant 7. Bridge of Spies ON THE PRECIPICE 8. Brooklyn 9. Room 10. Straight Outta Compton 11. Star Wars: The Force Awakens LOOKING GRIM 12. Sicario 13. Ex Machina 14. Inside Out Everything else is pretty much done for. I'd think Locked 1.The Big Short 2.Spotlight 3.Mad Max: Fury Road Near Lock 4.The Martian 5.The Revenant Solid Chances 6.Bridge of Spies 7.Sicario On the Bubble 8.Star Wars: The Force Awakens 9.Straight Outta Compton 10.Carol 11.Room Possible Spoiler 12.Inside Out 13.Brooklyn 14.Ex Machina Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Locked: 1. The Big Short 2. Spotlight 3. The Martian 4. Mad Max 5. The Revenant Likely: 6. Sicario Whatever other spots: 7. Brooklyn 8. Bridge of Spies 9. Straight Outta Compton 10. Carol 11. Star Wars 12. Room 13. Ex Machina Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 My full new predictions: Picture: 1. The Big Short 2. Spotlight 3. The Martian 4. Mad Mad: Fury Road 5. The Revenant 6. Bridge of Spies 7. Sicario 8. Carol Spoilers: Brooklyn, Straight Outta Compton, Room, Star Wars: The Force Awakens, Ex Machina Director: 1. Ridley Scott, The Martian 2. George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road 3. Adam McKay, The Big Short 4. Alejandro Inarritu, The Revenant 5. Tom McCarthy, Spotlight Spoilers: Dennis Villeneuve, Sicario; Steven Spielberg, Bridge of Spies Actor: 1. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant 2. Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs 3. Matt Damon, The Martian 4. Steve Carell, The Big Short 5. Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl Spoilers: Bryan Cranston, Trumbo; Johnny Depp, Black Mass Actress: 1. Brie Larson, Room 2. Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn 3. Cate Blanchett, Carol 4. Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years 5. Emily Blunt, Sicario Spoilers: Charlize Theron, Mad Mad: Fury Road; Helen Mirren, The Woman in Gold Supporting Actor: 1. Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies 2. Sylvester Stallone, Creed 3. Christian Bale, The Big Short 4. Benicio Del Toro, Sicario 5. Michael Shannon, 99 Homes Spoilers: Paul Dano, Love and Mercy; Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation; Jacob Tremblay, Room; Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight Supporting Actress: 1. Rooney Mara, Carol 2. Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl 3. Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight 4. Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs 5. Helen Mirren, Trumbo Spoilers; Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina; Rachel McAdams, Spotlight Original Screenplay: 1. Spotlight 2. Inside Out 3. Bridge of Spies 4. Sicario 5. Ex Machina Spoilers: The Hateful Eight; Straight Outta Compton; Trainwreck Adapted Screenplay: 1. The Big Short 2. The Martian 3. Room 4. Steve Jobs 5. Brooklyn Spoilers: Carol; Star Wars: The Force Awakens Animated Feature: 1. Inside Out 2. Anomalisa 3. The Peanuts Movie 4. When Marnie Was There 5. The Good Dinosaur Cinematography: 1. The Revenant 2. Mad Max: Fury Road 3. Sicario 4. The Hateful Eight 5. Carol Spoilers: The Martian; The Walk Editing: 1. Mad Max: Fury Road 2. The Big Short 3. The Martian 4. The Revenant 5. Sicario Spoilers: Bridge of Spies; Star Wars: The Force Awakens Production Design: 1. Crimson Peak 2. Cinderella 3. Mad Max: Fury Road 4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 5. Bridge of Spies Spoilers: The Martian; The Revenant; Ex Machina Costume Design: 1. Cinderella 2. Mad Max: Fury Road 3. Crimson Peak 4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 5. Brooklyn Spoilers: Bridge of Spies; Carol; Trumbo Makeup: 1. Mad Max: Fury Road 2. Black Mass 3. The Revenant Score: 1. The Hateful Eight 2. Bridge of Spies 3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 4. Steve Jobs 5. Inside Out Spoilers: Mad Max: Fury Road; The Good Dinosaur; Sicario Song: 1. Furious 7 2. Creed 3. Youth 4. Fifty Shades of Grey 5. Anomalisa Spoiler: Spectre Visual Effects: 1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 2. Mad Max: Fury Road 3. The Martian 4. Ant-Man 5. Ex Machina Spoilers: The Walk; The Revenant Sound Editing: 1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 2. Mad Max: Fury Road 3. The Martian 4. Sicario 5. The Revenant Spoilers: Inside Out; The Hateful Eight; Ex Machina Sound Mixing: 1. The Martian 2. Mad Max: Fury Road 3. Straight Outta Compton 4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 5. Love and Mercy Spoilers: The Revenant; Bridge of Spies; Sicario Nomination and win count: 10: Mad Max: Fury Road (Picture, Director, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) 8: The Martian (Picture, Director, Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) 7: The Revenant (Picture, Director, Actor, Cinematography, Editing, Makeup, Sound Editing), Sicario (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Sound Editing) 6: The Big Short (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Editing), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Production Design, Costume Design, Score, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) 5: Bridge of Spies (Picture, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Production Design, Score) 4: Carol (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Cinematography), Steve Jobs (Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Score) 3: Brooklyn (Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Costume Design), The Hateful Eight (Supporting Actress, Cinematography, Score), Inside Out (Original Screenplay, Animated Feature, Score), Spotlight (Picture, Director, Original Screenplay) 2: Anomalisa (Animated Feature, Song), Cinderella (Production Design, Costume Design), Crimson Peak (Production Design, Costume Design), Creed (Supporting Actor, Song), The Danish Girl (Actor, Supporting Actress), Ex Machina (Original Screenplay, Visual Effects), Room (Actress, Adapted Screenplay) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 I really doubt they'll touch things like Furious 7 or especially Fifty Shades of Grey in the Song category. This is the Oscars we're talking about. The latter reminds me of when the Burlesque song (which won the Globe) missed 5 years ago, the reason most likely being because they didn't want to make the film in question an Oscar-nominated movie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 2 minutes ago, filmlover said: I really doubt they'll touch things like Furious 7 or especially Fifty Shades of Grey in the Song category. This is the Oscars we're talking about. The latter reminds me of when the Burlesque song (which won the Globe) missed 5 years ago, the reason most likely being because they didn't want to make the film in question an Oscar-nominated movie. What? See You Again has this locked up. Let's not forget Eminem and Three Six Mafia won Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said: What? See You Again has this locked up. Let's not forget Eminem and Three Six Mafia won I guess. I guess we'll see if the Academy will look past the fact that the series, while respected now, is still considered "trashy" (they certainly have a history of overlooking films that have an air of trashiness to them, which is probably what could be attributed to Gone Girl's total shutout besides Pike last year). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Pete Hammond is reporting a lot of Academy members he's talked to love Sicario: http://deadline.com/2016/01/pga-sicario-ex-machina-star-wars-oscars-1201676261/ Although it hasn’t had as high a profile this season as some other contenders which have been dominating early critics group voting, Lionsgate’s Sicario is not at all surprising in my view. It is the most mentioned movie I hear from Academy voters, particularly men and this just validates the chatter on the circuit. I fully expect it to land a Best Picture Oscar nomination and possibly one for director Denis Villeneuve as well as below the line categories. So far with nominations from the Art Directors and Editors guilds this week Sicario is having a very strong run as the race turns to the Guild voters who are traditionally far more indicative of where the Oscar winds may be blowing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Sicario is not a movie I want to revisit anytime soon but I would love it if it snuck in. I'm now predicting Benecio will get in Supporting btw. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 56 minutes ago, filmlover said: I really doubt they'll touch things like Furious 7 or especially Fifty Shades of Grey in the Song category. This is the Oscars we're talking about. The latter reminds me of when the Burlesque song (which won the Globe) missed 5 years ago, the reason most likely being because they didn't want to make the film in question an Oscar-nominated movie. the big thing with the song category is that the voters in that branch go to screenings that show the scene in the film where the song plays. that's why songs that aren't credits songs usually do better. furious 7's got that big emotional paul walker tribute that I think bags it a nom at least. agree w/ you on 50 shades. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 I SWEAR TO GOD IF THEY SNUB ROOM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 I need to watch room again. I thought it had such a meh second half. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 The first two thirds of the movie are definitely strongest, IMO, which edges it out for 2nd in my list this year. (Making #1 Tripledent Gum) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 I think between the female driven films (Brooklyn, Carol, Room) that Room makes it into the BP field. Seems like it has more passion behind it than Brooklyn or Carol, despite Brooklyn's PGA nomination. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Post-PGA nominations: The Big Short Bridge of Spies Mad Max: Fury Road The Martian The Revenant Room Sicario Spotlight Star Wars: The Force Awakens Straight Outta Compton Bridge of Spies will sneak in, if the Berg's War Horse could make it in with the current system in 2011 then BOS will so the same. Room will win out between the female-driven pics, see why above. Sicario's PGA, BFCA and Eddie nominations propel it in the race, and Straight Outta Compton is keeping it's momentum from the SAG noms to the PGA noms, plus it was a box office hit. Star Wars missed PGA, but the Academy in the past has always nominated the highest-grossing picture domestically for Best Picture, and I think being a gigantic cross-generational event puts it in a better position than something like Skyfall and Deathly Hallows Pt. 2. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 4 minutes ago, Alpha said: Post-PGA nominations: The Big Short Bridge of Spies Mad Max: Fury Road The Martian The Revenant Room Sicario Spotlight Star Wars: The Force Awakens Straight Outta Compton Bridge of Spies will sneak in, if the Berg's War Horse could make it in with the current system in 2011 then BOS will so the same. Room will win out between the female-driven pics, see why above. Sicario's PGA, BFCA and Eddie nominations propel it in the race, and Straight Outta Compton is keeping it's momentum from the SAG noms to the PGA noms, plus it was a box office hit. Star Wars missed PGA, but the Academy in the past has always nominated the highest-grossing picture domestically for Best Picture, and I think being a gigantic cross-generational event puts it in a better position than something like Skyfall and Deathly Hallows Pt. 2. If there are only 8 nominations, what do you think gets left out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Sasha Stone might go cuckoo-for-cocoa-puffs when it comes to pushing her faves, but she's as good as any at analyzing trends and breaking down the state of the race. http://www.awardsdaily.com/2016/01/05/the-state-of-the-race-because-sometimes-the-pundits-get-it-wrong/ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 (edited) 13 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: If there are only 8 nominations, what do you think gets left out? Star Wars first, then either Room or Straight Outta Compton second. Edited January 5, 2016 by Alpha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
movieboner Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Bafta nominations are announced this Friday and the Golden Globes premiere on Sunday. This weekend will decide which films will receive a best picture nomination. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 3 minutes ago, movieboner said: Bafta nominations are announced this Friday and the Golden Globes premiere on Sunday. This weekend will decide which films will receive a best picture nomination. Nominating closes on Friday so neither will have any effect on nominations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
