Baumer's Summer Game - Darkelf #1, Grim22 #2, laguy03 #3..final words from baumer pg 95

[#ED]

So about that "will more than 1 movie open up more than 100M OW" question.

[Mattrek]

I'm really hoping it stays in 2nd place, but I think at this point it's futile.

[Chewy]

Jurassic World is screwing everyone in unison, like HTTYD2 did last tear

[Mattrek]

Mattrek:

1) Will Jurassic World increase more than 10% on Saturday minus the previews? Yes

2) Will JW make more than 15 mill OW in the UK? Yes

3) Will San Andreas fall more than 50%? Yes

4) Will Spy fall more than 29% on Sunday? No

Got question 2 right, waiting on the others.

[narniadis]

This weekend will have some ugly scores.... I don't know what I was thinking for sure.

[Blankments]

It's the end of the game as I know it... but I feel fine?

[JJ-8]

Mattrek: 1) Will Jurassic World increase more than 10% on Saturday minus the previews? Yes 2) Will JW make more than 15 mill OW in the UK? Yes 3) Will San Andreas fall more than 50%? Yes 4) Will Spy fall more than 29% on Sunday? No Got question 2 right, waiting on the others.

Looking at the Friday for San Andreas I'd say you're correct for q3 too.

[Mattrek]

Looking at the Friday for San Andreas I'd say you're correct for q3 too.

Looks like the previews question is right too. Just waiting on Spy.

[Avatree]

I did pretty badly this week!

 

This week's answers based on estimates:

 

1) Will Spy fall less than 44.8%? NO

2) Will any film in the top 12, playing in at least 1000 theaters, have a Friday increase of more than 88%? YES

3) Will San Andreas have a Saturday increase of more than 40%? YES

4) Will Entourage fall more than 2% on Thursday? YES

5) Will Insidious 3 fall less than 58%? NO

6) Will Mad Max make more than Entourage this weekend? NO

7) Will Pitch Perfect make more than MMFR this weekend? NO

8) Will Poltergeist fall more than Aloha % wise? YES

9) Will Age of Ultron decrease more than 46%? NO

10) Will San Andreas gross more than 80 million WW this weekend?

11) Will Furious 7 drop more than 55%? NO

12) Will Spy gross more on Friday and Saturday than JW does for Thursday previews? NO

13) Will Spy increase more than 35% on Saturday? YES

14) Will the top 10 movies add up to more than 185 million? YES

15) Will Me and Earl and the Dying Girl have a theater average of more than $4000? YES

 

 

 

12/15 3000

13/15 5000

14/15 7000

15/15 15,000

 

 

What finishes in spots:

 

7 MAD MAX: FURY ROAD

9 TOMORROWLAND

10 LOVE & MERCY

11 ALOHA

Edited June 14, 2015 by Treeth Simanton

[Cedarpoint1111]

I think everyone did bad. Forget about the weekly questions, my preseason answers are screwed.

[Mattrek]

Pitch perfect made more then Mad Max

[narniadis]

Well this weekend changed the game - I think i can say.

[baumer]

edit

Edited June 14, 2015 by baumer

[JJ-8]

Looks like the previews question is right too. Just waiting on Spy.

 

it's going down to wire that one... estimates have spy dropping by  -28%... better hope it's better and not worse

[JJ-8]

Sadly i think i've screwed up Aloha ... it's got a +25% so unless that estimate is a little bit off i think i've missed because of a very stupid question!

[Mattrek]

it's going down to wire that one... estimates have spy dropping by -28%... better hope it's better and not worse

I want spy to go down a smidge in Saturday then go up a smidge on Sunday enough so it drops over 44.8% lol.

[K1stpierre]

Another terrible week for me

[laguy03]

This JW opening is exciting and super impressive. I just wish it had a smaller opening (maybe $150M) for the purposes of the game. There is no way this won't be the #1 film of the summer. I thought I was being bold by predicting it as the #2 film of the summer, but I guess it wasn't bold enough.

[grim22]

Mattrek:

1) Will Jurassic World increase more than 10% on Saturday minus the previews? Yes

2) Will JW make more than 15 mill OW in the UK? Yes

3) Will San Andreas fall more than 50%? Yes

4) Will Spy fall more than 29% on Sunday? No

Got question 2 right, waiting on the others.

 

Looks like Spy only fell 23% on Sunday. But JW increased only 9.8% on Saturday minus previews.

[JJ-8]

Yeah actuals we're not kind to mattrek.