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CJohn

Weekend Estimates: TLR - 13.5M; Furious 7 - 60.5M; Home - 19M [F7 - 63M OD in China!]

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Itll be out in 3 years.

2 years surely.

 

FF4 2009

FF5 2011

FF6 2013

FF7 2015

Calling it now:

 

Worldwide Box Office:

 

1. Age Of Ultron

2. Furious 7

3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

 

Let the meltdowns begin  :ph34r:

homer-simpson-swearing-o.gif

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Calling it now:

Worldwide Box Office:

1. Age Of Ultron

2. Furious 7

3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Let the meltdowns begin :ph34r:

Na, but that third place # of $1.3b ww will just look that much more impressive.

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Time to start talking 1.1-1.2 with Asia coming through as expected.  Also good 2nd weekend drop.   I knew it would be over 50% for sure but that's a solid 2nd weekend.   Time to start to talking 350 Domestic with 375-400 outside chance if it has some late legs.  But the release date was perfect.  It still has two more weeks to clean up before Ultron. 

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2 years surely.

 

FF4 2009

FF5 2011

FF6 2013

FF7 2015

homer-simpson-swearing-o.gif

Without things moving no. Its hard to speculate on the future schedule and even harder to say a movie will move. As it stands now 2018 is the likely date.

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Studio Weekend Estimates (Domestic) Fri, Apr. 10 - Sun, Apr. 12

Wide (1000+)

# Title weekend Locations Avg. Total Wks. Dist.
1 Furious 7 $60,590,000 -59% 4,022 18 $15,065 $252,520,470 2 Universal
2 Home (2015) $19,000,000 -30% 3,703 -98 $5,131 $129,553,497 3 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
3 The Longest Ride $13,500,000 -- 3,366 -- $4,011 $13,500,000 1 Fox
4 Get Hard $8,635,000 -34% 3,132 -80 $2,757 $71,200,580 3 Warner Bros.
5 Cinderella (2015) $7,225,000 -29% 3,025 -379 $2,388 $180,773,726 5 Disney
6 The Divergent Series: Insurgent $6,850,000 -32% 3,118 -324 $2,197 $114,848,147 4 Lionsgate / Summit
7 Woman In Gold $5,852,000 180% 1,504 1246 $3,891 $9,302,898 2 Weinstein Company
8 It Follows $2,027,000 -19% 1,633 -22 $1,241 $11,798,261 5 RADiUS-TWC / Dimension
9 Kingsman: The Secret Service $1,325,000 -27% 1,013 -314 $1,308 $124,538,297 9 Fox
10 Do You Believe? $920,000 -40% 1,042 -176 $883 $11,500,600 4 Pure Flix

Limited (100 — 999)

# Title weekend Locations Avg. Total Wks. Dist.
1 While We're Young $1,377,108 185% 246 212 $5,598 $2,355,139 3 A24
2 The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel $640,000 -41% 741 -319 $864 $31,463,504 6 Fox Searchlight
3 American Sniper $620,000 -1% 616 -7 $1,006 $347,236,237 16 Warner Bros.
4 McFarland, USA $448,000 -28% 518 -185 $865 $42,632,503 8 Disney
5 The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water $230,000 -9% 308 -174 $747 $161,305,040 10 Paramount
6 Wild Tales $173,615 -- 113 -- $1,536 $2,215,834 8 Sony Pictures Classics
7 Fifty Shades of Grey $166,000 -32% 284 -97 $585 $165,775,675 9 Universal / Focus
8 What We Do in the Shadows $153,470 -15% 113 -12 $1,358 $2,963,686 9 Unison / Paladin
9 Paddington $151,000 -20% 241 -99 $627 $75,349,027 13 Weinstein / Dimension
10 The Gunman $134,157 -65% 312 -715 $430 $10,452,604 4 Open Road
11 Still Alice $103,763 -- 174 -- $596 $18,450,538 13 Sony Pictures Classics
12 The Imitation Game $90,000 -35% 128 -74 $703 $90,950,976 20 Weinstein Company
13 The DUFF $78,000 -27% 145 -101 $538 $33,647,417 8 CBS Films / Lionsgate

Platform (1 — 99)

# Title weekend Locations Avg. Total Wks. Dist.
1 Ex Machina $249,956 -- 4 -- $62,489 $249,956 1 A24
2 Let's Get Married $87,400 -52% 37 -2 $2,362 $350,457 2 China Lion Film
3 The Salt of the Earth $82,409 -- 27 -- $3,052 $259,635 3 Sony Pictures Classics
4 '71 $46,050 -45% 63 -32 $731 $1,231,352 7 Roadside Attractions
5 Desert Dancer $43,000 -- 23 -- $1,870 $43,000 1 Relativity Media
6 Selma $22,000 -65% 67 -68 $328 $52,066,363 16 Paramount
7 The Hunting Ground $16,446 -15% 20 -4 $822 $194,392 7 RADiUS-TWC
8 About Elly $15,113 -- 1 -- $15,113 $18,871 1 Cinema Guild
9 Lambert & Stamp $12,599 -- 7 -- $1,800 $33,287 2 Sony Pictures Classics
10 Black Souls $6,300 -- 2 -- $3,150 $6,300 1 Alchemy
11 Citizenfour $2,632 -13% 4 0 $658 $2,784,745 25 RADiUS-TWC
12 Can't Stand Losing You: Surviving the Police $1,996 -70% 4 0 $499 $17,467 4 Cinema Libre
13 Lost and Love $1,700 -69% 1 -4 $1,700 $183,769 4 China Lion Film
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Gitesh is saying 68M, but our China BO guys are saying it's over estimated.

 

It's going to be somewhere in the middle. 391M Yuan is an estimate, with actuals most likely the number is going to be over 400M so somewhere near 65M OD, pretty fucking astonishing really. It more than doubled the previous OD and single day records in China and has potential to beat TF4's total there as well!!!!!! :mouthdropped:  :mouthdropped:  :mouthdropped:

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Time to start talking 1.1-1.2 with Asia coming through as expected.  Also good 2nd weekend drop.   I knew it would be over 50% for sure but that's a solid 2nd weekend.   Time to start to talking 350 Domestic with 375-400 outside chance if it has some late legs.  But the release date was perfect.  It still has two more weeks to clean up before Ultron. 

 

I still bet with 375M for #FF7... like i said fews days.. 350M is already lock,,,,

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I think they should let it breathe after this and wait 3 years but with these numbers I definitely see 2017 for Fast 8. But I think 2018 would be better.

They will...they'll give it an extra year for respect to Walker, and with the run F7 is having, the studio won't mind at all.

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