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Weekend Thread JW 54.2M, hits 500 | IO 52M | pg 99

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Ted 2

 

just thinking

 

13.5 million Friday Per RTH estimated

18.0 million Saturday

14.0 million Sunday

 

 

45.5 Million

Not happening. :lol:

 

Ted 2 is pretty much dead. Sequels are naturally more frontloaded, especially rated R films, so a low Friday means a dead OW.

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JW will be winning this weekend again.

Nowhere near a lock... RTH could very well be lowballing IO and it ends up doing $17 million Friday, while JW 'only' does $14 million. 

 

JW

$14 million

$21 million

$15 million 

 

$49 million 

 

IO

$17 million

$22 million (28-30% increase, nothing huge) 

$17.5 million 

 

$56.5 million 

 

JW is definitely not locked to either win or lose this weekend. Neither is IO. Especially since it's going to have a much larger Sunday drop this weekend, and Ted 2 is going to eat slightly into its BO. 

 

It'll be a close matchup until Sunday. 

Edited by mahnamahna
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Nowhere near a lock... RTH could very well be lowballing IO and it ends up doing $17 million Friday, while JW 'only' does $14 million. 

 

JW

$14 million

$21 million

$15 million 

 

$49 million 

 

IO

$17 million

$23 million (35% increase, nothing huge) 

$18 million 

 

$58 million 

 

JW is definitely not locked to either win or lose this weekend. Especially since it's going to have a much larger Sunday drop this weekend, and Ted 2 is going to eat slightly into its BO. 

Couldn't he be lowballing JW as well?

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Couldn't he be lowballing JW as well?

Last weekend he said $31-35 million and it ended up at $29 million. I'm just saying that JW could do $13-14 million for Friday, while IO could do $16-17 million. Even with JW's great Sat increases and a 20-25% Sun drop, it would be short of IO by a couple million. 

 

I'd love to see both do $15-17 million, but I was just pointing out that JW winning the weekend isn't a sure thing like Mojoguy is acting like. 

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On the bright side, maybe Trainwreck will breakout even more, and then Schumer and Hader will become comedy titans while LeBron gets Space Jam 2 greenlit.

I'm pretty sure Ted 2 underperforming this bad locks Trainwreck or Vacation for a massive breakout. Especially since Spy didn't do the job earlier this summer. 

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Nowhere near a lock... RTH could very well be lowballing IO and it ends up doing $17 million Friday, while JW 'only' does $14 million.

JW

$14 million

$21 million

$15 million

$49 million

IO

$17 million

$22 million (28-30% increase, nothing huge)

$17.5 million

$56.5 million

JW is definitely not locked to either win or lose this weekend. Neither is IO. Especially since it's going to have a much larger Sunday drop this weekend, and Ted 2 is going to eat slightly into its BO.

It'll be a close matchup until Sunday.

Lol IO is not making more than JW on a Saturday. And I also like how you took the lowest estimate for JW's Friday gross and generously added a million to RTH's higher end for IO.

This is probably the worst case scenario for JW.

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It's too early to call anything a "sure thing" at this point.

 

Personally I'd love to see JW threepeat because it was the least expected outcome here based on the weekend poll.

 

 

  1. Jurassic World threepeats (25 votes [25.25%])

     

  2. Inside Out (38 votes [38.38%])

     

  3. Ted 2 (36 votes [36.36%])

     

Edited by JennaJ
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