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WrathOfHan

Tuesday Actuals: Minions 16.84 | IO 3.29 | JW 2.79 (Page 8)

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JW crumbling....won't even hit 700

Minions: everyone hates it. Just look at RT audience scores. Itll be lucky to get a 2.5 multiplier.

 

Audiences have better to do than see Flop World and Flopions.

Maybe the studio should change it's name to Flopversal.

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Why the massive Tuesday jumps? Didnt either TS3 or DM2 drop on their first Tuesday?

Tuesdays have just been unusually strong this summer. No other explanation.

 

Minions looking good:

12.8

13.1 

17.5

22.5

18 

 

$228.9 million 10 day ($58 million for 2nd weekend) 

 

IO

2.5

2.4

4.0

5.3

4.1

 

$305.7 million by July 19th ($13.4 million 5th weekend)

 

JW

1.9

2.0

2.8

3.8

2.9 

 

$606.4 million by July 19 ($9.5 million 6th weekend) 

 

Minions making a run at $425-450 million DOM, IO making a run at $340-360 million DOM, JW chugging along to $640-650 million DOM... just a typical week of summer 2015  ;)

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You guys are smoking something special with them 450m predictions for Minions.

$58 million ($228 million)

$31 million ($289 million)

$22 million ($332 million)

$14 million ($359 million)

$9.5 million ($375 million)

$7 million ($384 million)

$5 million ($390 million)

$6.5 million/$8.5 million ($400 million)

$3.5 million ($404 million)

$2.5 million ($407 million)

 

$410-415 million DOM

 

That's assuming it drops 50%+ this weekend, and almost 50% against Pixels.

 

With zero competition, it should be able to do $375-400 million at the least. I liked IO far more than Minions, but I recognize the numbers. If it does $60-62 million for its 2nd weekend and $34-36 million next weekend, $400 million is pretty much locked with summer weekdays. 

 

$450 million would need a $68-70 million 2nd weekend... almost impossible unless WOM is phenomenal. 

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You guys are smoking something special with them 450m predictions for Minions.

 

 

It's not beating Shrek 2. It didn't beat Shrek 3's OW, it won't beat Shrek 2.

 

It may come close. But it's just not gonna do it.

 

Yeah. Shrek 2 had a 95m 4-day 2nd weekend which took it to 260m and was 314.5m by 3rd weekend. That's gonna stay safely away.

 

EDIT: Was just looking at Shrek 2's bo. What Shrek 2 earned on day 13 (memorial day) was more than what it earned on it's wed + thu opening (23.4m vs 11.78 + 9.15m) http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=shrek2.htm

Beast was a beast.

Edited by a2k
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I also think Minions could finish a bit higher than IO.

And I know Alfredstellar is gonna nag about our thoughts and think otherwise, because he is an IO-fanboy. I know him that well.

That's what fanboys do. They don't want another film to win over their favorite. I can imagine him saying something any minute now.

That's not how it goes. If a film does win over the other, we have to accept it. Don't be butthurt.

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Tuesdays have just been unusually strong this summer. No other explanation.

 

Minions looking good:

12.8

13.1 

17.5

22.5

18 

 

$228.9 million 10 day ($58 million for 2nd weekend) 

 

IO

2.5

2.4

4.0

5.3

4.1

 

$305.7 million by July 19th ($13.4 million 5th weekend)

 

JW

1.9

2.0

2.8

3.8

2.9 

 

$606.4 million by July 19 ($9.5 million 6th weekend) 

 

Minions making a run at $425-450 million DOM, IO making a run at $340-360 million DOM, JW chugging along to $640-650 million DOM... just a typical week of summer 2015  ;)

IO will get to $350M for sure if it gets $13M this weekend. $340M? I don't think it will go that low. More like $350-360M range especially if your prediction is accurate or is higher.

Edited by BEEJAYGRAD11
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