Official Weekend Estimates: Goosebumps - 23.5M; The Martian - 21.5M; Bridge of Spies - 15.4M; Crimson Peak - 12.9M (Page 1)

[grey ghost]

Del Toro needs Dark Justice League.

I feel like that could take him to the big leagues.

[grim22]

Deadline:

 

 

 

This weekend, Sonycontinues to dominate the autumn box office season – and the 24th James Bond filmSpectre hasn’t even opened yet. The studio is poised to land its fourth No. 1 opener in the last seven weeks with the Village Roadshow/LStar Capital co-productionGoosebumps which is winning Friday with an estimated $7.2M and will likely take No. 1 with an estimated $23.7M-$24.4M at 3,501 theaters. 

20th Century Fox’s The Martian is also looking solid tonight placing second on Friday with $6.5M and filing a third weekend of $22.6M per industry estimates that’s a -39% hold. Total estimated cume by Sunday: $144.7M.

Also feeling the sunshine from the fall B.O. is Disney/DreamWorks’ Bridge of Spiesfrom Steven Spielberg.  Even though the film earned an estimated $5.4M tonight per industry calculations, the town expects the film to hit $16.2M in third place; a higher spot than anticipated for this Cold War drama. Earlier today, PostTrak reported that Bridge’s passengers were 57% male and 86% over 25. 

Legendary’s Guillermo del Toro gothic horror pic Crimson Peak is coming in below expectations. Friday matinees pointed toward an $8M opening day after the film charted the highest among Thursday night previews with $855K, however, business tapered off this evening, and a B- CinemaScore had a sour impact on word of mouth and scared away business. Crimson Peak’s Friday is at an industry estimate of $5.55M with the film slotting in fifth for the weekend with $14M instead of third place with $18M-$20M which is what the industry was expecting (Uni always saw mid teens).

1). Goosebumps (SONY), 3,501 theaters / $7.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $23.7M-$24.4M /Wk 1
2). The Martian (FOX), 3,701 theaters (-153) / $6.5M Fri. (-40%) / 3-day cume: $22.6M (-40%)/ Total cume: $144.3M /Wk 3
3). Bridge Of Spies (DIS), 2,811 theaters / $5.45M Fri. / 3-day cume: $16.2M /Wk 1
4). Crimson Peak (UNI), 2,984 theaters / $5.55M Fri. / 3-day cume: $14M /Wk 1
5). Hotel Transylvania 2 (SONY), 3,533 theaters (-235) / $3.3M Fri. (-38%)/ 3-day cume: $13.5M (-34%) / Total cume:
137.5M /Wk 3
6). Pan (WB), 3,515 theaters (0) / $1.7M Fri. (-67%) / 3-day cume: $5.9M (-61%) /Total cume: $25.8M /Wk 2
7). The Intern (WB), 2,707 theaters (-517)/ $1.7M Fri. (-36%) / 3-day cume: $5.7M (-34%)/Total cume: $58.8M/Wk 4
8). Woodlawn (PURE), 1,553 theaters / $1.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.3M /Wk 1
9). Sicario (LGF), 2,130 theaters (-490) / $1.3M Fri. (-43%)/3-day cume: $4.4M (-42%) /Total cume: $34.3M /Wk 5
10). Maze Runner: Scorch Trials (FOX), 1,976 theaters (-871)/ $922K Fri. (-38%) / 3-day cume: $3.3M (-39%)/ Total cume: $75.9M/Wk 5

Notables:
Steve Jobs (UNI), 60 theaters (+56)/ $506K Fri. (-3%) / 3-day cume: $1.5M (+192%)/ Per screen: $25K / Total cume: $2.2M/Wk 2
Bruce Lee—The Fighter (INDI), 202 theaters / $160K Fri. / 3-day cume: $490K /Wk 1
Room (A24), 4 theaters / $35K Fri. / 3-day cume: $115K /Per screen: $29K /Wk 1
Beasts Of No Nation (BST), 31 theaters / $18K Fri. / 3-day cume: $54K /Wk 1
Truth (SPC), 6 theaters / $15K Fri. / 3-day cume: $49K /Wk 1
All Things Must Pass (GRAV), 2 theaters / $7K Fri. / 3-day cume: $21K /Wk 1
The Assassin (WLGO), 3 theaters / $7K Fri. / 3-day cume: $20K /Wk 1

Edited October 17, 2015 by grim22

[grey ghost]

Holy shit! There's a Bruce Lee movie?

Is it any good?

Edited October 17, 2015 by grey ghost

[TalismanRing]

Deadline instead of admitting their early projections were off on CP are trying to spin that the B- Cinemscore scared people away the SAME night to the tune of being off on their projection by over 40%?   Uh huh

[Mojoguy]

Deadline:

1). Goosebumps (SONY), 3,501 theaters / $7.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $23.7M-$24.4M /Wk 1

2). The Martian (FOX), 3,701 theaters (-153) / $6.5M Fri. (-40%) / 3-day cume: $22.6M (-40%)/ Total cume: $144.3M /Wk 3

3). Bridge Of Spies (DIS), 2,811 theaters / $5.45M Fri. / 3-day cume: $16.2M /Wk 1

4). Crimson Peak (UNI), 2,984 theaters / $5.55M Fri. / 3-day cume: $14M /Wk 1

5). Hotel Transylvania 2 (SONY), 3,533 theaters (-235) / $3.3M Fri. (-38%)/ 3-day cume: $13.5M (-34%) / Total cume: $137.5M /Wk 3

6). Pan (WB), 3,515 theaters (0) / $1.7M Fri. (-67%) / 3-day cume: $5.9M (-61%) /Total cume: $25.8M /Wk 2

7). The Intern (WB), 2,707 theaters (-517)/ $1.7M Fri. (-36%) / 3-day cume: $5.7M (-34%)/Total cume: $58.8M/Wk 4

8). Woodlawn (PURE), 1,553 theaters / $1.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.3M /Wk 1

9). Sicario (LGF), 2,130 theaters (-490) / $1.3M Fri. (-43%)/3-day cume: $4.4M (-42%) /Total cume: $34.3M /Wk 5

10). Maze Runner: Scorch Trials (FOX), 1,976 theaters (-871)/ $922K Fri. (-38%) / 3-day cume: $3.3M (-39%)/ Total cume: $75.9M/Wk 5

Wow! Pretty early update from Deadline tonight!

 

Good opening for Goosebumps, and another great drop for HT2! Where is the HT3 announcement from SONY?

[grim22]

Holy shit! There's a Bruce Lee movie?

Is it any good?

 

It's not a Bruce Lee movie, it is a Telugu movie titled Bruce Lee. It stars a big south Indian star and has been pretty anticipated among the Telugu audience.

Edited October 17, 2015 by grim22

[Fancyarcher]

Deadline instead of admitting their early projections were off on CP are trying to spin that the B- Cinemscore scared people away the SAME night to the tune of being off on their projection by over 40%?   Uh huh

 

I was just about to post how ridicolous that was, but you already saved me the pleasure.

 

Deadline just won't admit defeat sometimes.

[TStechnij]

Oh no, where is Room?

[TLK]

Emma Stone has about as much star power as JC does, really.

 

I don't think this is accurate. Chastain is a better actress but she doesn't have any star power. 

 

Emma's "starpower" certainly didn't help Aloha or her string of Woody Allen flops. 

 

Aloha was shit and Woody Allen movies have zero appeal for people who would watch Emma's movies. Crimson Peak is the sort of movie that could've appealed to her under-25 fanbase.

[grim22]

I was just about to post how ridicolous that was, but you already saved me the pleasure.

 

Deadline just won't admit defeat sometimes.

 

I think the Crimson Peak drop may have a lot to do with the bait and switch advertising. The reviews and the audience reaction is that it is not a horror movie, which is what the advertising was selling. Horror fans probably didn't care for a gothic romance.

[Mojoguy]

Goosebumps will win the weekend because as a family film it will have bigger Saturday bump than Martian.

 

No threepeat for Martian!

[MovieMan89]

That's not all that great of a drop for The Martian given its still relatively competition deprived. If it's already dropping 40%, the holds will not be good come November and Spectre. 

[Claire of Themyscira]

Crimson 5.5.

[Fancyarcher]

I think the Crimson Peak drop may have a lot to do with the bait and switch advertising. The reviews and the audience reaction is that it is not a horror movie, which is what the advertising was selling. Horror fans probably didn't care for a gothic romance.

 

Yeah, pretty much, though I don't necessarily blame Universal, since if they sold CP as a gothic thriller / romance, it probably wouldn't have even done 10m OW, just not a very popular genre with today's moviegoers.

Edited October 17, 2015 by FancyArcher

[Mojoguy]

Del Toro needs Dark Justice League.

I feel like that could take him to the big leagues.

The moment Del Toro decided to leave the Hobbit, he was doomed to live in the small leagues forever.

Edited October 17, 2015 by Mojoguy

[TLK]

Yeah, pretty much, though I don't necessarily blame Universal, since if they sold CP as a gothic thriller / romance, it probably wouldn't have even done 10m OW, just not a very popular genre with today's moviegoers.

 

Maybe WB should've also marketed Pan as a horror movie.

[solaris]

It's not THAT bad for the Martian... To drop around 40% in the face of 3 new openers doing around $55.m of new business is fine. And I imagine it'll inch up from these estimates.

[Fancyarcher]

Maybe WB should've also marketed Pan as a horror movie.

 

Well it certainly sounds like it's a horror movie in terms of production.

[babz06]

Crimson Peak is going to have a big drop next weekend. People are pissed that it's not a straight horror film, much more of a Gothic fantasy/romance tale.

[zackzack]

Jessica Chastain in the Top 2 again?

Jan 18-20, 2013: Zero Dark Thirty & Mama

Sept 2-4, 2011: The Help & The Debt