Romania Box Office

[John Rambo]

Yeah. Very likely. Unless something really breaks out.

Next week any biggies??? 

[James]

Next week any biggies??? 

You mean in its 3rd week? Not really, but unless it has great drops, Paper Towns or Southpaw will overtake it, even if they have debuts in the range of 15.000 adm. 

[John Rambo]

You mean in its 3rd week? Not really, but unless it has great drops, Paper Towns or Southpaw will overtake it, even if they have debuts in the range of 15.000 adm. 

Hows the WoM for MI:RN it seems to have less competition for next 2 weeks ??

[James]

Hows the WoM for MI:RN it seems to have less competition for next 2 weeks ??

The WOM is solid. It has a 8.4 grade on CineMagia and it should have some solid legs. And yeah, competition is not that big. The biggest movie in the next two months should be Maze Runner 2, which will probably come close to $1m. But you have other spy movies too: Hitman and Man from UNCLE (in 2 weeks). So that will hit it a bit.

[Purple Minion]

Some BO info on Romania, the Balkans and surrounding countries:

 

 

https://twitter.com/Screendaily/status/634008188736700416

Edited August 19, 2015 by Purple Minion

[PierreHP]

Some BO info on Romania, the Balkans and surrounding countries:

 

 

https://twitter.com/Screendaily/status/634008188736700416

Huge increase for Macedonia.

Never have I seen such increase.

[James]

WEEKEND BOX-OFFICE

 

 

Great overall weekend, thanks mostly to the insane holds for most of the movies.

 

- The Man From U.N.C.L.E. debuted on top, with 30.862 admissions and $155k. That is a decent enough opening for it and it looks like it should cross the $500k threadshold. 

 

- In second, Mission: impossible - Rogue Nation fell only 15% in its 4th outing and reached a very good $778k. It should pass it's predecessor by next week and it seems locked to end up with over $1m. Great legs for it.

 

- Minions increased 27% (!!!) in it's 7th weekend. With 382.376 adm it is already the most attended animated movie ever. It's $1.8m gross also makes it the 9th highest grossing movie of all time. It should have no problem ending up with over $2m.

 

- Southpaw increased 3% after it's somehow disappointing opening and now stands at an ok-ish $189k.

 

- Self/less had a good hold last week and an insane one this week (+4%).and the total is $286k. It already reached an over 3x multiplier and by the end of it's run it should hit well over 5x, a clear example that the romanian audiences like a good SF movie.

 

- Sinister 2 debuted with a weak (and standard for horror movies) 8.574 adm and $38k.

 

- The Fantastic Four eased 20% and the cume is a meh $180k.

 

- Barbie in Rock 'n Royals was up 38% but the total is still awful: $55k (Barbie is clearly no Tinker Bell when it comes to BO power).

 

- Ant-Man lost 3% but reached a good $559k.

 

- And Inside Out closes the top after an insane 44% increase in it's 10th week in release. The total is $734k and if it continues to hold really really well it might have a shot at passing 'Brave's $897k to become the third highest grossing Disney animation behind 'Frozen and 'Tangled'.

 

Top 10

 

 

Next weeks openers:

 

- Hitman: Agent 47

- Vacation

- Irrational Man

- Maya the Bee Movie

- Les vacances du petit Nicolas

- Toscaanse Bruiloft

 

So a lot of releases, the only ones with potential for over 10.000 adm being the first two.

 

2015 Top 20 so far:

 

[Mockingjay Raphael]

James, where are you? I'm worried

[CJohn]

James is most likely chilling around with some hot chicks

[James]

WEEKEND BOX-OFFICE

 

First of all: it's good to be back. Second: we just had a great weekend, boosted by decent newcomers and some great holds.

 

- Spectre maintained it's position at the top in it's second outing by sliding 41% and reaching a huge 210.106 admissions and $987k. While that's a steeper drop than 'Skyfall's, it's weekdays were stronger, so the gap between them actually increased. 'Spectre' will have no problem topping 'Skyfall's $1.54m and depending on how it will be hit by the last 'Hunger Games' movie next weekend (it's last major competitor till 'Star Wars'), it might end up over $1.8m (Top 10 All Time seems like a possibility).

 

- In second, Hotel Transylvania 2 had another incredible hold (-22%). After 3 weeks in play (including the 3rd biggest opening weekend for an animation ever), it reached a mighty sum of $858k and it will have no problem clearing $1m (easily the highest grossing animation of the year, aside from 'Minions', of course, which is the 8th highest grossing movie of ever in Romania) .

 

- Snow Queen opened in third with a bigger-than-expected 27.843 adm and $129k. That is very good for an unknown (and probably cheap) animation and with the Christmas season up ahead it should end up doing decent business.   

 

- In fourth, Goosebumps debuted with an ok 22.010 adm and $114k and if the WOM is good, as it appears to be, it might get close to $400k by the end of it's run.

 

- The Last Witch Hunter continues it's strong run, easing a measly 16% and reaching $706k. By the looks of it, it should near $900k by the end of it's run. A great and expected result (this type of movies, medieval fantasy, is probably the strongest genre in this market and this year we had very few titles like that).

 

- The Martian dipped only 19% and the total is now $1.11m. It already beat 'Gravity', even though it has no chance of coming close to 'Interstellar's $1.66m. Still, the yearly fall sci-fi blockbuster tradition continues. 

 

- Burnt eased just 11% in it's 4th weekend and the cume is $259k.

 

- Legend actually increased 2% in it's 5th outing and is now at a very good $420k.

 

- The Intern also increased by 9% and total is $454k.

 

- And after 9 weeks, Everest is ready to leave the Top 10. It fell 23% for an amazing cume of $850k.

 

TOP 10

 

 

Next week's openers:

 

- The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2

- By the Sea

- Papa ou maman

- Le tout nouveau testament

 

Last year, the previous installment of the 'Hunger Games' franchise opened with around 63k admissions. While I don't think the last entry will be able to break the 100.000k adm border, even with the finale factor, a debut in the 80.000 adm area seems likely.

 

As for the other three titles, I don't see any of them over 10.000 adm. 'By the Sea' may have a chance, but for now I doubt it. 

 

2015 TOP 10

 

*The bolded titles are still in theatres

 

Edited November 16, 2015 by James

[James]

The official thread for news, forecasts and data regarding the Romanian box office. 

[grim22]

The post has been moved from Box Office Discussion > Movie Discussions (Please Hide Spoilers!) > On The Lot... to Movie Discussions (Please Hide Spoilers!) > International Box Office. If you feel there has been a mistake please report the post.

[thunder storm]

Not a record! 

SW7 debuted with 175.276 adm. and $0.95M, behind FF7 (196.210 adm.)

[James]

Not a record! 

SW7 debuted with 175.276 adm. and $0.95M, behind FF7 (196.210 adm.)

It is a record in lc and USD. But yeah, adm wise, which is usually how the records are counted here, it fell short.

[James]

WEEKEND BOX-OFFICE

 

 

Just like in the last couple of years, the tradition of the last two weekends of December being the among the biggest of the year continued and all because of Star Wars amazing with it's debut.

 

- Star Wars: The Force Awakens opened with a record breaking $953k. The previous record holder, Fast and Furious 7, opened with $899k earlier this year. Star Wars also broke Fast's record debut in local currency. In admissions though, The Force Awakens fell short of the record. It sold 175.276 tickets in the 3-day frame, compared to the 196.210 of Furious 7. 

 

All in all, it is a great and surprising debut for Star Wars, towards which a large sum of factors contributed:

 

First of all, it was the huge number of showings: I always expected TFA to have the widest release ever, because Disney always has the biggest reach in term of screens, but even so I was amazed by the absolutely huge numbers of screens: 182. That is a big ass jump from the previous record holder (Inside Out, with 121) and it dwarfs the 75 screens Fast and Furious 7 played on. 

 

Second, there was the ticket price: Star Wars was available exclusively in 3D, IMAX 3D and in the 4DX format.

 

And third, there was the marketing (the biggest marketing push ever executed here) and the empty market place.

 

- As for the rest of the movies in Top 10, the only ones worth talking about are Love the Coopers, which continues to impress, dropping 34% from last week and reaching a very good $505k and Krampus, which eased a light 18% (a jaw-dropping hold for a horror movie).

 

Top 10

 

 

Next week's openers:

 

- The Peanuts Movie

- All Gone South

 

This coming weekend is traditionally the biggest weekend of the year and will have the lightest drops (The Hobbit dropped only 22% last year from it's monster debut).  Star Wars will rule again and could have the biggest week ever in terms of admissions and USD.

 

The Peanuts Movie will likely end in the 20.000 adm area for the 3-day holiday and All Gone South will debut under that number. 

 

It's also important to note that, since we receive information about the box office only once a week, Sunday will be the last day in the 2015 box office year. I will have a report for the overall year as well as predictions for the biggest movies of 2016 so stay close.

 

Top 10 Highest Grossing movies of 2015

 

 

***The bolded titles are still in theatres

[James]

Star Wars' weekdays were pretty strong but tomorrow (Friday 25th) most theaters are closed and today there were very few shows till 4-5PM and none after that so I imagine it will be quite hard or even impossible for SW to match The Hobbit 3's -22% hold (last year, Christmas day was on a Thursday). Still, I hope for over 200.000 admissions for the week (biggest week ever in adm is FF7's first week with 210.625).

[Wonka]

@Jameswhere do you think TFA will stop in terms of admissions? almost certain will do over 200k in this week, if not then it's dissappointing.I'm guessing it will stop around 750.000 admissions worst case, but hope to pass Avatar 880k, that would be something.

[James]

1 minute ago, Wonka said:

@Jameswhere do you think TFA will stop in terms of admissions? almost certain will do over 200k in this week, if not then it's dissappointing.I'm guessing it will stop around 750.000 admissions worst case, but hope to pass Avatar 880k, that would be something.

For now, 750.000 adm seems like absolutely the best case scenario. It all depends on the post-new year drops, that are usually quite big. And there are a lot of movies releasing, especially on Jan 8. IMO, it will end up in the 600.000 - 700.000 adm area. After this weekend we'll have a clearer picture about it.

[James]

2016 MARKET PREVIEW 

 

Even though 2015 will end up a bit lower than 2014 in USD, due to the exchange rate, the market growth continues at a steady rate (the Romanian market grew with by around 1m admissions every year for the past 3 years) and 2016 looks to continue the trend, being even more crowded with potentially huge hits than 2015 was.

 

Here you have my predictions for what I think will be the top movies of 2016.  

 

 

1.    Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – $2.3m
Even though most of the prequels, spin-offs, sequels have no problem increasing here from the originals, I think what The Force Awakens did was a perfect storm that can’t really be replicated, so a drop is in order. Still, Rogue One will be massive.

 

2.    Ice Age: Collision Course – $2.1m
Back in 2009, Ice Age 3 made $2.3m. In 2012, Ice Age 4 made $1.9m even though it sold more admissions than the previous film. With a much bigger market, expect this to give Rogue One a serious battle for the title of biggest movie of the year. Either way, it’ll be the biggest movie of the summer.

 

3.    Independence Day: Resurgence – $1.6m
Back in 1996, Independence Day sold over 600.000 admissions and it is currently the 12th most attended movie ever. Of course that sum cannot be reached by the sequel, but even so the big action spectacle all but guarantees huge numbers for this. 

 

4.    Alice Through the Looking Glass – $1.5m
Alice in Wonderland was the top grossing movie in 2010, with a huge $1.5m. Considering the market has doubled in size since then, I’m expecting this to make pretty much the same total, even with the worse ER (it will likely be released exclusively in 3D so the 3D ratio will be even better than in 2010 – more screens). 

5.    Warcraft  - $1.4m
This might turn out to be an outrageously stupid prediction, but this movie embodies the Romanian market taste so well. The epic fantasy genre is ALWAYS a hit here (see The Hobbit, Pirates of the Caribbean,  300: Rise of an Empire, Seventh Son, Hercules, The Legend of Hercules, Immortals, Noah, Pompeii, Dracula Untold etc.). Also, the trailer gets good reactions every time I see it. Combine that with the brand recognition and you have a potentially huge hit on your hands.

6.    Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice – $1.3m
This is another risky prediction. The Dark Knight Rises made over $1m back in 2012. Man of Steel wasn’t THAT big, but was still a hit. The fact that it’s the first big SH movie of the year, the market expansion and the great reactions to the trailers (plus the exclusive 3D release this will certainly get) make me believe BvS will easily outgross TDKR.  

 

7.    Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them – $1.2m
As I said before, prequels/spin-offs and sequels have no problem increasing here over originals and seeing how back in 2011, when the market was much smaller than now, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 made almost $1m, I fully expect Fantastic Beasts to make more than that.

 

8.    Captain America: Civil War – $1.15m
Captain America: The Winter Soldier made $900k in 2014, while both The Avengers and The Avengers: Age of Ultron made a bit over $1.2m. The only Marvel movie that broke the chain was Thor 2, which is currently the highest grossing CBM flick, with $1.47m. I am seeing Civil War coming somewhere in the middle.

 

9.    Gods of Egypt – $1.1m
Same reasons as Warcraft.

 

10.    Inferno - $1m
It’s worth noting that in 2006, ‘The Da Vinci Code’ sold more tickets and beat ROTS by far, being no.1 for the year. In 2009, ‘Angels and Demons’ was no. 11 for the year, despite making the same money as ‘Da Vinci’. In the meantime, inflation became a huge factor and the Dan Brown brand grew immensely (‘Inferno’ was the best-selling book in the country in 2013 and that despite the fact that it was released only three months before the end of the year and it continued to sell well in 2014). The market now is 12-13x bigger than it was when The Da Vinci Code was released and 2.5x bigger than when Angels & Demons opened. 

 

Other movies with $1m potential are (in no particular order):

-    Now You See Me 2 (the first movie made almost $1.1m)
-    X-Men: Apocalypse
-    Kung Fu Panda 3
-    The Divergent Series: Allegiant
-    The Jungle Book
-    Finding Dory
-    The Legend of Tarzan
-    The Great Wall
-    Moana
 

[James]

I see the Romania box office part of BOM is back up and running but their numbers from earlier this year are awfully off (they reported MJ2 gross to be over $2m a few werks back and now they are reporting $1m, both being wrong - same with all the other movies) and even the numbers from this week are too big. It is likely they take the number of adm and multiply it by the average ticket price which is stupid, considering there are 1000 different types of discounts. I don't know where they get their numbers from but they are far from exact.