Daxtreme Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 2 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: The 2nd Sunday-Monday drop is very similar to ROTK, not sure if you actually looked. It's shaping up to look like ROTK more and more, which is the whole point of my post...? I'm trying to predict final results here, which is why I based myself on ROTK. I might have went overboard a bit with the "not a single day" part, but apart from 1 or 2 days, it's still overwhelmingly true. The mere fact that a movie with those numbers has legs superior to ROTK is ridiculous, you seem to forget that at every turn though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 BoxOffice @BoxOffice THE REVENANT took in $117,768 on Monday from 4 locations and has grossed $592,328 in 4 days domestically. #TheRevenant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 4 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: I think if TFA is too beat Avatar it will need to hit 1.2b+ DOM. I don't see it doing that with these numbers, I really don't see this film having the same legs as Avatar. Considering that Avatar made around 283m/750m (DOM) of it's original run in December SW7 will have to keep up these numbers for ages. Welcome aboard. No one is saying it is going to have Avatar legs.....but for it to do more than a billion only requires just north of a 4X. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Just now, GiantCALBears said: Another new member! Coming in droves this morning, welcome! Hi, I found this site trying to google box office numbers and this one seemed the best by far. I'm cheering for Avatar, I hope this doesn't upset anyone. I'm hoping for Avatar 1-4 and Titanic to be the top 5 international all time highest grossing films by 2020. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 I've tried to create a fairly conservative model that blends Avatar and Sherlock Holmes (With a little of Edge of Darkness late). I don't expect TFA to hold close to Avatar's numbers, but I don't expect it do drop faster on avg than SH (a large Christmas movie), so it seemed as good a blend as any. FWIW, that model has it at 647.7 on Thurs and 736.8 through Sunday, passing Avatar (unadjusted) on Thur Jan 7th. (day 21). If the holds are just slightly better (about 1%) then both 650 and JW would be in play on Thur (Day 14). I did actually include a bigger than typical NY Eve Thursday drop since the college football semi-finals are NY Eve and I think that will degrade box office a little more than normal (First time they have ever been on NYE). The model would have it just missing $1B at about $975-980. Big dates estimated It currently estimates passing 600M on Day 12, today (just barely - 600.2). (JW day 36) 650 on day 15, Friday (just missing day 14) (Avatar day 58) 700 on day 16, Saturday (Avatar day 72) 750 on day 19, Tues 1/5 760 and Avatar on day 21, Thur 1/7(Avatar was pulled at 749.8 in August 2010, so based on first run 750 would be the target - got another 10.7M with a SE re-release Labor Day weekend 2010) 800 on day 24, Sun 1/10 850 on day 31, Thur 1/17 900 on day 41, Wed 1/27 950 on day 59, Sun 2/14 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 2 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: Let's make a wager giantcal. As long as it's over 20 million on Thursday, I'll bet you a forum donation that it does 100 million or more for the weekend. Say $25.00? Let's wait until Thursday so we both have a chance to see the weekday holds but I'd likely be down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Shorts Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 What Disney movies are coming out the first 4 months of the year? You gotta believe that Disney will push this to $1B if it's within 20-30M. They're saving all their fudge points for the end! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Just now, IronJimbo said: Hi, I found this site trying to google box office numbers and this one seemed the best by far. I'm cheering for Avatar, I hope this doesn't upset anyone. I'm hoping for Avatar 1-4 and Titanic to be the top 5 international all time highest grossing films by 2020. Welcome to the forums! Glad to have you! Hope you have fun here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Shorts Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 1 minute ago, IronJimbo said: Hi, I found this site trying to google box office numbers and this one seemed the best by far. I'm cheering for Avatar, I hope this doesn't upset anyone. I'm hoping for Avatar 1-4 and Titanic to be the top 5 international all time highest grossing films by 2020. Welcome to the forums! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said: Let's wait until Thursday so we both have a chance to see the weekday holds but I'd likely be down. Sounds fair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoSaysI Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 1 minute ago, Jim Shorts said: What Disney movies are coming out the first 4 months of the year? You gotta believe that Disney will push this to $1B if it's within 20-30M. They're saving all their fudge points for the end! The Finest Hours comes out at the end of January and Zootopia at the beginning of March. The Jungle Book comes out in April but by then Star Wars won't be making any money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 2 minutes ago, Jim Shorts said: What Disney movies are coming out the first 4 months of the year? You gotta believe that Disney will push this to $1B if it's within 20-30M. They're saving all their fudge points for the end! There's The Finest Hours, but that seems more like a dump than anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
e1828 Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 (edited) Rank Title Studio Days to Gross-to-Date Date Total Gross Release Date $550m 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV 11 $571,458,914 12/28/15 $571,458,914 12/18/15 2 Jurassic World Uni. 24 $556,542,980 7/5/15 $652,270,625 6/12/15 3 The Avengers BV 31 $552,950,398 6/3/12 $623,357,910 5/4/12 4 Avatar Fox 38 $551,741,499 1/24/10 $749,766,139 12/18/09 5 Titanic Par. 121 $552,306,658 4/18/98 $600,788,188 12/19/97 Will put up the fastest to $600 million tomorrow, BOM should really include these charts too since we now have 5 movies that have crosses $550 million and $600 million in their initial domestic runs. Edited December 29, 2015 by e1828 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
movieboner Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Wow, this has a potential of making $900 million+ domestically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted December 29, 2015 Author Share Posted December 29, 2015 I feel so "out" with these bets. I want in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoSaysI Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Just now, movieboner said: Wow, this has a potential of making $900 million+ domestically. That is a lock. The only question at this point is whether it will cross a billion domestically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 8 minutes ago, Daxtreme said: It's shaping up to look like ROTK more and more, which is the whole point of my post...? I'm trying to predict final results here, which is why I based myself on ROTK. I might have went overboard a bit with the "not a single day" part, but apart from 1 or 2 days, it's still overwhelmingly true. The mere fact that a movie with those numbers has legs superior to ROTK is ridiculous, you seem to forget that at every turn though. It has up to now, who says it will continue that way? I didn't forget the holds have been impressive to date but thanks anyways. Now that it is tracking closer to ROTK after outperforming it means the holds are worsening in a relative comparison FYI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 7 minutes ago, #ED2-D2 said: Why bet? Just Donate. more fun this way... 10 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: How about a $20 forum donation that this hits $1 billion by March 1st. I say it does. I do not look out for milestones, but the forum can use the money, actual it gets some, but I am afraid about a few rather dry months later on. So if no one takes you on, I can be your paying partner 6 minutes ago, Jayhawk the Hutt said: This forum has practically become the sportsbook at the Venetian. As more as better... 4 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: Let's make a wager giantcal. As long as it's over 20 million on Thursday, I'll bet you a forum donation that it does 100 million or more for the weekend. Say $25.00? 1 minute ago, IronJimbo said: Hi, I found this site trying to google box office numbers and this one seemed the best by far. I'm cheering for Avatar, I hope this doesn't upset anyone. I'm hoping for Avatar 1-4 and Titanic to be the top 5 international all time highest grossing films by 2020. Deadline Hollywood @Deadline New Year’s Box Office: ‘Star Wars’ Expected To Blast Past $700M As Top 10 Awaits ‘Hateful Eight’ http://deadline.com/2015/12/box-office-star-wars-hateful-eight-new-years-weekend-1201673815/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter … 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said: It has up to now, who says it will continue that way? I didn't forget the holds have been impressive to date but thanks anyways. Now that it is tracking closer to ROTK after outperforming it means the holds are worsening in a relative comparison FYI. So, shoot your predictions then? I'm pulling out all those numbers, as are everyone, but you're just sitting there denying everything and claiming everyone is wrong. So, be my guest. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 How would a vote on here look when asked the question will "Star Wars make 2.8B internationally?", how many people on here think it can do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
