kesleyk Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 17 minutes ago, SoSaysI said: Avatar owns the 3rd through 7th weekend records (well third weekend record it will own until Sunday). After that it is Titanic. Av owns 3rd, 6th, 7th weekends, unless you want to limit it to wide releases only. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kesleyk Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 3 minutes ago, HeyItsMoses said: $650 by Thursday is a lock, right? Not a lock, but pretty good chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) 2 minutes ago, kesleyk said: Av owns 3rd, 6th, 7th weekends, unless you want to limit it to wide releases only. As it should be, wide only. Let's release a film in 1 theater for 13 weeks and then expand wide and it gets the record for biggest 14th and 15th week-ends? Bullshit. It's its first real week-end, and the records on boxofficemojo show that, by ignoring non-wide release week-ends. Thus, Avatar has 3rd through 7th week-ends, not American Sniper. Edited December 30, 2015 by Daxtreme 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMan7 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 So it's looking good for a 90 - 100M 3rd weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kesleyk Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Dax, that's fine, but you didn't quote the BOM charts, you used the Numbers chart, which is to what i thought you wanted to reference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 1 hour ago, Chewy said: holy clickbait Especially funny given that The Force Awakens is a lot more diverse than any of the Star Wars films he made. Its even got a female protagonist! Poor Jorge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 45 minutes till Crees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 7 minutes ago, kesleyk said: Dax, that's fine, but you didn't quote the BOM charts, you used the Numbers chart, which is to what i thought you wanted to reference. It's weird that they use that. Seems really arbitrary and only really benefits this movie in particular. And kind of undermines the incredible records that Avatar set in its 4th and 5th week-ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kesleyk Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 1 minute ago, Daxtreme said: It's weird that they use that. Seems really arbitrary and only really benefits this movie in particular. And kind of undermines the incredible records that Avatar set in its 4th and 5th week-ends. Yeah, it's a statistical anomaly which is kind of interesting if not very representative. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 12 minutes ago, DMan7 said: So it's looking good for a 90 - 100M 3rd weekend? Definitely. Unless today and tomorrow change drastically from the pattern we're seeing I would say $90 million is the absolute floor. If it's weekend/Mon-Tues ratio is the same as last weeks we'd be looking at a $115 million weekend. My target is $98 million though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 I think mine makes so much more sense. The big thing to remember. After ANH in 1977 during Carter's presidency the US went through several years of double digit inflation. It seems that Star Wars and prior me and BOM line up pretty close. Its after that where I think BOMs method is flawed. I will add the reason my method actually has Avatar higher than BOM is because inflation has outpaced ticket prices and not vice versa like it had the 25+ years prior. Edit 3- Also note every movie above Titanic was released before the VCR was in every household. Its spectacular that Titanic was able to even get close. Its seems pretty clear that the VCR was the single biggest change to the movie landscape, digital may be taking another bit out of the Box office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Durden Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 Weekend Forecast: 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens', 'The Hateful Eight' & 'Daddy’s Home' 1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 98m / Total: 751m 2. The Hateful Eight - 25m / Total: 42.7m 3. Daddy's Home - 23m / Total: 87.5m 4. Sisters - 12.7m / Total: 63m 5. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 12m / Total: 67.3m http://pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2015-12-weekend-forecast-star-wars-the-force-awakens-the-hateful-eight-daddys-home 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
solaris Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 43 minutes ago, DMan7 said: So it's looking good for a 90 - 100M 3rd weekend? I'm still holding out for a $105m weekend. Something like $35m / $40m / $30m. Is my Sunday drop a bit optimistic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cochofles Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 To Star Wars: The Force Awakens, SW fans, and JJ Abrams: respect. You gotta give props to this phenomenon. 600 million dollars in 12 fricking days!! Nothing compares to the stunningly enduring appeal of Star Wars. I was just watching the animated DC film Justice League: Crisis on Two Earths, and one of the characters, Looker, tries to mentally control the Flash, and one of the things he says is "Is this like one of those Jedi mind tricks?," and that makes me think about how ingrained in our collective consciousness SW is; I don't think we'll ever see another cultural icon with this kind of continued popularity. The day TFA passes Avatar, I am gonna watch the James Cameron epic just for the heck of it, and to say, "old friend, you had a good run!" 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMan7 Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 2 minutes ago, solaris said: I'm still holding out for a $105m weekend. Something like $35m / $40m / $30m. Is my Sunday drop a bit optimistic? With any other movie yes it is a bit too optimistic. But with Star Wars anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 15 hours ago, kayumanggi said: #StarWarsTheForceAwakens looking at $29-30M TUE shattering $600M in record 12.5 days w/ plenty o' holiday biz to come. — Gitesh Pandya (@giteshpandya) December 30, 2015 Gitesh sounds so butthurt it's ridiculous with his 12.5 nonsense. If he's going to be a smartass be precise and say 12.20833 days. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 8 minutes ago, Luiz Nando said: Weekend Forecast: 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens', 'The Hateful Eight' & 'Daddy’s Home' 1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 98m / Total: 751m 2. The Hateful Eight - 25m / Total: 42.7m 3. Daddy's Home - 23m / Total: 87.5m 4. Sisters - 12.7m / Total: 63m 5. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 12m / Total: 67.3m http://pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2015-12-weekend-forecast-star-wars-the-force-awakens-the-hateful-eight-daddys-home too low. They are essentially predicting TFA to be Monday through Wed+ 8 mil or so. That would have to be like a 34-40-24 weekend. Not seeing sunday lower than this monday. Lets make Sunday = to monday (last week it was +3 despite a massive storm), lets give friday (a holiday) a measly 23% boost over Tuesday(worse than last weeks boost). So 37-44-30.... Thats not overly generous and it gets us to 111 million. (and it passes Avatar likely on Sunday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 Just now, druv10 Maul said: Gitesh sounds so butthurt it's ridiculous with his 12.5 nonsense. If he's going to be a smartass be precise and say 12.20833 days. That's pushing nitpicking to a whole new level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 With Avatar's drops it gets to 110m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 4 minutes ago, lab276 said: With Avatar's drops it gets to 110m. Avatar dropped less than 10% from its 2nd weekend to 3rd. If TFA did the same it would have a $135 million 3rd weekend. It's going to drop at least 25% from its 2nd to 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
