88TH ANNUAL ACADEMY AWARDS Discussion Topic (LIVE! Today's discussion begins on pg 33)

[GiantCALBears]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

The Revenant too. I still don't see TFA losing though.

Revenant is at 8% compared to the other two which are TFA 60% & Mad Max 30%. Would be a stunning upset and will pay quite handsomely if it's Revenant.

[Chewy]

27 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Not gonna happen.

 

Not with that attitude, it won't

[GiantCALBears]

2 minutes ago, Total Treecall said:

The odds are crap on that, 6/4 for Mad Max. If it wins you get your deposit plus only 50% back. Not really worth the risk when TFA is looking likely to win.

Tree guess who all the public money is likely coming in on, the fact that it's that close is almost a tell that Mad Max has a really good shot to win.

[GiantCALBears]

Here are the relatively close categories guys (that aren't short films) give me your predictions specifically on these: Costume Design, Makeup, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects.

[CoolioD1]

Just now, GiantCALBears said:

Here are the relatively close categories guys (that aren't short films) give me your predictions specifically on these: Costume Design, Makeup, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects.

totally wouldn't surprise me if mad max wins all of those.

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

Here are the relatively close categories guys (that aren't short films) give me your predictions specifically on these: Costume Design, Makeup, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects.

I have Mad Max winning the first two and TFA on the last three. I don't think Makeup is a close category.

[GiantCALBears]

Just now, CoolioD1 said:

totally wouldn't surprise me if mad max wins all of those.

They are favored in all of those but Visual Effects but none are in the lock range.

[WrathOfHan]

http://www.ibtimes.com/oscars-2016-presenters-list-what-celebrities-will-be-attending-88th-academy-awards-2325448

 

Oh shit, Joe Biden is going to be a presenter, guess he's for BP.

[GiantCALBears]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

I have Mad Max winning the first two and TFA on the last three. I don't think Makeup is a close category.

Revenant has a 21% shot according to PredictWise in makeup, it's a long shot but not that unlikely given the variance in the smaller categories. Sound Editing has TFA at 6% & mixing at 2% so you may want to rethink those.

[CoolioD1]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

http://www.ibtimes.com/oscars-2016-presenters-list-what-celebrities-will-be-attending-88th-academy-awards-2325448

 

Oh shit, Joe Biden is going to be a presenter, guess he's for BP.

joe biden's presenting lady gaga's performance actually, which doesn't totally tip the scales for who's gonna win that award at all.

[Avatree]

So, anyone want to offer me any advice. I have never bet on anything before, was going to last year but didn't have any money 

 

 

 

I am thinking about these bets as these are the nominees who I am predicting to win:

 

Supporting Actor, RYLANCE - 11/4

 

Supporting Actress, WINSLET - 11/4

 

Documentary, LOOK OF SILENCE - 12/1

 

Costumes, DANISH GIRL - 14/1

 

Song, SIMPLE SONG - 7/1 (I have no idea what will win best song, have not got a prediction)

 

 

 

Other bets that have potential as upsets:

 

Picture, SPOTLIGHT - 10/3

 

Director, MILLER - 7/1

 

Screenplay, COMPTON - 25/1

 

Score, WILLIAMS - 4/1

 

Production Design, REVENANT - 10/1

Production Design, DANISH GIRL - 12/1

 

Editing, BIG SHORT - 9/4

Editing, REVENANT - 14/1

 

 

Edited February 28, 2016 by Total Treecall

[CaptainJackSparrow]

The only film I say here that was nominated was Star Wars. I have no interest in seeing the rest. 

[RichWS]

1 minute ago, CaptainJackSparrow said:

The only film I say here that was nominated was Star Wars. I have no interest in seeing the rest. 

 

[filmlover]

11 minutes ago, CaptainJackSparrow said:

The only film I say here that was nominated was Star Wars. I have no interest in seeing the rest. 

How mainstream of you.

[CoolioD1]

this is the worst night of my life those oscarless leo memes will be bludgeoned to death tonight.

[filmlover]

Just now, CoolioD1 said:

this is the worst night of my life those oscarless leo memes will be bludgeoned to death tonight.

At least we don't have to worry anymore about him losing his mind.

 

 

"Save my baby boy." - Leo's Mom

[Fancyarcher]

15 minutes ago, CaptainJackSparrow said:

The only film I say here that was nominated was Star Wars. I have no interest in seeing the rest. 

Edgy!

[Blankments]

My personal rankings for categories I saw all the movies in:

 

Best Picture: 
1. Room
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. The Big Short
4. Brooklyn
5. Bridge of Spies
6. Spotlight
7. The Martian
8. The Revenant

Best Director: 
1. George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Adam McKay, The Big Short
3. Lenny Abrahamson, Room
4. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant
5. Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Best Supporting Actor: 
1. Sylvester Stallone, Creed
2. Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
3. Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
4. Tom Hardy, The Revenant
5. Christian Bale, The Big Short

Best Supporting Actress: 
1. Rooney Mara, Carol
2. Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
3. Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
4. Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
5. Rachel McAdams, Spotlight

Best Original Screenplay: 
1. Inside Out
2. Bridge of Spies
3. Spotlight
4. Straight Outta Compton
5. Ex Machina

Best Adapted Screenplay: 
1. Room
2. The Big Short
3. Brooklyn
4. Carol
5. The Martian

Best Cinematography: 
1. The Hateful Eight
2. Sicario
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Carol
5. The Revenant

Best Costume Design: 
1. Cinderella
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Carol
4. The Revenant
5. The Danish Girl

Best Film Editing: 
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. The Big Short
3. Spotlight
4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
5. The Revenant

Best Production Design:
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Bridge of Spies
3. The Martian
4. The Danish Girl
5. The Revenant

Best Original Score: 
1. Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight
2. Carter Burwell, Carol
3. John Williams, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. Johann Johannsson, Sicario
5. Thomas Newman, Bridge of Spies

Best Original Song: (didn't see these all, but I listened to them all)
1. "Manta Ray," Racing Extinction
2. "Earned It," Fifty Shades of Grey
3. "Simple Song #3," Youth
4. "Til It Happens to You," The Hunting Ground
5. "Writing's on the Wall," Spectre

Best Sound Editing: 
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. The Revenant
4. Sicario
5. The Martian

Best Sound Mixing: 
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. The Revenant
4. The Martian
5. Bridge of Spies

Best Visual Effects: 
1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Ex Machina
4. The Martian
5. The Revenant

[WrathOfHan]

31 minutes ago, Total Treecall said:

So, anyone want to offer me any advice. I have never bet on anything before, was going to last year but didn't have any money 

 

 

 

I am thinking about these bets as these are the nominees who I am predicting to win:

 

Supporting Actor, RYLANCE - 11/4

 

Supporting Actress, WINSLET - 11/4

 

Documentary, LOOK OF SILENCE - 12/1

 

Costumes, DANISH GIRL - 14/1

 

Song, SIMPLE SONG - 7/1 (I have no idea what will win best song, have not got a prediction)

 

 

 

Other bets that have potential as upsets:

 

Picture, SPOTLIGHT - 10/3

 

Director, MILLER - 7/1

 

Screenplay, COMPTON - 25/1

 

Score, WILLIAMS - 4/1

 

Production Design, REVENANT - 10/1

Production Design, DANISH GIRL - 12/1

 

Editing, BIG SHORT - 9/4

Editing, REVENANT - 14/1

 

 

Revenant in Editing wouldn't be a bad investment. I don't think it happens but the odds are high enough that investing a single dollar can gain a big profit. Williams isn't bad either. Invest in Winslet at your discretion, that race is really close

[CoolioD1]

2 minutes ago, Blankments said:

Best Costume Design: 
1. Cinderella
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Carol
4. The Revenant
5. The Danish Girl

ugh