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Bishop54

Weekend Thread: Grimsby Bros leads the way with massive 3.1M, 10CL has decent 25.2M, Zootopia crumbles to $50M ;) P.31

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1 minute ago, Bishop54 said:

Should I be happy with that 10CL number?

Absolutely. It's a low-budget thriller with no draws in the cast that's tenuously connected to a divisive found footage movie from eight years ago, that also wasn't on the release schedule until two months ago.

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4 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

Wouldn't it be awesome if Zoo were still #1 next week?

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Zootopia: $38.5 million ($210 million)

Allegiant: $37 million

Miracles From Heaven: $21 million ($27 million)

10 Cloverfield Lane: $14 million ($50 million)

Deadpool: $8 million ($341 million)

 

I'm expecting it. Unlike CF, Insurgent wasn't well-liked. The drop-off for Allegiant will be very noticeable. 

 

Maze Runner 2 #s wouldn't be very surprising

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Hell, next weekend, Zootopia might enter the top 10 3rd weekends of all time!

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/moreweekends.htm?page=3&p=.htm

 

1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $90,241,673 9.7% 4,134 $21,829 $930,708,260 12/18/15
2 Avatar Fox $68,490,688 9.1% 3,461 $19,789 $749,766,139 12/18/09
3 Marvel's The Avengers BV $55,644,102 8.9% 4,249 $13,096 $623,357,910 5/4/12
4 Jurassic World Uni. $54,532,615 8.4% 4,198 $12,990 $652,270,625 6/12/15
5 Spider-Man Sony $45,036,912 11.2% 3,615 $12,458 $403,706,375 5/3/02
6 The Dark Knight WB $42,664,219 8.0% 4,266 $10,001 $533,345,358 7/18/08
7 Avengers: Age of Ultron BV $38,859,900 8.5% 4,276 $9,088 $459,005,868 5/1/15
8 Shrek 2 DW $37,931,716 8.6% 4,131 $9,182 $441,226,247 5/19/04
9 Iron Man 3 BV $35,770,094 8.7% 4,237 $8,442 $409,013,994 5/3/13
10 The Dark Knight Rises WB $35,737,330 8.0% 4,242 $8,425 $448,139,099 7/20/12
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My forecast for Zootopia's weekends:

 

Mar 18: 37M

Mar 25: 25M

Apr 1: 16.7M

Apr 8: 12M

Apr 15: 7.3M

Apr 22: 4.7M

Apr 29: 3.2M

May 6: 2.1M

May 13: 1.4M

May 20: 700k

 

110.1M from these remaining weekends. 300M just got a lot more likely :) I don't think it'll have it's first sub-1M weekend till Angry Birds, Ratchet and Clank is a nonstarter. 

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DAYUM, 2016 has been a year of surprises so far, arguably overall more exciting than 2015 was at this exact point. Zootopia w/what a year ago I thought would be pretty good for its opening weekend as a 2nd weekend gross. Extremely impressive. If it drops another mere 30% next week, it has a genuine shot at threepeating and edging out Allegiant, and I'm seriously rooting for that to happen (c'mon Zootopia!!!).

 

10 Cloverfield Lane not pulling off the 30M I hoped, but oh well, it didn't have to, anyway. It's already a success, probably recovering its budget w/marketing included on OW. Here's to hope for acceptable legs that carry it to 80M, if not 100M (wouldn't it be hilarious if this actually outperformed the original domestically?).

 

Deadpool also very impressive w/another impeccable drop. American Sniper is down at this point. If Fox can hold it in theatres until late April, possibly May even, it may beat The Passion Of The Christ as well.

 

Unfortunely, the epic bombage of Grimsby completely fucked over my derby. Shame. Oh well.

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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

My forecast for Zootopia's weekends:

 

Mar 18: 37M

Mar 25: 25M

Apr 1: 16.7M

Apr 8: 12M

Apr 15: 7.3M

Apr 22: 4.7M

Apr 29: 3.2M

May 6: 2.1M

May 13: 1.4M

May 20: 700k

 

110.1M from these remaining weekends. 300M just got a lot more likely :) I don't think it'll have it's first sub-1M weekend till Angry Birds, Ratchet and Clank is a nonstarter. 

The dream is still alive

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