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Olive

Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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6 minutes ago, James said:

That's about a day difference. Olive, would it be possible for you to give us another update tomorrow, to have an exact comparison? On another note, I find it a bit weird that OD presales are so strng compared to midnights vs. Doctor Strange. It appears Marvel is more fan-driven than HP in China. The same seems to be happening in the rest of the world too, which can only be good for FB's legs.  

Yes, I'll post the latest numbers tomorrow

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On Thursday, November 17, 2016 at 10:24 AM, James said:

That's about a day difference. Olive, would it be possible for you to give us another update tomorrow, to have an exact comparison? On another note, I find it a bit weird that OD presales are so strng compared to midnights vs. Doctor Strange. It appears Marvel is more fan-driven than HP in China. The same seems to be happening in the rest of the world too, which can only be good for FB's legs.  

Dr Strange is an older demo, FB MN will be smaller relative to OD than DS. FB is a behind DS but it should have a bigger surge closer to OD.

Here are CA3 and XMA's daily PS. I think JB would be a better comparison though. Don't have the dailies for that, but it wound up with 20m in PS, which ramped up late, and an 80m OD.

 

I will edit as the dailies come in

 

Edit. I still think it ramps up faster closer to OD and 100m is possible, For now its looking like another 60-80mOD which has been the sweet spot lately.

 

              CA3.                    XMA                   FB                  

1am  MN      OD               OD                MN     OD         

Th      0.8     2.4                2.3             

Fr      1.2     3.6 +50%      3.2 +39%     0.2     1.1

SA     1.8     6.2 +72%      4.2 +31%     0.4     1.9 +73%

Su     2.1     8.1 +31%      4.9 +16%     0.5     2.8 +47%

Mo    2.8.   11.9 +47%      6.2 +27%    0.6     3.9 +39%

Tu     3.5    16.3 +37%      9.0 +45%    0.7     5.4 +38%

We    4.8    25.4 +56%    11.1 +23%    0.9     7.9 +46%

Th     6.4    37.9 +50%    17.8 +60%    1.1   12.5 +52%

OD   18.1   65.8 +75%    31.6 +78%   

                                                    

CA3 OD Fri 5/6

OD Total  181m           x PS          2.75x  
OW Total 625m           Total       1245m

OD  Multi 6.88              OW Multi  1.99x

2.75 PS multi is in line with the norm for tentpoles

 

XMA OD Fri 6/3

OD Total   110m           x PS          3.48x
OW Total  384m           Total         803m

OD  Multi   7.3x            OW Multi   2.09x

3.48 PS multi is high due to weak PS, VG WOM and strong walk ups

Edited by POTUS
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28 minutes ago, Olive said:


Doctor Strange[6 days +5.5 hours]
Midnight presales 500k
OD presales 1.82M
 
Fantastic Beasts[6 days + 3.5 hours]
Midnight presales 377k
OD presales 1.81M

That's more like it! Hopefully FB has great WOM in China too and reaches 100m.

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Just realised, Luc Besson co-wrote/produced (or did the 1s draft ot whatever) Yongshi zhi men / Warriors Gate, seemingly getting released today. Seems to be a teen's movie.

Any tracking, predictions, impressions? Has he a 'name' in China? Curious because Lucy 2 and Valerian

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Doctor Strange[5 days +4 hours]
Midnight presales 588k
OD presales 2.26M

 

[5 days + 4.5 hours]

Fantastic Beasts
Midnight presales 461k
OD presales 2.55M

 

Moana OD 370k

Edited by Olive
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1 hour ago, Olive said:

Doctor Strange[5 days +4 hours]
Midnight presales 588k
OD presales 2.26M

 

[5 days + 4.5 hours]

Fantastic Beasts
Midnight presales 461k
OD presales 2.55M

 

Moana OD 370k

I have learned not to trust presales so much, but that looks like a good sign.

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23 hours ago, terrestrial said:

Just realised, Luc Besson co-wrote/produced (or did the 1s draft ot whatever) Yongshi zhi men / Warriors Gate, seemingly getting released today. Seems to be a teen's movie.

Any tracking, predictions, impressions? Has he a 'name' in China? Curious because Lucy 2 and Valerian

 

Looks like a total disaster with less than $1 mln OD. 

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4 hours ago, Olive said:

Doctor Strange[4 days + 5.5 hours]
Midnight presales 671k
OD presales 2.70M
 
[4 days + 5.5 hours]
Fantastic Beasts
Midnight presales 558k
OD presales 3.5M
 
Moana OD 510k

If wonder if by OD FB will also beat DS in midnight presales too, not just OD. I guess so. 

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