Cooper Legion Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Pleasantly surprised. A 40M final presale would be great. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 6 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Pleasantly surprised. A 40M final presale would be great. the increase today was significantly stronger than BP, this bodes well for tomorrow's PS and the good WoM that firedeep has reported makes it likely for AM2 to have a better Fri to WE ratio than BP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 1 hour ago, pepsa said: Well I wasn't at home when it reached MN but 1 hour later it's at 23.73m. So my guess for MN is 23.45m a 52.07% increase. A lot stronger than the 40% of BP. A 60% increase tomorrow would give a 37.52m final presale (BP did 65%) 65% would give us 38.7m 70% would give 39.87m 75% would give 41.04m 80% would give 42.21m 85% would give 43.38m My guess would be an increase between 70% - 75% tomorrow. 50% today usually means 75-80% tomorrow 40-42m final PS incoming PSm has been all over the place, should be at least 3x could be 4x $55-70m OW no more than 2x OW with MI6 opening next weekend 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 4 minutes ago, POTUS said: 50% today usually means 75-80% tomorrow 40-42m final PS incoming PSm has been all over the place, should be at least 3x could be 4x $55-70m OW no more than 2x OW with MI6 opening next weekend What do you expect for it's sat jump and sunday drop? 41m PS 125m Friday, 132m (7m MN) (3x multi drop PS) Sat + 30% or 40%? Sunday a 25-30% drop? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, POTUS said: 50% today usually means 75-80% tomorrow 40-42m final PS incoming PSm has been all over the place, should be at least 3x could be 4x $55-70m OW no more than 2x OW with MI6 opening next weekend 63*1.8 should be enough to be the top solo MCU in lc 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 On 8/21/2018 at 11:45 PM, ZeeSoh said: Ant Man 2 (2 days out) Midnight - 2.26m OD - 15.42m (+37.06%) (79765 screens) Sat - 5.59m Sun - 3.06m Ant Man 2 (1 days out) Midnight - 3.49m OD - 23.68m (+53.56%) (106251 screens) Sat - 9.03m Sun - 4.35m OD Comparison, Rise and screen count on similar day Black Panther - 26.78 (+39.5%) (73969 screens) Spiderman HC - 20 (+45.5%) GotG2 - 15 (+61.3%) Justice League - 13.14 (+55.87%) (85525 screens) Thor Ragnarok - 12.12 (+65.12%) Excellent jump today for Ant Man. It can reach 40m yuan if it jumps close to 70% tomorrow which is possible. Looking more and more like an opening in the 60's million usd OW is the target Mission Impossible 6 (8 days out) Midnight - 952k OD - 6.50m (+14.23%) (40658 screens) Sat - 2.17m Sun - 1.31m 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 1 hour ago, pepsa said: What do you expect for it's sat jump and sunday drop? 41m PS 125m Friday, 132m (7m MN) (3x multi drop PS) Sat + 30% or 40%? Sunday a 25-30% drop? For summer sat +25% sun -20% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) good movies in summer dont drop 20% on Sunday, more like 5% or staying flat Edited August 23, 2018 by firedeep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) AM2 has 8 days in the summer, and WOM is good, so I wouldnt rule out 2x OW. In fact, I think 2x will easy happen. AM2 first Monday (70m+) will be way bigger than MI6 first Monday (50m). Edited August 23, 2018 by firedeep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) Optimistic goggles, engage! +80%, 42M PS 147m Friday, 155m (8m MN) (x3.5 multi) 184m Sat +25% 181 Sun -2% 520m OW, $75m USD x2.1, 1092m/159m USD total Spoiler For balance, the pessistic goggles (in practice should clearly be somewhere between these two): +66%, 39M PS 117m Friday, 123m (6m MN) (x3 multi) 134m Sat +15% 108 Sun -20% 363m OW, $53m USD x1.7, 617m/90m USD total Edited August 23, 2018 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) 8 hours ago, Thanos Legion said: Optimistic goggles, engage! +80%, 42M PS 147m Friday, 155m (8m MN) (x3.5 multi) 184m Sat +25% 181 Sun -2% 520m OW, $75m USD x2.1, 1092m/159m USD total Reveal hidden contents For balance, the pessistic goggles (in practice should clearly be somewhere between these two): +66%, 39M PS 117m Friday, 123m (6m MN) (x3 multi) 134m Sat +15% 108 Sun -20% 363m OW, $53m USD x1.7, 617m/90m USD total Well 42m PS are locked, it will go over by quite a bit. 8.5+ MN are also locked. Now we need them multies tomorrow. Edited August 23, 2018 by pepsa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 So.. Mi6 over JW 2? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) 10 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: So.. Mi6 over JW 2? It's running behind JW2 in PS by quite a margin (it's PS are 26% lower). Edited August 23, 2018 by pepsa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 AM2 With 9.2m MN and 44.3m PS even a 3x multlie woudn't let it drop below $60m. Fri: 44.3*3 + 9.2 = 142.1m Sat = 142.1*1.25 = 177.63m Sun = 177.63*0.85 = 150.98m WE: 470.71m = $68.72m I shoudn't have added MN for the Sat jump, instead I just used the 132.9m true friday and that would give: $65.61m WE. Does this mean $70m + is likely? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 12 minutes ago, pepsa said: AM2 With 9.2m MN and 44.3m PS even a 3x multlie woudn't let it drop below $60m. Fri: 44.3*3 + 9.2 = 142.1m Sat = 142.1*1.25 = 177.63m Sun = 177.63*0.85 = 150.98m WE: 470.71m = $68.72m I shoudn't have added MN for the Sat jump, instead I just used the 132.9m true friday and that would give: $65.61m WE. Does this mean $70m + is likely? Bring on 80M cause i'm in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 17 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said: Bring on 80M cause i'm in. Not a chance. PS right now is at 42.4. Will do the last update after a few hours once PS stops Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 20 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Mission Impossible 6 (8 days out) Midnight - 952k OD - 6.50m (+14.23%) (40658 screens) Sat - 2.17m Sun - 1.31m Mission Impossible 6 (7 days out) Midnight - 1.02m OD - 7.36m (+13.23%) (42897 screens) Sat - 2.35m Sun - 1.40m 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) 21 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Not a chance. PS right now is at 42.4. Will do the last update after a few hours once PS stops PS will be at 44.3m at 00.03 AM, MN are looking at 9.7m-10m. Doesn't this make $70m likely to happen or do you think these strong PS are jut inflate by IW and the PS to Fri multi will fall below 3? EDIT! Edited August 23, 2018 by pepsa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 27 minutes ago, pepsa said: PS will be at 44.3m at 00.03 AM, MN are looking at 9.7m-10m. Doesn't this make $70m likely to happen or do you think these strong PS are jut inflate by IW and the PS to Fri multi will fall below 3? EDIT! these longer PS runs have dropped the multi many times the meg was below 3 but it was a co-production. I think it will be above Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 9 minutes ago, pepsa said: PS will be at 44.4m at 00.03 AM, MN are looking at 9.3m-9.4m. Doesn't this make $70m likely to happen or do you think these strong PS are jut inflate by IW and the PS to Fri multi will fall below 3? I was replying to that other poster who was talking about 80m. But yeah overall I do think that the internal multiplier will be below normal since the PS is way higher than what I expected. Still 70’s looking good unless the multi is as bad as BP 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
